- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.37% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
GFI
NYSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Gold Fields Ltd ADR · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
40.82 USD
25.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 25.9%, after a 19.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 8d.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
40.82 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
25.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
19.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
75.0%
39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
25.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 19.6%.
Indicator stack
41/37
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.37%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bearish
56/100 conviction; expected move 7.5%.
News sentiment
56/100
51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
8d
Next report is scheduled for 21 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 25.9%, after a 19.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0412-week average 0.20
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 19.6% over four weeks, 1.4% over 12 weeks, and 36.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.78Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change17.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change50.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 75%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value90/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum79/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework98/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 7.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 4.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 24.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 52.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 53.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 65.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 51.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
GFI shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.68, expected move of 7.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction56/100
Expected move7.5%
Put/call volume4.68
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.
21 positive · 25 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 21 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-14.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+25.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses9
Recent vol9.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank17 / 100
Group average8.7%
Trend breadth28.0%
Trend28.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS42.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Gold
4-week rank12 / 29
Group average15.4%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD3.4%positive activity pressure
RS41.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.37%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.37% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors92/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 41 SVQF98/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 24.5 of 1018 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options44/100GFI shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.68, expected move of 7.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 7.5% Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.
Gold Fields Ltd (GFI) Stock Up 4.0% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 85/100 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 21 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow1 items0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 40.82 USD | 25.9% | 43.01 USD | 24.23 USD | -0.78 | -11.92 | 23.2M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 32.42 USD | -0.9% | 43.12 USD | 24.05 USD | -1.16 | -27.47 | 16.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 32.70 USD | 2.2% | 43.45 USD | 23.92 USD | -1.14 | -25.95 | 15.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 31.99 USD | -6.3% | 43.86 USD | 23.80 USD | -0.96 | -27.83 | 19.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 34.14 USD | -3.7% | 44.25 USD | 23.68 USD | -0.94 | -24.03 | 20.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 35.46 USD | 5.8% | 44.52 USD | 23.55 USD | -0.92 | -19.82 | 14.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 33.53 USD | -13.1% | 44.70 USD | 23.40 USD | -0.93 | -22.29 | 23.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 38.60 USD | 5.8% | 44.97 USD | 23.27 USD | -1.11 | -12.38 | 16.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 36.50 USD | -0.3% | 44.93 USD | 23.10 USD | -1.17 | -16.05 | 22.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 36.62 USD | -8.1% | 45.03 USD | 22.96 USD | -1.25 | -15.09 | 18.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 39.86 USD | 0.8% | 45.07 USD | 22.81 USD | -1.19 | -9.60 | 12.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 39.53 USD | -1.8% | 44.98 USD | 22.65 USD | -1.17 | -8.60 | 14.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 40.27 USD | -10.2% | 44.97 USD | 22.48 USD | -1.11 | -5.62 | 14.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 44.86 USD | 6.6% | 45.02 USD | 22.31 USD | -0.95 | 6.09 | 15.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.