Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
NYSE · Equity · United States
BBAI
BigBearai Holdings Inc
TechnologyInformation Technology Services
BigBearai Holdings Inc. is a leading provider of state-of-the-art artificial intelligence and machine learning solutions specifically designed for the defense and intelligence sectors. The company utilizes advanced analytics and sovereign data solutions to enhance operational efficiency and improve decision-making for its clients. With a strong emphasis on innovation and proprietary technology, BigBearai is well-prepared to address complex national security challenges while also leveraging opportunities in various commercial applications. As the demand for …
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
NYSE · NYSE
Sector
Technology
Industry
Information Technology Services
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
1,472,048,062
Fair value reference
3.46
Next-week expectancy
Negative · 44.98%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, BBAI fell 23.33%, moving from 4.20 to 3.22. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -39.98 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.73 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.98% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
3.22
12-Week Change
-23.33%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.98%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Auction Intelligence
Sharemaestro market acceptance
Auction Intelligence
Where the market has accepted value, how that value is moving, and which price pathways remain structurally open.
Current auction stateLower prices rejected
Price tested below accepted value but returned to the established auction range.
Price location
Within accepted value
Accepted value
Higher
Persistence
43 weeks
Auction runway
More open below
Accepted value2.69–6.91
Principal three-year auction range
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The downside is in price discovery while established market memory remains above.
Above3.94Established market memory sits 22.3% above the latest close.
BelowOpen discoveryNo established acceptance shelf is visible in this direction inside the three-year range.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above6.91
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet3.94
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below2.69
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
3.94
22.3%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
2.21
-31.2%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
6.81
111.6%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Higher
30-week trendThe latest close is 14.7% below the trend line.Price below
Fair-value positionMarket price is 7.1% below the current fair-value reference.Below
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Supply column falling
Lower prices rejected
Price tested below accepted value but returned to the established auction range.
More open below
The downside is in price discovery while established market memory remains above.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 3.94 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
1 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationDeclining structure with indecisive week
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context · Orderly and confirmed
Current structureDeclining structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 3.16 · Resistance 3.77
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityLight participation
The latest weekly move occurred on comparatively light participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-1.53%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterIndecisive week
The open and close finished close together, showing limited control by either side.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 84% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityOrderly and confirmed
Recent swings and the longer trend relationship agree with comparatively steady follow-through.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is light participation, and path quality is orderly and confirmed.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history21% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-74.5%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+378.0%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.2× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
4 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
11 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
38 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
45 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
9.3%
Low to high
Accepted price
4.03
Latest versus accepted: -20.09%
Fitted direction
Falling
-2.84% per week
Range pressure
41/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Contracting
0.65× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support2.59
From price
-19.6%
Evidence
34/100
Touches
1
Support2.95
From price
-8.4%
Evidence
57/100
Touches
2
Resistance3.75
From price
16.5%
Evidence
86/100
Touches
5
Resistance4.03
From price
25.1%
Evidence
87/100
Touches
3
Resistance6.67
From price
107.0%
Evidence
92/100
Touches
5
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 9.3% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -2.84% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 41/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level2.95
Support is 8.4% from the latest close with 57/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.14 · Holding steady
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 35 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathWeak · Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
Broader agreement between price, trend and the completed-week support state would strengthen the case.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
79 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
80 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 · contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Sellers firmly in control
Sellers firmly in control
The current position, VWAP direction and completed acceptance evidence broadly agree.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
2 references converge near 3.04: Swing low, Latest earnings VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation3.74
A completed close above 13-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area3.04
Swing low at 3.04, 5.5% below the latest close.
Weakening level3.04
A completed close below Swing low with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing low3.04
-5.48% from close
Latest earnings VWAP3.04
-5.48% from close
13-week VWAP3.74
+16.02% from close
26-week VWAP3.83
+19.09% from close
Year VWAP4.43
+37.59% from close
High-activity anchor5.22
+62.02% from close
52-week VWAP5.71
+77.37% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 4%Above price 96%
6%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -71.8 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 82/100
Sector · TechnologyWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -49.2 points.
Control is contested · 59/100
Industry · Information Technology ServicesWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -45.7 points.
Control is contested · 56/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim50% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
+8.82%
Median 13w
+3.31%
Typical best
+22.23%
Typical worst
-17.95%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss80% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
-2.82%
Median 13w
-19.38%
Typical best
-1.88%
Typical worst
-39.50%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states24 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
67%
Median 4w
+6.76%
Positive after 13w
63%
Median 13w
+10.16%
Best / worst 13w
+214.2% / -36.4%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.02 · Weak
Current stateWeak · 0.02
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
22 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price weakness
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.02 · Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 35 comparable completed observations, 28.6% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -26.2%.
Comparable observations
35
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
28.6%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-26.2%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-14.8 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
3.22
12-Week Change
-23.33%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.98%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-39.98
Market Dynamics
-0.73
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, BBAI fell 23.33%, moving from 4.20 to 3.22. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -39.98 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.73 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.98% based on similar historical setup states.
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