APP NASDAQ Week ended 11 Sep 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Applovin Corp ยท Communication Services ยท Advertising Agencies

Latest close 323.96 USD
1.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -25.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a 2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 46d.

Setup score 22 out of 100
Latest Close 323.96 USD 11 Sep 2026
1W Return 1.1% latest completed week
4W Return 2.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -31.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 ยท Price action

Where price isโ€”and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -25.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a 2.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 ยท Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0912-week average 0.29

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 ยท Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistentโ€”and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.7% over four weeks, -31.0% over 12 weeks, and -44.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.1%
4W2.7%
12W-31.0%
26W-29.4%
52W-44.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-119.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-42.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 ยท Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying forโ€”and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 11 Sep 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength13/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Value7/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum6/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
15.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
20.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
88.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
77.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
65.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
123.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
47.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
81.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
58.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
9/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 ยท Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

APP shows mixed options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.49, expected move of 5.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction41/100
Expected move5.3%
Put/call volume1.49
Pressure-16
Speculation49
Volatility71
Trend agreement64
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

12 positive ยท 27 neutral ยท 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 ยท Catalysts and risk

What can move the sharesโ€”and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings46dNext report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-56.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.3%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-16.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+1.1%Week of 11 Sep.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -8.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 ยท Sector and peer context

Is this stock leadingโ€”or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 ยท Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
11 Sep 2026323.96 USD1.1%434.76 USD297.95 USD-1.26-42.4216.4MOff
4 Sep 2026320.56 USD0.9%436.98 USD296.15 USD-1.14-44.0921.1MOff
28 Aug 2026317.76 USD3.9%439.86 USD294.37 USD-0.94-44.9322.8MOff
21 Aug 2026305.77 USD-3.1%445.03 USD292.61 USD-0.73-47.2825.5MOff
14 Aug 2026315.44 USD-9.0%452.32 USD290.90 USD-0.57-47.3636.4MOff
7 Aug 2026346.80 USD-12.4%460.77 USD289.12 USD-0.36-41.9345.5MOff
31 Jul 2026395.90 USD1.0%470.80 USD287.15 USD-0.09-30.8539.3MOff
24 Jul 2026391.98 USD-7.7%478.21 USD284.81 USD0.16-31.3328.0MOff
17 Jul 2026424.54 USD-16.3%488.95 USD282.50 USD0.42-26.9432.4MOff
10 Jul 2026506.98 USD-3.8%498.85 USD279.96 USD0.54-16.4623.8MOff
3 Jul 2026527.06 USD10.5%504.30 USD276.89 USD0.52-11.3922.8MOff
26 Jun 2026477.08 USD1.6%509.80 USD273.68 USD0.54-18.8726.4MOff
19 Jun 2026469.71 USD-5.4%513.88 USD270.78 USD0.74-23.6129.3MOff
12 Jun 2026496.77 USD-10.8%515.56 USD267.92 USD0.70-17.0223.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context