APC NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ARKO Petroleum Corp. · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

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Latest close 20.83 USD
0.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 82.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a 12.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 20.83 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.2% latest completed week
4W Return 12.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 10.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 24 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.82% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 12.0%. Indicator stack 0/50 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.82% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 55/100 53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 82.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a 12.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2712-week average 0.21

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.27Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.0% over four weeks, 10.5% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.2%
4W12.0%
12W10.5%
26W-
52W-
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength53/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality23/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth94/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework29/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
43.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
3.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
4.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
20.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
93.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
171.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
8.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

15 positive · 37 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 238 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.7%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+0.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses2
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split14/8Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape39/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis5/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.27; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.82%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.82% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors45/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 54; Small Cap Core rank 32 SVQF29/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 516.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

ARKO Petroleum Class A Ord Shs (Proposed) (APC) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202620.83 USD0.2%-18.95 USD0.00-456.9KOff
17 Jul 202620.78 USD8.7%-18.87 USD0.00-415.0KOff
10 Jul 202619.11 USD2.8%-18.78 USD0.00-476.6KOff
3 Jul 202618.59 USD0.0%-18.77 USD0.00-431.4KOff
26 Jun 202618.59 USD1.1%-18.77 USD0.00-2.6MOff
19 Jun 202618.39 USD-10.4%-18.78 USD0.00-903.2KOff
12 Jun 202620.52 USD4.2%-18.81 USD0.00-614.9KOff
5 Jun 202619.70 USD3.6%-18.70 USD0.00-461.0KOff
29 May 202619.02 USD-8.2%-18.64 USD0.00-719.5KOff
22 May 202620.72 USD0.7%-18.62 USD0.00-506.5KOff
15 May 202620.57 USD6.4%-18.47 USD0.00-1.1MOff
8 May 202619.34 USD2.6%-18.31 USD0.00-862.5KOff
1 May 202618.85 USD4.8%-18.22 USD0.00-631.2KOff
24 Apr 202617.99 USD-0.8%-18.16 USD0.00-417.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.