Counter-trend rallies may occur, but primary structure and persistence do not yet support adding risk.
47
technical evidence
out of 100
out of 100
Week Ending: 4 September 2026
China CN Technology Industry
Semiconductors
For the week ending 04 September 2026, Semiconductors declined 3.01% with 27 advancing, 89 declining, and 0 unchanged constituents. The index is equal weighted and the constituent tape shows uncapped security returns.
Current architecture
Unresolved
The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.
47
technical evidence
Index2451.94
1 week-3.01%
Breadth23%
Members116
Country
🇨🇳 China · CN
Sector
Technology
Universe
country-listed
Price basis
Adjusted weekly close
Trend architecture
Index, activity fan and structural anchors
Rolling 156-week evidence. Trend Signal points mark weeks when price, trend and the activity fan confirmed together.
Index Value
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Constructive architecture
Transitional architecture
Defensive architecture
Current architecture
Unresolved
6 completed weeks in this state
Trend acceptance
-2.1%
Index versus Trend Line
Persistence
75%
Positive regime, shorter trend weakening
Participation
23%
27 advancing, 89 declining
Investor positioning lens
Is the evidence ready for capital?
A rules-based technical classification using trend, breadth, persistence, relative strength and path quality.
Evidence balance
Reduce
Five-pillar map
Trend
53
Breadth
35
Persistence
43
Relative
52
Risk quality
62
What supports the view
- No major confirming factor has secured control.
What restrains conviction
- Index trend architecture has not delivered a durable upward expansion.
- Breadth remains too narrow or inconsistent for a high-conviction position.
- Constituent persistence remains divided or predominantly negative.
- The group is not yet delivering dependable relative outperformance.
- Stage 4 declining constituents exceed Stage 2 advancing constituents by 22 percentage points.
- The index is extended well above current Fair Value, increasing chase risk.
This is a weekly research classification, not personal investment advice. Sentiment is reported as an independent confirmation layer and does not alter the technical score.
Trend state and durability
Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes
The index path is tested against the underlying security-level trend evidence.
The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.
State age6 weeks
Trend gateMixed
Fan width4.10%
Fast versus slow change-0.16 pts
Above 0%
Below 33%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence
75% agreement
Positive regime, shorter trend weakening
The long trend remains positive, but the 13-week horizon has turned against it.
13-week
-5.9%
26-week
4.8%
39-week
21.0%
52-week
21.0%
Constituent trend persistence
98% coverage
Is the index move broadly durable?
51%positive
Coherent positive14%
Coherent negative30%
Average horizon agreement81%
Positive horizon share44%
Weakening positives38
Repairing negatives5
114 constituents measured as of 4 Sep 2026. Median trend age is 19 weeks.
Custom stage map
98% coverage
Where constituents sit in the cycle
49%Stage 4
Stage 1 · Basing4%4 securities
Stage 2 · Advancing27%31 securities
Stage 3 · Distribution20%23 securities
Stage 4 · Declining49%56 securities
Re-acceleration watch1
Transition watch4
Relative strength leaders13%
Fair Value repairs1
Measured as of 4 Sep 2026. Stages summarize price, Activity Line architecture, Fair Value position and relative evidence.
Architecture breadth
73/100 mean confidence
How market energy is distributed
Architecture breadth shows the distribution of expanding, rotating, balancing and contracting securities. It is diagnostic context and is not added as a second vote in the positioning score.
Capital rotation
Performance relative to Technology
Relative index
13-week relative trend
Starting level
A rising relative line means this group is compounding faster than Technology. A falling line means capital has done better in the parent benchmark.
Relative index119.0
13-week trend124.7
4-week trend change0.79%
Weekly peer rank10 of 12
1 week
-1.9 pts
relative
4 weeks
-1.3 pts
relative
13 weeks
2.0 pts
relative
26 weeks
9.5 pts
relative
52 weeks
15.3 pts
relative
Market internals
Participation, dispersion and path risk
Equal-weight index evidence with constituent-level breadth and dispersion.
Breadth
Narrow
Participation quality
23%
advanced
- Advancing
- 27
- Declining
- 89
- Unchanged
- 0
Risk and persistence
52-week lens
Path quality
Annualised weekly volatility39.6%
Drawdown from 52-week high-19.7%
Positive weeks, last 1346%
Current directional run1 week
Turnover versus 13-week norm139%
Breadth impulse-24.5 pts
Cross-section
116 measured
Return distribution
Q1 -6.3%
Median -3.7%
Q3 -0.7%
Average winner4.4%
Average loser-5.3%
Dispersion5.6 pts
Top-five upside share57%
Top-five capital share47%
Capital data coverage100%
Dispersion describes how far constituent outcomes are spreading apart. Capital concentration is contextual only; the index itself is equal weighted.
Momentum cycle
30-week persistence
Positive readings show expansion. Negative readings show contraction.
Breadth cycle
Net participation
Advancers less decliners as a percentage of measured constituents.
News and narrative
Does company news confirm the market tape?
Sentiment evidence is still developing
Qualified company-level news coverage is not yet broad enough to influence the group view.
0 qualified records across 116 measured constituents.Leadership tape
Leaders, laggards and contribution shape
Latest completed week, ranked on uncapped constituent returns.
Leading edge
1 688061Shanghai Orient-Chip Technology Co.,LTD.
19.65%
2
688209Shenzhen Injoinic Technology Co.,Ltd.
16.79%
3
003040Chutian Dragon Co., Ltd.
14.16%
4
688601Wuxi ETEK Microelectronics Co.,Ltd.
10.62%
5
300708Focus Lightings Tech Co., Ltd.
7.02%
Weakest edge
116 688172Beijing YanDong MicroElectronic Co., Ltd.
-17.97%
115
688147Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology Ltd
-15.94%
114
688008Montage Technology Co., Ltd.
-11.88%
113
688662Guangdong Fuxin Technology Co., Ltd.
-11.83%
112
600460Hangzhou Silan Microelectronics Co., Ltd.
-11.21%
Constituent ledger
Industry constituents
All 116 measured constituents, ranked by latest weekly return.
Rank
Ticker
Company
Exchange
Market cap
Close
Index contribution
Return
54
688188
Shanghai BOCHU Electronic Technology Corporation Limited
SHH
44.44B
96.00
-0.03 pts
-3.04%
The index uses capped equal-weight weekly constituent returns. The ledger shows uncapped security returns so outliers remain visible for research.