GC1 ASX Week ended 09 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Glennon Small Companies Ltd ยท Financial Services ยท Asset Management

Latest close 0.41 AUD
-3.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 23.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.5%, after a -2.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 0.41 AUD 9 Oct 2026
1W Return -3.5% latest completed week
4W Return -2.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.28% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 ยท Price action

Where price isโ€”and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 23.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.5%, after a -2.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 ยท Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct 9 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2512-week average 0.19

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.25Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 ยท Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistentโ€”and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.3% over four weeks, -1.2% over 12 weeks, and -21.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.5%
4W-2.3%
12W-1.2%
26W-3.5%
52W-21.6%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 ยท Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying forโ€”and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Oct 2026 Financial statements through Field coverage 27% Model confidence 27%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength94/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Value82/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
-
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
7.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 ยท Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.

1 positive ยท 9 neutral ยท 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 ยท Catalysts and risk

What can move the sharesโ€”and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.1%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-3.5%Week of 9 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks3
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 ยท Sector and peer context

Is this stock leadingโ€”or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 ยท Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
9 Oct 20260.41 AUD-3.5%0.4053 AUD0.438 AUD1.10-4.07202.2KOn
2 Oct 20260.425 AUD2.4%0.406 AUD0.4379 AUD1.24-0.6059.3KOn
25 Sep 20260.415 AUD-5.7%0.406 AUD0.4378 AUD1.05-3.1061.1KOn
18 Sep 20260.44 AUD4.8%0.4066 AUD0.4376 AUD1.191.65121.3KOn
11 Sep 20260.4198 AUD6.3%0.4068 AUD0.4373 AUD1.09-3.34184.8KOff
4 Sep 20260.3948 AUD-7.1%0.4078 AUD0.4372 AUD1.04-12.0848.2KOff
28 Aug 20260.4248 AUD-1.2%0.4109 AUD0.4371 AUD1.16-6.7340.9KOff
21 Aug 20260.4298 AUD-2.3%0.413 AUD0.4369 AUD1.01-5.7125.0KOff
14 Aug 20260.4398 AUD7.3%0.4143 AUD0.4368 AUD0.75-4.4518.5KOff
7 Aug 20260.41 AUD0.0%0.4151 AUD0.4366 AUD0.59-12.6727.3KOff
31 Jul 20260.41 AUD6.5%0.4171 AUD0.4367 AUD0.57-10.3723.7KOff
24 Jul 20260.385 AUD-7.2%0.4186 AUD0.4366 AUD0.39-14.2534.6KOff
17 Jul 20260.415 AUD-1.2%0.4207 AUD0.437 AUD0.34-8.376.0KOff
10 Jul 20260.42 AUD9.1%0.4222 AUD0.4372 AUD0.17-7.680Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context