- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
VMT
ASX
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Vmoto Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles
Latest close
0.073 AUD
-23.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -30.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -23.2%, after a -24.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
30
out of 100
Latest Close
0.073 AUD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
-23.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-24.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-39.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
53.8%
28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
5.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-23.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -24.0%.
Indicator stack
30/20
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.37%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -30.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -23.2%, after a -24.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 5.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5612-week average 0.70
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.56Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -24.0% over four weeks, -39.2% over 12 weeks, and 23.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.29Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-83.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-305.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 56%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength75/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Value88/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality2/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -39.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 31.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -40.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -18.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -24.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -18.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 12.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 12.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-55.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher10 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.0%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-23.2%Week of 9 Oct.
Latest week-23.2%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains0
Flat weeks7
Modest losses0
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.3% / -8.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank91 / 91
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth33.0%
Trend33.0%active weekly trend signals
MD61.5%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Recreational Vehicles
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-10.8%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis53/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.56; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.37%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.37% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors63/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 8; Buyback Yield rank 1; Small Cap Core rank 10 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 0.073 AUD | -23.2% | 0.1053 AUD | 0.1053 AUD | -1.29 | -18.69 | 634.4K | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 0.095 AUD | 0.0% | 0.1049 AUD | 0.1057 AUD | -1.22 | 6.59 | 84.9K | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 0.095 AUD | 5.6% | 0.1038 AUD | 0.1065 AUD | -1.09 | 7.66 | 133.1K | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.09 AUD | -6.3% | 0.1029 AUD | 0.1074 AUD | -0.91 | 1.86 | 96.7K | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.096 AUD | -12.7% | 0.1023 AUD | 0.1082 AUD | -0.70 | 9.08 | 334.1K | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.11 AUD | -8.3% | 0.1015 AUD | 0.1088 AUD | -0.65 | 22.11 | 0 | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.12 AUD | 4.3% | 0.1004 AUD | 0.1096 AUD | -0.56 | 33.35 | 0 | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.115 AUD | 9.5% | 0.0987 AUD | 0.1103 AUD | -0.64 | 29.54 | 9.1K | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.105 AUD | -8.7% | 0.0973 AUD | 0.1109 AUD | -0.67 | 18.68 | 6.5K | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.115 AUD | 4.5% | 0.0962 AUD | 0.1115 AUD | -0.50 | 28.75 | 191.0K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.11 AUD | 0.0% | 0.0948 AUD | 0.1121 AUD | -0.41 | 28.23 | 83.6K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.11 AUD | -8.3% | 0.0935 AUD | 0.1128 AUD | -0.22 | 32.24 | 5.0K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.12 AUD | 0.0% | 0.0921 AUD | 0.1135 AUD | 0.01 | 44.94 | 0 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.12 AUD | 4.3% | 0.0905 AUD | 0.1143 AUD | 0.15 | 46.23 | 44.5K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.