Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
NYSE · Equity · United States
RIO
Rio Tinto ADR
Basic MaterialsOther Industrial Metals & Mining
Rio Tinto Group is dedicated to the exploration, extraction and processing of mineral resources worldwide. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
NYSE · NYSE
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
170,442,456,564
Fair value reference
66.94
Next-week expectancy
Positive · 56.01%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, RIO rose 4.58%, moving from 100.69 to 105.30. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 6 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 12.79 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.68 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.01% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
105.30
12-Week Change
4.58%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.01%
Signal Weeks
6 of 12
+
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Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Auction Intelligence
Sharemaestro market acceptance
Auction Intelligence
Where the market has accepted value, how that value is moving, and which price pathways remain structurally open.
Current auction stateHigher value accepted
The recent auction has built a higher acceptance centre and price is currently above established three-year value.
Price location
Above accepted value
Accepted value
Higher
Persistence
45 weeks
Auction runway
More open above
Accepted value51.72–64.95
Principal three-year auction range
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
AboveOpen discoveryNo established acceptance shelf is visible in this direction inside the three-year range.
Below94.72Established market memory sits 10.1% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above64.95
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet56.35
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below51.72
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
94.72
-10.1%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
89.42
-15.1%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
84.13
-20.1%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
76.19
-27.6%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
56.35
-46.5%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Above accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Higher
30-week trendThe latest close is 9.6% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 57.3% above the current fair-value reference.Above
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Upside breakout
Higher value accepted
The recent auction has built a higher acceptance centre and price is currently above established three-year value.
More open above
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 56.35 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
0 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with constructive close
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context · Unstable
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 65.45 · Resistance 105.43
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+10.05%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 99% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history99% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-1.0%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+342.5%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical3.7× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
6 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
28 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove accepted value
52-week position
86.2%
Low to high
Accepted price
56.21
Latest versus accepted: 87.32%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.86% per week
Range pressure
63/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.04× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support56.21
From price
-46.6%
Evidence
87/100
Touches
3
Support60.31
From price
-42.7%
Evidence
80/100
Touches
6
Support101.33
From price
-3.8%
Evidence
31/100
Touches
1
Resistance112.39
From price
6.7%
Evidence
34/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove accepted value
Price is at 86.2% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.86% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 63/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level112.39
Resistance is 6.7% from the latest close with 34/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.59 · Weakening
Trend qualityMixed
The current trend state has persisted for 6 completed weeks; visible confirmation is mixed.
Momentum pathConstructive · Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWarning
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
Latest week
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
Latest week
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
1 week ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
1 week ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
2 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 · contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Control transfer beginning
Control transfer beginning
Price has completed its first move back above the core VWAP; acceptance and the next retest now matter.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
6 references converge near 95.19: Latest earnings VWAP, 13-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Swing low, Year VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
ConfirmationPressure above 60
Pressure holding above 60 while the VWAP stack rises would strengthen the existing buyer-control evidence.
Decision area98.24
Latest earnings VWAP at 98.24, 6.7% below the latest close.
Weakening level98.24
A completed close below Latest earnings VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Latest earnings VWAP98.24
-6.71% from close
13-week VWAP96.71
-8.16% from close
26-week VWAP96.04
-8.80% from close
High-activity anchor93.60
-11.11% from close
Swing low93.30
-11.40% from close
Year VWAP93.25
-11.44% from close
52-week VWAP84.35
-19.90% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 97%Above price 3%
13%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · SPYBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -3.6 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 82/100
Sector · Basic MaterialsStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +11.5 points.
Buyer control developing · 67/100
Industry · Other Industrial Metals & MiningStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +46.5 points.
Seller control developing · 32/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim67% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
+1.24%
Median 13w
+3.83%
Typical best
+4.19%
Typical worst
-9.17%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss38% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
+0.94%
Median 13w
+3.56%
Typical best
+7.97%
Typical worst
-6.21%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states30 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
67%
Median 4w
+3.59%
Positive after 13w
73%
Median 13w
+15.06%
Best / worst 13w
+38.9% / -17.2%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is mixed and losing ground
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.46 · Mixed
Current stateMixed · 0.46
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
4 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.46 · Mixed
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 17 comparable completed observations, 52.9% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +2.9%.
Comparable observations
17
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
52.9%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+2.9%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-10.1 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
105.30
12-Week Change
4.58%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.01%
Signal Weeks
6 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
12.79
Market Dynamics
-0.68
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, RIO rose 4.58%, moving from 100.69 to 105.30. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 6 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 12.79 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.68 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.01% based on similar historical setup states.
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