- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
AXS
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd · Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty
Latest close
116.5 USD
1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 7.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.
Setup score
66
out of 100
Latest Close
116.5 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
16.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 17 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.6%.
Indicator stack
28/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.96%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
51/100 conviction; expected move 8.1%.
News sentiment
53/100
61 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
5d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 7.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4512-week average 0.33
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1717 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 17 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.6% over four weeks, 16.8% over 12 weeks, and 21.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change520.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership7.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change621.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value84/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality26/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth73/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 8.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 40.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 20.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 3.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 15.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 9.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 21.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -88.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 5.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
AXS shows bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction51/100
Expected move8.1%
Put/call volume0.01
Insider activity1 / 3
1 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 61 relevant articles.
17 positive · 38 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.7%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.0%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD88.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Insurance - Specialty
4-week rank3 / 17
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth58.8%
Trend58.8%active weekly trend signals
MD94.1%positive activity pressure
RS47.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape63/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis29/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.45; 17 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.96%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.96% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors64/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 10; Small Cap Core rank 19 SVQF78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 223.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options47/100AXS shows bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.1% Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 61 relevant articles.
Axis Capital Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Insiders1 / 31 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 116.5 USD | 1.5% | 102.9 USD | 82.38 USD | 1.43 | 7.28 | 2.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 114.8 USD | 1.5% | 102.6 USD | 81.96 USD | 1.56 | 5.16 | 3.9M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 113.1 USD | -0.3% | 102.3 USD | 81.56 USD | 1.19 | 1.98 | 3.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 113.4 USD | 4.7% | 102.0 USD | 81.15 USD | 0.78 | 3.59 | 2.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 108.3 USD | 7.7% | 101.5 USD | 80.75 USD | 0.23 | 1.01 | 4.5M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 100.6 USD | -0.4% | 101.2 USD | 80.38 USD | -0.42 | -8.62 | 3.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 101.0 USD | 2.7% | 101.2 USD | 80.06 USD | -0.61 | -7.80 | 3.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 98.41 USD | 4.1% | 101.2 USD | 79.74 USD | -0.87 | -10.10 | 2.9M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 94.54 USD | -5.0% | 101.2 USD | 79.43 USD | -0.93 | -16.27 | 2.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 99.53 USD | 0.9% | 101.2 USD | 79.14 USD | -0.78 | -11.14 | 3.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 98.69 USD | -0.3% | 100.9 USD | 78.82 USD | -0.88 | -11.57 | 2.8M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 98.98 USD | -0.7% | 100.7 USD | 78.52 USD | -0.71 | -11.54 | 2.4M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 99.72 USD | 0.4% | 100.5 USD | 78.22 USD | -0.69 | -9.29 | 3.7M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 99.31 USD | -2.7% | 100.3 USD | 77.90 USD | -0.84 | -9.24 | 2.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.