Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
NASDAQ · Equity · United States
FDMT
4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
HealthcareBiotechnology
4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage gene therapy company, develops candidate products using its adeno-associated virus vectors. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
Last updated
28 Aug 2026
Exchange
NASDAQ · NASDAQ
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
871,477,407
Fair value reference
11.94
Next-week expectancy
Undecided · 45.29%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, FDMT rose 66.14%, moving from 8.83 to 14.67. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 11 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 35.24 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.10 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 45.29% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
14.67
12-Week Change
66.14%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 45.29%
Signal Weeks
11 of 12
Weekly Trend
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read · 2026-08-28
Price is walking above the adaptive envelope
The completed weekly close is above the upper boundary. Persistence and confirmation now matter more than the first break itself.
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics supports the upper-envelope position
Underlying support is positive while price is on the upper side of APE. Persistence in both readings would strengthen the completed-week trend evidence.
Current reading
+1.10
Four-week change
+0.71
Current path
Strengthening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathSupportive137% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineSupportiveAbove and rising
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsSupportive+1.10 · +0.71 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthSupportive+35.2 · +33.8 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationCautious1.34× recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Above the upper envelope
The latest close sits at 137% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 3 completed weeks.
Envelope width
Envelope width is typical
Current width ranks at the 41th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Broad confirmation
80% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (9.65), upper boundary (12.82) and lower boundary (7.84).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Compression release
The envelope began expanding after an unusually compressed period.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Auction Intelligence
Sharemaestro market acceptance
Auction Intelligence
Where the market has accepted value, how that value is moving, and which price pathways remain structurally open.
Current auction stateUpside price discovery
Price is above established value, but a durable higher acceptance shelf is still developing.
Price location
Above accepted value
Accepted value
Higher
Persistence
2 weeks
Auction runway
More room below
Accepted value2.24–12.86
Principal three-year auction range
Acceptance centre8.97
63.6% latest-price distance
Value migration58.1%
Recent centre versus prior year
Value breadth475.6%
Width of the accepted-value range
The auction map
Price path and acceptance geometry
Price shows the journey; the profile shows where that journey developed durable market memory.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Above15.34Established market memory sits 4.6% above the latest close.
Below8.97Established market memory sits 38.9% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above12.86
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet8.97
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below2.24
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
15.34
4.6%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
8.97
-38.9%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
6.13
-58.2%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Above accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Higher
30-week trendThe latest close is 43.6% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 22.9% above the current fair-value reference.Above
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Supply column falling
Upside price discovery
Price is above established value, but a durable higher acceptance shelf is still developing.
More room below
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 8.97 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
0 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context · Orderly and confirmed
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 14.06 · Resistance 16.93
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-7.33%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedLower part of the range
The close finished at 22% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityOrderly and confirmed
Recent swings and the longer trend relationship agree with comparatively steady follow-through.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is orderly and confirmed.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history25% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-70.9%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+457.8%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.1× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
1 week ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
10 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
15 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
34 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
41 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove the trend range
52-week position
79.4%
Low to high
Accepted price
9.40
Latest versus accepted: 56.08%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.54% per week
Range pressure
77/100
Upper pressure
Range condition
Expanding
1.30× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support9.58
From price
-34.7%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
6
Support10.49
From price
-28.5%
Evidence
90/100
Touches
6
Support14.00
From price
-4.6%
Evidence
28/100
Touches
1
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove the trend range
Price is at 79.4% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.54% per week.
Range pressureUpper pressure
The current pressure reading is 77/100; 50 is balanced.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.78 · Holding steady
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 11 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathStrong · Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
126 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
127 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship · 12 completed weeks
Price and Market Dynamics are confirming each other
Price changed +44.1% and Market Dynamics changed +0.71 over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move currently has improving support beneath it.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-12Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
34% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 28% chance of confirming distribution within 52 completed weeks and a 17% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Accumulation to distribution · Progressing
Activated
2025-08-15
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. FDMT is 34% across its current move from accumulation toward distribution. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 34%
Accumulation to Distribution · 54 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 11%
Confirm the current distribution zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 28%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 17%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 · Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 · What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks3%
26 weeks11%
52 weeks28%
Accumulation zone
7.43 / deep 3.86
Current close
14.67
Distribution zone
28.80 / deep 32.37
Source-zone dwell
45 completed weeks
Market Dynamics 1.10Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 1.24Change in underlying supportTrend position 44%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 1.11×Recent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyDistribution to Accumulation · Confirmed accumulation
2024-04-05–2024-12-13 · 37 completed weeks · price move -77.3%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 0 reached distribution and 1 reached accumulation.
0% · confirmed source exit100% · confirmed opposite zone
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2024-04-05–2024-12-13 · journey 37w · source dwell 5w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
-77.3%
Time to confirm
37w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 37 completed weeks. Price moved -77.3% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure is historically strong and strengthening
Positive pressure is elevated relative to the completed history. Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
+22.89% · Historically strong · Strengthening
Market positionHistorically strong
Positive pressure is elevated relative to the completed history.
Pressure directionStrengthening
Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Continued positive pressure with an orderly completed path would strengthen confirmation.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is strengthening with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is soft follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 8% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 92% of completed observations.
State persistence2 completed weeks
The current historically strong state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historySoft follow-through
Across 15 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 27% of the time; the typical move was -9.2%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
1 week ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
2 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
6 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
8 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
10 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
13 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyers firmly in control
Price is above the core VWAP, which is rising. 87% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
88/100 pressure
ControlBuyers firmly in control
Pressure 88/100 and +21.2 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack7 of 7 below price
4 references converge near 10.35: 26-week VWAP, Year VWAP, High-activity anchor, 52-week VWAP.
Acceptance87% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 · contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Buyer control, but extended
Buyer control, but extended
The VWAP structure is constructive, but price is stretched far enough above the core level to reduce early-entry quality.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
4 references converge near 10.35: 26-week VWAP, Year VWAP, High-activity anchor, 52-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
ConfirmationPressure above 60
Pressure holding above 60 while the VWAP stack rises would strengthen the existing buyer-control evidence.
Decision area14.40
Latest earnings VWAP at 14.40, 1.8% below the latest close.
Weakening level14.40
A completed close below Latest earnings VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Latest earnings VWAP14.40
-1.82% from close
Swing low13.49
-8.06% from close
13-week VWAP11.94
-18.63% from close
26-week VWAP10.82
-26.27% from close
Year VWAP10.29
-29.86% from close
High-activity anchor10.19
-30.52% from close
52-week VWAP10.10
-31.18% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 93%Above price 7%
7%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · QQQBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +8.4 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 80/100
Sector · HealthcareStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +11.0 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 77/100
Industry · BiotechnologyStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +14.5 points.
Buyer control developing · 74/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim67% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
-3.42%
Median 13w
+2.60%
Typical best
+18.40%
Typical worst
-12.82%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss44% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
-3.50%
Median 13w
+1.89%
Typical best
+21.20%
Typical worst
-8.16%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states19 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
53%
Median 4w
+0.46%
Positive after 13w
32%
Median 13w
-14.39%
Best / worst 13w
+59.2% / -34.1%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is strong and still improving
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.81 · Strong
Current stateStrong · 0.81
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
1 completed week in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price strength
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.81 · Strong
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 26 comparable completed observations, 11.5% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -19.7%.
Comparable observations
26
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
11.5%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-19.7%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-28.9 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
14.67
12-Week Change
66.14%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 45.29%
Signal Weeks
11 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
35.24
Market Dynamics
1.10
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, FDMT rose 66.14%, moving from 8.83 to 14.67. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 11 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 35.24 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.10 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 45.29% based on similar historical setup states.
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