Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
GER · Equity · Germany
IXD1
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A.
Consumer CyclicalApparel Retail
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail and online distribution of clothing, footwear, accessories, and household products in Spain, rest of Europe, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. The company sells its products under the Zara, Pull&Bear, Massimo Dutti, Bershka, Stradivarius, Oysho, Lefties, and Zara Home. It is also involved in the textile manufacturing, logistics, design, insurance, construction, buyer activities, and real estate businesses, as well as …
Last updated
25 Sep 2026
Exchange
XETRA · GER
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Apparel Retail
Currency
EUR
Market capitalisation
170,577,904,340
Fair value reference
46.02
Next-week expectancy
Undecided · 50.02%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-25, IXD1 fell 3.09%, moving from 54.96 to 53.26. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 9 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -2.45 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.27 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 50.02% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
25 Sep 2026
Latest Close
53.26
12-Week Change
-3.09%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 50.02%
Signal Weeks
9 of 12
Chart views
Completed weekly prices · Select a view to explore the evidence.
Weekly Trend
All chart layers are hidden. Open Chart options to select a layer or choose Reset.
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Move across either panel to inspect a week
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
Price above, support below. Both panels follow the same completed weeks. Use the controls to show or hide trend segments and support averages.
Current completed-week read · 2026-09-25
Support is starting to improve
PSI is improving, but the change is not yet established. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
59/1001 completed week
Recent support
+2Limited
Readings pointing the same way
50%Activity supports price
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together32/100
Moving together · more together
Ticker and market
Ticker support is not relying on the whole market
PSI is positive while the wider market is not moving as one.
PSI
+18.0
Market togetherness
32/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Current contextTicker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
The two readings are mixed
Neither reading gives a clear direction.
Current reading
-0.27
Four-week change
-1.15
Sharemaestro · IXD1 · Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
○ Broke a prior high / low◇ Closed back across the level▲ / ▼ Reversal confirmed– – Confirmation level— Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
The completed weekly close is on the lower side of the envelope. A centre recovery and improving confirmation would be the first signs of repair.
Position
43%Below the adaptive centre
Pressure
-15Balanced
Confirmation
70%Broad confirmation
Underlying support
Market Dynamics context
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics confirms lower-envelope pressure
Underlying support is cautious while price is on the lower side of APE. Repair would require price and Market Dynamics to improve together.
Current reading
-0.27
Four-week change
-1.15
Current path
Weakening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathMixed43% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineCautiousBelow and falling
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsCautious-0.27 · -1.15 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthCautious-2.4 · -5.4 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationSupportive5.47× recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Below the adaptive centre
The latest close sits at 43% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 2 completed weeks.
Envelope width
Envelope width is compressed
Current width ranks at the 14th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Broad confirmation
70% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (52.30), upper boundary (58.23) and lower boundary (49.50).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
Current weekly interpretationDeclining structure with constructive close
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context · Developing
Current structureDeclining structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 47.99 · Resistance 54.20
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+3.02%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 87% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityDeveloping
The path is readable, but the completed evidence is not yet consistently aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is developing.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history87% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-9.3%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+217.6%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.4× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
1 week ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
7 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
17 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
26 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
36 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
52-week position
62.0%
Low to high
Accepted price
55.41
Latest versus accepted: -3.88%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.26% per week
Range pressure
36/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.09× normal range
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Structural price levels, distance from close and supporting evidence
Reference
Price
From close
Evidence
Touches
Support
41.44
-22.2%
76/100
2
Support
46.78
-12.2%
91/100
5
Support
52.99
-0.5%
40/100
1
Resistance
54.01
1.4%
58/100
2
Resistance
55.41
4.0%
96/100
4
Resistance
57.02
7.1%
76/100
5
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 62.0% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.26% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 36/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level52.99
Support is 0.5% from the latest close with 40/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.74 · Weakening
Trend qualityMixed
The current trend state has persisted for 9 completed weeks; visible confirmation is mixed.
Momentum pathConstructive · Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWatch
The latest reversal warning was 9 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
The latest reversal warning was 9 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
9 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
22 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
23 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
32 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
42 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship · 12 completed weeks
Price is running ahead of Market Dynamics
Price is -3.1% across this view and is in the upper part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is -0.27 after a -1.15 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move has less underlying support than its location suggests.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-10Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
8% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 5% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 89% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation · Leaving source zone
Activated
2026-09-11
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. IXD1 is 8% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 8%
Distribution to Accumulation · 2 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 2%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 5%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 89%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 · Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 · What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks1%
26 weeks2%
52 weeks5%
Accumulation zone
33.86 / deep 30.37
Current close
53.26
Distribution zone
54.85 / deep 58.35
Source-zone dwell
15 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -0.27Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change -0.76Change in underlying supportTrend position -1%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 1.23×Recent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution · Confirmed distribution
2023-11-24–2026-01-02 · 111 completed weeks · price move +61.8%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% · confirmed source exit100% · confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2023-11-24–2026-01-02 · journey 111w · source dwell 7w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+61.8%
Time to confirm
111w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 111 completed weeks. Price moved +61.8% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure remains established, but is cooling
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+15.73% · Positive · Cooling
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 42% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 58% of completed observations.
State persistence196 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 114 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 64% of the time; the typical move was +2.4%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
2 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
3 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
11 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
22 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
29 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
36 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Read who has control, whether that control is strengthening, and which price levels would change the picture.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks · Reported weekly volume
Price and its referencesThe navy line is price. Compare it with the VWAP lines to see whether it is holding above or below areas of volume-weighted trading.
Control over timeGreen, blue and rose backgrounds mark buyer control, contested conditions and seller control. Circles mark completed changes in control.
Strength of controlThe lower panel follows pressure through the same weeks. Higher readings favour buyers; lower readings favour sellers. This is a strength reading, not a probability.
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Pressure through time · green above 60: buyer control · blue between 40 and 60: contested · rose below 40: seller control.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is below the core VWAP, which is rising. 64% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
Pressure 57/100 and -21.5 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack1 of 6 below price
5 references converge near 54.03: 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP, Swing high, 13-week VWAP.
Acceptance64% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+0.7% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +3.6 pts.
Stretch0.2 normal ranges below
Price is -0.6% from the core VWAP.
Persistence2 completed weeks
Price has remained below the core VWAP.
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
01 · Control trajectoryConstructive VWAP test
Price is testing the core VWAP while the broader control reading remains constructive.
02 · Price and pressurePrice and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
03 · Reference concentrationVWAP cluster present
5 references converge near 54.03: 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP, Swing high, 13-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation53.56
A completed close above 26-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area53.56
26-week VWAP at 53.56, 0.6% above the latest close.
Weakening level51.94
A completed close below 52-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
View exact VWAP reference values
VWAP references relative to the latest close
Reference
Price
From close
26-week VWAP
53.56
+0.56%
High-activity anchor
53.77
+0.96%
Year VWAP
53.96
+1.31%
Swing high
54.32
+1.99%
13-week VWAP
54.55
+2.43%
52-week VWAP
51.94
-2.48%
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 58%Above price 42%
17%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · ^GDAXIWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -16.3 points.
Buyer control developing · 73/100
Sector · Consumer CyclicalStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +32.9 points.
Sellers firmly in control · 24/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim50% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
-2.05%
Median 13w
-1.71%
Typical best
+5.49%
Typical worst
-9.96%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss50% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
+1.03%
Median 13w
-1.00%
Typical best
+7.67%
Typical worst
-9.17%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states14 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
79%
Median 4w
+5.98%
Positive after 13w
79%
Median 13w
+12.68%
Best / worst 13w
+22.5% / -11.4%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.66 · Constructive
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
Current SMI readUnderlying support is constructive, with early moderation
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.66 · Constructive
Current stateConstructive · 0.66
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
14 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 50 comparable completed observations, 88.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +10.6%.
Comparable observations
50Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
88.0%After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+10.6%Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+23.5 ptsDifference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
25 Sep 2026
Latest Close
53.26
12-Week Change
-3.09%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 50.02%
Signal Weeks
9 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-2.45
Market Dynamics
-0.27
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-25, IXD1 fell 3.09%, moving from 54.96 to 53.26. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 9 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -2.45 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.27 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 50.02% based on similar historical setup states.
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