VLO NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Valero Energy Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

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Latest close 312.9 USD
3.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 31.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 17.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 64/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 78 out of 100
Latest Close 312.9 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.8% latest completed week
4W Return 17.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 30.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 58-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 19 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 17.3%. Indicator stack 100/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 41/100 conviction; expected move 5.1%. News sentiment 64/100 78 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 31.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 17.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9812-week average 0.96

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.98Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1919 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 19 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.3% over four weeks, 30.4% over 12 weeks, and 139.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 58 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.8%
4W17.3%
12W30.4%
26W74.4%
52W139.1%
Active trend streak58 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change533.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership41.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change54.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value36/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality32/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Momentum95/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Growth74/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
21.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
7.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
15.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
352.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
1.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

VLO shows mixed options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.42, expected move of 5.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction41/100
Expected move5.1%
Put/call volume1.42
Pressure-17
Speculation41
Volatility53
Trend agreement74
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment64/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 78 relevant articles.

41 positive · 35 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move5.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.4%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+3.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape78/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis74/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.98; 19 reversal markers Factors51/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 17 SVQF54/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 469.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options54/100

VLO shows mixed options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.42, expected move of 5.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.1% Sentiment64/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 78 relevant articles.

Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Price Target Raised to $356.00 at Wells Fargo & Company Insiders12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.

 Research flow3 items

2 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026312.9 USD3.8%237.4 USD155.8 USD1.0141.5711.9MOn
24 Jul 2026301.3 USD-2.3%232.4 USD154.5 USD0.6439.7112.9MOn
17 Jul 2026308.5 USD10.3%227.7 USD153.4 USD0.3743.9616.9MOn
10 Jul 2026279.6 USD4.8%222.8 USD152.1 USD-0.1430.0912.3MOn
3 Jul 2026266.7 USD3.2%219.1 USD151.0 USD-0.2326.8910.5MOn
26 Jun 2026258.4 USD9.3%215.9 USD150.0 USD-0.1926.7121.4MOn
19 Jun 2026236.3 USD-8.6%213.1 USD149.0 USD-0.2914.2116.2MOn
12 Jun 2026258.7 USD1.1%211.0 USD148.1 USD-0.0726.9113.9MOn
5 Jun 2026255.8 USD4.5%208.3 USD147.1 USD0.0327.3712.1MOn
29 May 2026244.8 USD-0.9%205.5 USD146.2 USD0.1719.9911.7MOn
22 May 2026247.0 USD-1.0%202.9 USD145.2 USD0.3923.7516.1MOn
15 May 2026249.5 USD4.0%200.3 USD144.3 USD0.4327.1414.0MOn
8 May 2026239.9 USD-2.4%197.1 USD143.4 USD0.4323.5117.4MOn
1 May 2026245.6 USD4.7%194.3 USD142.5 USD0.6130.5414.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.