๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada ยท Industry Week Ending: 25 September 2026

Insurance - Property & Casualty

For the week ending 25 September 2026, Insurance - Property & Casualty declined 2.41% with 0 advancing, 3 declining, and 0 unchanged constituents.

Index level
3,111.00
Index points ยท base 1,000
Weekly return
-2.41%
Measured companies
3
3 in the index universe
Weekly breadth
0 up / 3 down
0 unchanged
Weekly peer rank
8 of 9
Universe country-listed ยท Equity onlyPrice basis Adjusted weekly closeConstruction Capped equal-weight returns ยท Weekly rebuild
Explore Financial Services โ†’

156 completed weeks

Insurance - Property & Casualty price and trend

Current architecture Unresolved 3 completed weeks in this state
Trend acceptance -3.1% Index versus Trend Line
Persistence 75% Negative regime, horizons divided
Participation 0% 0 advancing, 3 declining
Index Value Trend Line Fair Value Activity Lines Constructive Transition Defensive

Weekly index closes and the Trend Line. Dashed grey shows the latest Fair Value reference; it is not a historical forecast. Enable the other overlays for more detail.

Investor positioning lens

Is the evidence ready for capital?

A rules-based technical classification using trend, breadth, persistence, relative strength and path quality.

Current posture Defensive posture

The weight of trend, participation and relative evidence favours capital protection over new exposure.

33 technical evidence
out of 100
Evidence balance

Five-pillar map

Defensive
Trend
44
Breadth
21
Persistence
28
Relative
6
Risk quality
87
What supports the view
  • No major confirming factor has secured control.
What restrains conviction
  • Index trend architecture has not delivered a durable upward expansion.
  • Breadth remains too narrow or inconsistent for a high-conviction position.
  • Constituent persistence remains divided or predominantly negative.
  • The group is not yet delivering dependable relative outperformance.
  • Stage 4 declining constituents exceed Stage 2 advancing constituents by 67 percentage points.

This is a weekly research classification, not personal investment advice. Sentiment is reported as an independent confirmation layer and does not alter the technical score.

Trend state and durability

Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes

The index path is tested against the underlying security-level trend evidence.

Index architecture Unresolved

The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.

State age3 weeks
Trend gateMixed
Fan width3.69%
Fast versus slow change-3.24 pts
Above 0% Below 100%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence

Negative regime, horizons divided

75% agreement

The 52-week trend is negative, while shorter horizons remain mixed.

13-week
-8.4%
26-week
2.7%
39-week
-9.8%
52-week
-2.4%
Regime age4 weeks 52-week flips5 52-week boundary3186.99
Constituent trend persistence

Is the index move broadly durable?

100% coverage
Coherent positive0%
Coherent negative0%
Average horizon agreement67%
Positive horizon share33%
Weakening positives0
Repairing negatives2

3 constituents measured as of 18 Sep 2026. Median trend age is 6 weeks.

Custom stage map

Where constituents sit in the cycle

100% coverage
Stage 1 ยท Basing0%0 securities
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0%0 securities
Stage 3 ยท Distribution33%1 securities
Stage 4 ยท Declining67%2 securities
Re-acceleration watch0 Transition watch0 Relative strength leaders0% Fair Value repairs0

Measured as of 25 Sep 2026. Stages summarize price, Activity Line architecture, Fair Value position and relative evidence.

Architecture breadth

How market energy is distributed

85/100 mean confidence
Upward expansion
0% 0
Rotation up
0% 0
Deceleration
33% 1
Balance
33% 1
Rotation down
33% 1
Downward expansion
0% 0
Unresolved
0% 0

Architecture breadth shows the distribution of expanding, rotating, balancing and contracting securities. It is diagnostic context and is not added as a second vote in the positioning score.

Capital rotation

Performance relative to Financial Services

Weakening
Relative index 13-week relative trend Starting level
Rotation dashboard Weakening

The relative index starts at 100. Above 100 means this group has outperformed Financial Services since the first plotted date; below 100 means it has lagged. A rising line can show relative improvement even when both markets are falling.

Relative index76.2
13-week trend79.6
4-week trend change-1.20%
Weekly peer rank8 of 9
1 week
-1.6 pts relative
4 weeks
-3.3 pts relative
13 weeks
-7.4 pts relative
26 weeks
-12.9 pts relative
52 weeks
-26.0 pts relative

Market internals

Participation, dispersion and path risk

Equal-weight index evidence with constituent-level breadth and dispersion.

Breadth

Participation quality

Narrow
Advancing
0
Declining
3
Unchanged
0
4-week average 25%
13-week average 41%
Risk and persistence

Path quality

52-week lens
Annualised weekly volatility17.7%
Drawdown from 52-week high-10.5%
Positive weeks, last 1338%
Current directional run1 week
Turnover versus 13-week norm228%
Breadth impulse-44.4 pts
Cross-section

Return distribution

3 measured

Weekly returns across measured companies. Bars are scaled to the largest group; percentages show each groupโ€™s share.

Q1 -3.2% Median -3.0% Q3 -1.9%
Average winner%
Average loser-2.4%
Dispersion1.2 pts
Top-five upside sharen/a
Top-five capital share100%
Capital data coverage100%

Dispersion describes how far constituent outcomes are spreading apart. Capital concentration is contextual only; the index itself is equal weighted.

Momentum cycle

30-week price change

Index price change over 30 weeks, or the available history if shorter. Green above zero; red below.

Breadth cycle

Net participation

Advancers less decliners as a percentage of measured constituents.

Within the same sector

Where are returns broadly supported?

Compare the weekly result with the share of companies advancing.

โ†‘ Companies advancing ยท 50% marks half of measured companies

Mixed beneath declinesBroad gainsBroad declinesNarrow gains 123456789

โˆ’2.7%Weekly index return ยท zero at centre+2.7%

Compare return with participationHover or focus a marker for the full reading. Select it to open the report.

Markers show weekly return rank. Hover or focus for the name. Fine lines connect separated markers to their actual positions. Up, down and unchanged companies all count in participation.

Rank / IndustryWeekly returnAdvancing shareUp / downCompaniesWeek ending
1Banks - RegionalFinancial Services2.28%100%3 / 0325 Sep 2026
2Insurance - LifeFinancial Services0.10%40%2 / 3525 Sep 2026
3Banks - DiversifiedFinancial Services-0.04%33%2 / 4625 Sep 2026
4Insurance - DiversifiedFinancial Services-0.27%25%1 / 3425 Sep 2026
5Capital MarketsFinancial Services-0.43%33%2 / 4625 Sep 2026
6Mortgage FinanceFinancial Services-1.19%40%2 / 3525 Sep 2026
7Asset ManagementFinancial Services-1.22%41%18 / 204425 Sep 2026
8Insurance - Property & CasualtyFinancial Services-2.41%0%0 / 3325 Sep 2026
9Credit ServicesFinancial Services-2.65%50%2 / 2425 Sep 2026

Canada ยท Weekly return relationships

Which markets move together?

Compare sectors and industries within Canada over the same 52-week window. Strong positive relationships can mean that apparently different holdings share the same risk.

Sectors ยท average pair correlation0.30

Closest: Financial Services and Real Estate (0.72; 52 weeks).

11 indexes ยท 55 qualifying pairs
Industries ยท average pair correlation0.16

Closest: Gold and Other Precious Metals & Mining (0.96; 52 weeks).

68 indexes ยท 2278 qualifying pairs

Pearson correlation of weekly percentage returns through 25 Sep 2026: +1 means moving together, 0 little linear relationship, โˆ’1 moving in opposite directions. Requires 39 matching observations for the 52-week comparison and 10 for the recent 13 weeks. Missing weeks are excluded, not filled with zero. Constant series have no defined correlation. These are local-currency, capped equal-weight indexes; sectors and their component industries overlap. A lower correlation does not establish a hedge.

Sector correlations compare broad business groups. Industry correlations reveal closer links within and across sectors. The selectors retain all qualified groups; the matrix shows the ten largest by company coverage.

News and narrative

Does company news confirm the market tape?

Open Sentiment Intelligence
Sentiment evidence is still developing

Qualified company-level news coverage is not yet broad enough to influence the group view.

0 qualified records across 3 measured constituents.

Leadership tape

Leaders, laggards and contribution shape

Latest completed week, ranked on uncapped constituent returns.

Constituent ledger

Industry constituents

All 3 measured constituents, ranked by latest weekly return.

Rank Ticker Company Exchange Market cap Close Index contribution Return
1 FFH Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited TOR 47.09B 2,227.46 -0.26 pts
-0.78%
2 IFC Intact Financial Corporation TOR 45.80B 250.54 -1.01 pts
-3.02%
3 DFY Definity Financial Corporation TOR 8.65B 70.40 -1.14 pts
-3.43%

The index uses capped equal-weight weekly constituent returns. The ledger shows uncapped security returns so outliers remain visible for research.

Evidence context