- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.91% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
MTZ
NYSE
Week ended 11 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
MasTec Inc · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Latest close
240.41 USD
1.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a -19.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 69/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 40d.
Setup score
28
out of 100
Latest Close
240.41 USD
11 Sep 2026
1W Return
1.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-19.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-36.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
86.5%
45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -19.2%.
Indicator stack
48/26
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.91%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
69/100 conviction; expected move 13.5%.
News sentiment
50/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
40d
Next report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a -19.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2312-week average 0.62
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -19.2% over four weeks, -36.7% over 12 weeks, and 26.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-21.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-421.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 97%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength34/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality67/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth88/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework31/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 38.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 17.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 11.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 5.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 1.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 12.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 23.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 89.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -61.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
MTZ shows volatility options pressure with a 69/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 7.48, expected move of 13.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction69/100
Expected move13.5%
Put/call volume7.48
Insider activity10 / 10
10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
3 positive · 11 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings40dNext report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-45.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
11 Sep
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-22.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+1.4%Week of 11 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank95 / 100
Group average-7.1%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD37.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Engineering & Construction
4-week rank40 / 47
Group average-9.1%
Trend breadth21.3%
Trend21.3%active weekly trend signals
MD34.0%positive activity pressure
RS21.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis23/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.23; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.91%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.91% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors46/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Cornerstone Growth rank 31; Buyback Yield rank 70; Small Cap Core rank 92 SVQF31/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 700.0 of 1017 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options62/100MTZ shows volatility options pressure with a 69/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 7.48, expected move of 13.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 13.5% Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Can MasTec's Diversified Model Cushion a Communications Dip in 2026? Insiders10 / 1010 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings40dNext report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow2 items1 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 240.41 USD | 1.4% | 332.01 USD | 172.20 USD | -1.26 | -21.96 | 4.5M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 237.19 USD | -1.6% | 332.98 USD | 171.20 USD | -1.12 | -23.52 | 7.8M | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 241.00 USD | -9.5% | 333.71 USD | 170.27 USD | -1.09 | -22.09 | 7.7M | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 266.26 USD | -10.5% | 333.69 USD | 169.36 USD | -1.03 | -13.40 | 6.9M | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 297.59 USD | 9.2% | 332.88 USD | 168.27 USD | -1.03 | -4.21 | 8.3M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 272.46 USD | 3.6% | 331.03 USD | 166.96 USD | -0.98 | -11.51 | 8.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 263.10 USD | -22.1% | 329.25 USD | 165.82 USD | -0.89 | -11.27 | 10.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 337.84 USD | 2.5% | 328.07 USD | 164.77 USD | -0.81 | 15.57 | 4.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 329.59 USD | -11.6% | 324.29 USD | 163.36 USD | -0.45 | 12.98 | 7.9M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 372.89 USD | -0.1% | 320.57 USD | 161.98 USD | -0.38 | 26.82 | 5.2M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 373.43 USD | -5.8% | 315.51 USD | 160.33 USD | -0.25 | 30.14 | 5.2M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 396.25 USD | 4.4% | 310.38 USD | 158.68 USD | -0.11 | 42.67 | 7.5M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 379.66 USD | 4.6% | 304.30 USD | 156.89 USD | 0.07 | 35.23 | 4.1M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 362.97 USD | -0.3% | 298.08 USD | 155.17 USD | 0.44 | 32.04 | 5.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.