- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.20% based on similar historical setup states.
AGI
NYSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alamos Gold Inc · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
33.15 USD
19.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.1%, after a 12.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 25/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
40
out of 100
Latest Close
33.15 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
19.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-17.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
76.9%
40 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
19.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.5%.
Indicator stack
42/36
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.20%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
25/100 conviction; expected move 6.3%.
News sentiment
58/100
60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.1%, after a 12.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0712-week average 0.30
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.5% over four weeks, -17.5% over 12 weeks, and 27.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year40
Trend breadth76.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.87Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.87Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength94/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Value77/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum74/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework87/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 11.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 6.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 12.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 60.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 69.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 73.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 25.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 46.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 236.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 45.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
AGI shows bullish options pressure with a 25/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.81, expected move of 6.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction25/100
Expected move6.3%
Put/call volume0.81
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 60 relevant articles.
24 positive · 32 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move6.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-16.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+19.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses1
Sharp losses12
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.5% / -6.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank38 / 100
Group average8.7%
Trend breadth28.0%
Trend28.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS42.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Gold
4-week rank22 / 29
Group average15.4%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD3.4%positive activity pressure
RS41.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.20%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.20% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors84/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 37; Small Cap Core rank 69 SVQF87/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 137.5 of 1018 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options44/100AGI shows bullish options pressure with a 25/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.81, expected move of 6.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 6.3% Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 60 relevant articles.
Lake Victoria Gold Unveils Maiden 580,000-Ounce Resource at Tembo Project in Tanzania Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 33.15 USD | 19.1% | 39.71 USD | 24.57 USD | -0.87 | -20.87 | 33.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 27.83 USD | -5.9% | 40.00 USD | 24.43 USD | -1.12 | -31.20 | 29.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 29.58 USD | 4.7% | 40.35 USD | 24.33 USD | -1.18 | -26.15 | 18.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 28.26 USD | -4.1% | 40.72 USD | 24.21 USD | -1.05 | -29.88 | 20.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 29.46 USD | -6.7% | 41.05 USD | 24.11 USD | -1.03 | -28.08 | 19.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 31.58 USD | 0.8% | 41.35 USD | 24.00 USD | -0.96 | -21.97 | 18.0M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 31.32 USD | -13.8% | 41.50 USD | 23.87 USD | -0.95 | -20.96 | 43.5M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 36.34 USD | 3.2% | 41.70 USD | 23.75 USD | -1.06 | -10.44 | 20.3M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 35.20 USD | -0.8% | 41.58 USD | 23.59 USD | -1.14 | -12.33 | 24.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 35.48 USD | -12.9% | 41.51 USD | 23.44 USD | -1.22 | -11.10 | 17.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 40.75 USD | 6.4% | 41.36 USD | 23.29 USD | -1.09 | -0.32 | 11.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 38.30 USD | -4.7% | 41.02 USD | 23.11 USD | -1.02 | -4.64 | 11.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 40.18 USD | -7.3% | 40.80 USD | 22.94 USD | -0.81 | 1.14 | 13.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 43.33 USD | 10.0% | 40.60 USD | 22.76 USD | -0.56 | 9.79 | 19.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.