HZO NYSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MarineMax Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

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Latest close 35.68 USD
3.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a 3.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 39/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 60 out of 100
Latest Close 35.68 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.5% latest completed week
4W Return 3.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.34% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.8%. Indicator stack 85/49 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.34% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 39/100 conviction; expected move 48.0%. News sentiment 54/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a 3.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9212-week average 0.83

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.8% over four weeks, 8.1% over 12 weeks, and 58.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.5%
4W3.8%
12W8.1%
26W19.0%
52W58.8%
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-68.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength77/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Value72/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Quality19/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth19/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework16/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
197.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
15.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
34.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-5.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
247.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
11.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

HZO shows mixed options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.80, expected move of 48.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction39/100
Expected move48.0%
Put/call volume0.80
Pressure5
Speculation19
Volatility96
Trend agreement91
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 1

1 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

18 positive · 30 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move48.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-11.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape61/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis82/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.92; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.34%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.34% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors63/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 17; Small Cap Core rank 30 SVQF16/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 857.0 of 1018 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options59/100

HZO shows mixed options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.80, expected move of 48.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 48.0% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

MarineMax (HZO) Stock Sees Fair Value Lift As Analysts Debate Takeout Driven Rally Insiders1 / 1

1 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202635.68 USD3.5%31.18 USD29.08 USD0.2711.441.5MOn
31 Jul 202634.47 USD-5.1%30.91 USD29.08 USD0.3611.991.4MOn
24 Jul 202636.33 USD5.2%30.57 USD29.10 USD0.5319.882.0MOn
17 Jul 202634.52 USD0.5%30.17 USD29.12 USD0.6513.921.2MOn
10 Jul 202634.36 USD-0.3%29.84 USD29.15 USD0.8612.031.0MOn
3 Jul 202634.48 USD-8.6%29.54 USD29.17 USD1.0114.051.0MOn
26 Jun 202637.74 USD8.0%29.18 USD29.16 USD1.0227.621.7MOn
19 Jun 202634.95 USD2.8%28.70 USD29.14 USD0.9315.861.3MOn
12 Jun 202634.00 USD2.9%28.31 USD29.11 USD0.9413.971.2MOn
5 Jun 202633.04 USD-4.1%27.96 USD29.09 USD0.8811.661.5MOn
29 May 202634.44 USD-1.4%27.65 USD29.10 USD0.9913.861.7MOn
22 May 202634.92 USD5.8%27.32 USD29.08 USD0.7217.642.0MOn
15 May 202633.02 USD-3.8%27.04 USD29.04 USD0.4412.741.7MOn
8 May 202634.32 USD15.6%26.79 USD29.00 USD0.2817.702.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context