- The trend backdrop is active with a 36-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
SWBI
NASDAQ
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Smith & Wesson Brands Inc · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
14.25 USD
-2.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -8.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 22d.
Setup score
44
out of 100
Latest Close
14.25 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-8.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
78.8%
41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 15 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -8.6%.
Indicator stack
88/5
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bullish
50/100 conviction; expected move 5.3%.
News sentiment
59/100
51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
22d
Next report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -8.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7312-week average 0.91
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1515 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 15 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -8.6% over four weeks, -6.3% over 12 weeks, and 83.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 36 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak36 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-332.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-71.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 98%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength92/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Value76/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Quality73/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework30/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 34.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 20.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 26.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 5.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 26.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 10.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 37.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 768.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
SWBI shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.05, expected move of 5.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction50/100
Expected move5.3%
Put/call volume0.05
Insider activity8 / 7
8 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment59/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.
23 positive · 28 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings22dNext report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-6.6%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-2.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth53.0%
Trend53.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank73 / 82
Group average5.0%
Trend breadth25.6%
Trend25.6%active weekly trend signals
MD36.6%positive activity pressure
RS30.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis63/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.73; 15 reversal markers Factors81/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 74; Small Cap Core rank 28 SVQF30/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 506.0 of 718 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options47/100SWBI shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.05, expected move of 5.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.3% Sentiment59/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.
Smith & Wesson Introduces America 250 Limited-Edition Model 642 and Model 66 Revolvers Insiders8 / 78 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings22dNext report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 14.25 USD | -2.1% | 13.96 USD | 11.76 USD | -1.03 | 5.10 | 1.9M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 14.55 USD | -0.6% | 13.85 USD | 11.74 USD | -0.83 | 13.50 | 2.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 14.64 USD | -1.5% | 13.69 USD | 11.72 USD | -0.72 | 15.73 | 2.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 14.86 USD | -4.7% | 13.53 USD | 11.70 USD | -0.52 | 16.48 | 2.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 15.60 USD | 4.3% | 13.38 USD | 11.68 USD | -0.24 | 18.08 | 2.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 14.95 USD | -1.0% | 13.21 USD | 11.65 USD | -0.18 | 16.06 | 3.0M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 15.10 USD | -5.3% | 13.07 USD | 11.63 USD | -0.12 | 18.94 | 6.9M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 15.94 USD | 8.9% | 12.85 USD | 11.61 USD | -0.07 | 20.75 | 8.1M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 14.63 USD | -0.4% | 12.60 USD | 11.58 USD | -0.07 | 14.50 | 3.9M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 14.69 USD | -2.6% | 12.39 USD | 11.55 USD | 0.17 | 17.78 | 2.4M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 15.09 USD | -1.6% | 12.18 USD | 11.53 USD | 0.41 | 15.92 | 2.5M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 15.34 USD | 0.8% | 11.99 USD | 11.50 USD | 0.73 | 21.62 | 1.9M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 15.21 USD | 5.5% | 11.81 USD | 11.47 USD | 0.95 | 22.57 | 2.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 14.42 USD | -6.6% | 11.63 USD | 11.44 USD | 1.12 | 16.25 | 2.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.