- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
DNLM
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Dunelm Group plc · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
895.0 GBP
2.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 34.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 10.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
46
out of 100
Latest Close
895.0 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
23.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
11.5%
6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.6%.
Indicator stack
6/86
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 34.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 10.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2012-week average 0.07
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.6% over four weeks, 23.5% over 12 weeks, and -25.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change144.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.33Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change35.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength77/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Value86/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum4/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework83/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 11.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 10.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 52.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 12.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 11.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 41.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 3.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 3.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 5.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 7.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 8.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
9 positive · 18 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-7.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank26 / 100
Group average5.3%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD74.0%positive activity pressure
RS43.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Specialty Retail
4-week rank5 / 16
Group average9.5%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD81.2%positive activity pressure
RS43.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis22/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.20; No reversal markers Factors68/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 33; Small Cap Core rank 31 SVQF83/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 45.0 of 260 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
Dunelm Group (LON:DNLM) Stock Passes Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Here's Why Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 895.0 GBP | 2.9% | 848.5 GBP | 1,052 GBP | 1.37 | -15.33 | 3.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 869.5 GBP | 0.2% | 857.5 GBP | 1,054 GBP | 1.24 | -18.31 | 2.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 867.5 GBP | -1.0% | 865.8 GBP | 1,056 GBP | 1.05 | -18.33 | 1.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 876.0 GBP | 8.3% | 873.9 GBP | 1,057 GBP | 0.87 | -17.30 | 3.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 809.0 GBP | 1.1% | 882.2 GBP | 1,059 GBP | 0.56 | -23.63 | 2.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 800.5 GBP | -1.5% | 891.7 GBP | 1,061 GBP | 0.33 | -26.40 | 251.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 813.0 GBP | 3.0% | 902.5 GBP | 1,062 GBP | -0.00 | -24.81 | 200.9K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 789.5 GBP | -1.7% | 912.4 GBP | 1,064 GBP | -0.32 | -26.73 | 903.8K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 803.5 GBP | 5.2% | 922.1 GBP | 1,066 GBP | -0.61 | -26.98 | 214.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 764.0 GBP | -2.1% | 933.0 GBP | 1,068 GBP | -0.98 | -30.58 | 164.4K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 780.5 GBP | 0.4% | 944.9 GBP | 1,070 GBP | -1.15 | -30.14 | 1.5M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 777.5 GBP | 7.3% | 956.1 GBP | 1,073 GBP | -1.33 | -31.53 | 2.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 724.5 GBP | -4.6% | 968.2 GBP | 1,075 GBP | -1.46 | -35.20 | 3.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 759.5 GBP | 0.5% | 981.3 GBP | 1,077 GBP | -1.49 | -33.11 | 1.6M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.