- The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ESNT
NYSE
Week ended 18 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Essent Group Ltd · Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty
Latest close
67.19 USD
-1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -0.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 29/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 47d.
Setup score
64
out of 100
Latest Close
67.19 USD
18 Sep 2026
1W Return
-1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
5.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.8%.
Indicator stack
67/71
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.03%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Mixed
29/100 conviction; expected move 5.7%.
News sentiment
52/100
24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
47d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -0.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9512-week average 0.63
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.8% over four weeks, 5.0% over 12 weeks, and 4.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-2.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change48.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength89/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Value96/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality76/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework82/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 12.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 85.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 62.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 62.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 11.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 1.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -4.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -3.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 10.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 11.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
ESNT shows mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction29/100
Expected move5.7%
Put/call volume
Insider activity6 / 14
6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
8 positive · 13 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings47dNext report is scheduled for 06 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
17 Jul
14 Aug
18 Sep
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.5%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-1.5%Week of 18 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-2.3%
Trend breadth81.0%
Trend81.0%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS41.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Insurance - Specialty
4-week rank4 / 17
Group average-3.8%
Trend breadth58.8%
Trend58.8%active weekly trend signals
MD52.9%positive activity pressure
RS17.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape65/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis68/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.95; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.03%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.03% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors74/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 5; Small Cap Core rank 10 SVQF82/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 186.5 of 1014 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options53/100ESNT shows mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.7% Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
Essent Group (ESNT) Stock May Trade At A Discount To Earnings Insiders6 / 146 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings47dNext report is scheduled for 06 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 67.19 USD | -1.5% | 62.62 USD | 57.01 USD | 1.16 | -0.19 | 5.5M | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 68.18 USD | -1.4% | 62.37 USD | 56.87 USD | 1.15 | 0.98 | 2.0M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 69.18 USD | 0.9% | 62.12 USD | 56.73 USD | 1.26 | 1.52 | 3.3M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 68.54 USD | 1.2% | 61.96 USD | 56.59 USD | 1.28 | 0.53 | 2.8M | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 67.72 USD | -2.2% | 61.75 USD | 56.46 USD | 1.18 | -0.37 | 2.9M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 69.21 USD | 1.2% | 61.50 USD | 56.33 USD | 1.11 | 0.23 | 3.0M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 68.37 USD | 4.2% | 61.20 USD | 56.19 USD | 1.10 | -0.97 | 2.8M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 65.62 USD | -0.2% | 61.03 USD | 56.06 USD | 1.02 | -1.72 | 2.6M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 65.75 USD | -1.4% | 60.97 USD | 55.96 USD | 1.11 | -0.49 | 2.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 66.71 USD | 3.7% | 60.95 USD | 55.84 USD | 1.20 | 0.39 | 2.9M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 64.36 USD | -0.8% | 60.91 USD | 55.71 USD | 0.94 | -4.60 | 3.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 64.85 USD | 1.3% | 60.88 USD | 55.58 USD | 0.66 | -2.64 | 3.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 64.01 USD | 9.5% | 60.76 USD | 55.44 USD | 0.40 | -2.04 | 6.7M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 58.45 USD | 0.1% | 60.68 USD | 55.32 USD | -0.01 | -12.86 | 5.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.