- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
PCG
ASX
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Pengana Capital Group Limited · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
0.75 AUD
6.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 5.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
56
out of 100
Latest Close
0.75 AUD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
6.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
10.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.28% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.6%.
Indicator stack
24/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.28%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 5.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 10.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1912-week average 0.47
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.6% over four weeks, -7.4% over 12 weeks, and 14.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.64Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change38.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.91Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1070.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 70%
Model confidence 30%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value36/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth36/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 34.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 17.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 22.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 40.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher8 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+6.4%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains4
Flat weeks4
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-1.4%
Trend breadth39.0%
Trend39.0%active weekly trend signals
MD38.0%positive activity pressure
RS42.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Asset Management
4-week rank5 / 100
Group average-2.2%
Trend breadth32.0%
Trend32.0%active weekly trend signals
MD41.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape53/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis23/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.28%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.28% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors33/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 6; Small Cap Core rank 66 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Pengana Capital Group (ASX:PCG): Funds Growth, Investment Platform and Strategic Developments Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 0.75 AUD | 6.4% | 0.7444 AUD | 0.7699 AUD | -0.64 | 4.91 | 793.0K | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 0.705 AUD | 4.8% | 0.7429 AUD | 0.7709 AUD | -0.85 | -0.69 | 20.6K | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 0.6725 AUD | -1.1% | 0.7431 AUD | 0.7722 AUD | -0.91 | -4.87 | 53.0K | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.68 AUD | -4.2% | 0.7448 AUD | 0.7736 AUD | -1.01 | -4.60 | 3.8K | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.71 AUD | 1.4% | 0.7476 AUD | 0.775 AUD | -1.04 | -0.51 | 3.7K | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.70 AUD | 0.0% | 0.7497 AUD | 0.7762 AUD | -1.08 | -4.76 | 0 | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.70 AUD | -3.4% | 0.7508 AUD | 0.7775 AUD | -1.03 | -5.70 | 42.1K | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.725 AUD | 0.7% | 0.7513 AUD | 0.779 AUD | -0.99 | -2.09 | 762 | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.72 AUD | -0.7% | 0.7524 AUD | 0.7807 AUD | -0.80 | -3.41 | 24.7K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.725 AUD | 0.0% | 0.7522 AUD | 0.7826 AUD | -0.35 | -4.50 | 17.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.725 AUD | -2.0% | 0.7493 AUD | 0.7844 AUD | 0.14 | -1.52 | 13.9K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.74 AUD | -8.6% | 0.7465 AUD | 0.7862 AUD | 0.62 | 2.77 | 7.0K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.81 AUD | -4.1% | 0.7434 AUD | 0.7879 AUD | 1.05 | 11.96 | 35.7K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.845 AUD | -0.6% | 0.738 AUD | 0.7889 AUD | 0.75 | 16.75 | 3.6K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.