- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
SSPG
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
SSP Group plc · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
214.2 GBP
7.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a 11.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
61
out of 100
Latest Close
214.2 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
7.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
11.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
38.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
42.3%
22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.50% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
7.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 11.0%.
Indicator stack
27/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 39.50%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a 11.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5612-week average 0.36
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.56Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 11.0% over four weeks, 38.2% over 12 weeks, and 28.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change119.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change164.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 82%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength73/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Value81/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Quality15/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Momentum89/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework41/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 12.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 46.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 7.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 13.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 9.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 6.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 84.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
3 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-12.8%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+7.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank25 / 100
Group average5.3%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD74.0%positive activity pressure
RS43.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Restaurants
4-week rank4 / 17
Group average4.5%
Trend breadth70.6%
Trend70.6%active weekly trend signals
MD76.5%positive activity pressure
RS70.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape54/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis39/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.56; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.50%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.50% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 80; Small Cap Core rank 41 SVQF41/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 155.0 of 260 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
What SSP Group (LSE:SSPG) And Coats Group (LSE:COA) Show About Today's UK Midcap Stocks Mood Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 214.2 GBP | 7.5% | 183.3 GBP | 182.0 GBP | 0.74 | 12.17 | 12.2M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 199.3 GBP | 4.3% | 182.8 GBP | 182.1 GBP | 0.68 | 4.84 | 17.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 191.0 GBP | 3.1% | 183.0 GBP | 182.4 GBP | 0.56 | 1.69 | 9.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 185.2 GBP | -4.0% | 183.4 GBP | 182.8 GBP | 0.55 | -0.36 | 33.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 192.9 GBP | 0.1% | 184.3 GBP | 183.3 GBP | 0.34 | 4.60 | 18.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 192.7 GBP | 0.2% | 183.9 GBP | 183.7 GBP | -0.03 | 2.60 | 915.2K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 192.3 GBP | 5.4% | 183.2 GBP | 184.0 GBP | -0.44 | 3.71 | 1.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 182.4 GBP | 6.2% | 181.9 GBP | 184.4 GBP | -0.71 | -0.41 | 5.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 171.8 GBP | 2.6% | 180.6 GBP | 184.8 GBP | -0.78 | -7.29 | 1.6M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 167.4 GBP | -0.4% | 179.7 GBP | 185.4 GBP | -0.93 | -8.94 | 2.9M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 168.1 GBP | 2.4% | 179.0 GBP | 186.0 GBP | -0.85 | -9.15 | 24.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 164.2 GBP | 5.9% | 178.5 GBP | 186.7 GBP | -0.99 | -11.98 | 56.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 155.0 GBP | -3.8% | 178.5 GBP | 187.3 GBP | -0.96 | -15.01 | 12.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 161.2 GBP | 3.9% | 178.6 GBP | 188.0 GBP | -0.59 | -12.30 | 20.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.