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Weekly closes ยท USD
Market context
Stage
3 ยท Stage 3A ยท Churning, as of 11 Sep 2026
Sentiment
54 ยท As of 16 Sep 2026
RS
-6.70
Dynamics
-0.04
Fair value gap
+17.3%
Week range
68.22โ70.97
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corp
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & Casualty
W. R. Berkley Corporation is a commercial lines property & casualty insurance holding company organized in Delaware and based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
Last updated
11 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
25,900,543,452
Fair value reference
59.60
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 55.14%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, WRB fell 1.92%, moving from 71.27 to 69.90. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 10 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -6.70 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.04 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.14% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
69.90
12-Week Change
-1.92%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.14%
Signal Weeks
10 of 12
Weekly Chart Terminal
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Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
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Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Support is stabilising
PSI is stabilising, but the direction is not yet clear. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
60/100
7 completed weeks
Recent support
+14
Limited
Readings pointing the same way
100%
Activity has not moved price
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together63/100
Broad pressure high ยท more together
Ticker and market
Ticker support is tied to a broad market move
PSI is positive, but more covered stocks are moving in the same direction. Wider market conditions now matter more.
PSI
+20.0
Market togetherness
63/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Current contextTicker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
PSI is positive; Market Dynamics is not yet
PSI has improved, but Market Dynamics has not confirmed the change.
Current reading
-0.04
Four-week change
-0.94
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Price is advancing above the adaptive centre
The envelope places current price in context without treating a single band touch as a signal. Direction, persistence and the evidence checks below determine the quality of the read.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
AboveOpen discoveryNo established acceptance shelf is visible in this direction inside the three-year range.
Below68.81Established market memory sits 1.6% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above75.80
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet68.81
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below56.05
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
68.81
-1.6%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
65.52
-6.3%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
61.40
-12.2%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
54.82
-21.6%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
49.06
-29.8%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
46.59
-33.4%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Higher
30-week trendThe latest close is 2.9% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 17.3% above the current fair-value reference.Above
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Demand column rising
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Confirmed compounding
Accepted value migrating higher
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves higher.
More open above
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 68.81 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Non-overlapping, point-in-time analogues from this security's visible history; descriptive, not a forecast.
Comparable episodes4Non-overlapping observations
Four-week median0.7%75% finished higher
Twelve-week median-1.9%50% finished higher
Observed range-8.5% to 2.6%Twelve-week outcomes
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with positive but contained
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context ยท Mixed confirmation
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 67.39 ยท Resistance 70.22
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+1.10%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterPositive but contained
Price advanced, although the close did not fully control the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedUpper part of the range
The close finished at 61% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history90% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-7.4%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+284.5%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.5ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
2 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
7 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
14 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
20 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
27 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
52.1%
Low to high
Accepted price
68.67
Latest versus accepted: 1.79%
Fitted direction
Sideways
-0.05% per week
Range pressure
53/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.00ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support67.47
From price
-3.5%
Evidence
90/100
Touches
7
Support68.67
From price
-1.8%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
5
Support69.57
From price
-0.5%
Evidence
61/100
Touches
1
Resistance71.10
From price
1.7%
Evidence
80/100
Touches
5
Resistance75.40
From price
7.9%
Evidence
28/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 52.1% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving -0.05% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 53/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level71.10
Resistance is 1.7% from the latest close with 80/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSupport remains constructive, but momentum is cooling
The broader structure remains supportive while the latest momentum path has weakened.
Momentum 0.68 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 10 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathConstructive ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWatch
The latest reversal warning was 6 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
The latest reversal warning was 6 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
6 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
10 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
10 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
11 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
47 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price is running ahead of Market Dynamics
Price is -1.9% across this view and is in the upper part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is -0.04 after a -0.94 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move has less underlying support than its location suggests.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-26Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
Returned to distribution; awaiting confirmation
Price has spent 1 completed week back inside the current distribution zone. Two light-zone closes or one dark-zone close invalidates this transition.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation ยท Source-zone return
Activated
2026-08-21
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. WRB's attempted move from distribution back toward accumulation has returned to its original distribution area for 1 completed week. The transition is therefore at risk, but is not treated as failed until that return is confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Source-zone return 1 week
Distribution to Accumulation ยท 3 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 1%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 1%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 97%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks1%
26 weeks1%
52 weeks1%
Accumulation zone
44.85 / deep 40.77
Current close
69.90
Distribution zone
69.30 / deep 73.38
Source-zone dwell
8 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -0.04Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change -0.32Change in underlying supportTrend position 3%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.94รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2024-01-05โ2025-05-23 ยท 73 completed weeks ยท price move +51.2%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2024-01-05โ2025-05-23 ยท journey 73w ยท source dwell 15w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+51.2%
Time to confirm
73w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 73 completed weeks. Price moved +51.2% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Current stateConfirmed compounding
Earnings power and market price are broadly aligned; their relationship is currently stable.
Spread
Stable
Persistence
0 quarters
Confirmation
Broad support
Repricing pressure
Low โ balanced
Market move76.1%
Three-year change
Earnings move67.2%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-8.9 pts
stable
Current valuation14.6ร
Price relative to earnings power
Earnings power and market price are broadly aligned; their relationship is currently stable.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
4 of 6 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Supportive
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Mixed
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Buyer control developing
Buyer control developing
The current position, VWAP direction and completed acceptance evidence broadly agree.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
4 references converge near 67.83: 52-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP, Year VWAP, High-activity anchor.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation70.41
A completed close above Swing high with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area70.41
Swing high at 70.41, 0.7% above the latest close.
Weakening level68.48
A completed close below 52-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing high70.41
+0.73% from close
13-week VWAP70.76
+1.23% from close
Latest earnings VWAP71.01
+1.58% from close
52-week VWAP68.48
-2.03% from close
26-week VWAP67.68
-3.18% from close
Year VWAP67.63
-3.24% from close
High-activity anchor67.52
-3.41% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 72%Above price 29%
35%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -15.7 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Sector ยท Financial ServicesBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -8.1 points.
Buyer control developing ยท 74/100
Industry ยท Insurance - Property & CasualtyWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -18.6 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 84/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim71% favourable
Events
7
Median 4w
+3.14%
Median 13w
+6.17%
Typical best
+12.15%
Typical worst
-0.84%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss29% favourable
Events
7
Median 4w
+5.60%
Median 13w
+6.62%
Typical best
+9.48%
Typical worst
+1.45%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states30 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
60%
Median 4w
+1.39%
Positive after 13w
73%
Median 13w
+7.71%
Best / worst 13w
+23.6% / -10.7%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.73 ยท Constructive
Current stateConstructive ยท 0.73
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
5 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price strength
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.73 ยท Constructive
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 93 comparable completed observations, 55.9% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +2.2%.
Comparable observations
93
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
55.9%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+2.2%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-9.6 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
69.90
12-Week Change
-1.92%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.14%
Signal Weeks
10 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-6.70
Market Dynamics
-0.04
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, WRB fell 1.92%, moving from 71.27 to 69.90. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 10 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -6.70 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.04 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.14% based on similar historical setup states.
Industry Peers
United States equities in Insurance - Property & Casualty
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