- The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
JDW
LSE
Week ended 02 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
J D Wetherspoon plc · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
915.00 GBP
12.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.9%, after a 10.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
74
out of 100
Latest Close
915.00 GBP
2 Oct 2026
1W Return
12.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
25.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
25.0%
13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.7x
vs 13-week average
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
12.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.6%.
Indicator stack
45/66
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.9%, after a 10.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9112-week average 0.73
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.6% over four weeks, 25.3% over 12 weeks, and 34.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak9 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-25.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership28.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change120.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 31 Jul 2024
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 28%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength74/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Value83/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 19.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 7.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 3.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -16.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -78.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 4.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
4 positive · 2 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown0.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
31 Jul
28 Aug
2 Oct
Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.9%Week of 2 Oct.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+12.9%Week of 2 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank7 / 100
Group average-2.7%
Trend breadth55.0%
Trend55.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Restaurants
4-week rank2 / 17
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth70.6%
Trend70.6%active weekly trend signals
MD41.2%positive activity pressure
RS76.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape68/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis76/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.91; 3 reversal markers Factors63/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 16; Small Cap Core rank 32 SVQF34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 164.0 of 247 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
JD Wetherspoon (LSE:JDW) Summer Sales Surge Lifts Shares as Costs Weigh on Profit as FTSE 100 Slips Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 915.00 GBP | 12.9% | 702.79 GBP | 702.93 GBP | 1.03 | 28.90 | 1.5M | On |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 810.50 GBP | 1.1% | 696.40 GBP | 701.49 GBP | 1.04 | 12.14 | 594.2K | On |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 801.50 GBP | 2.4% | 694.60 GBP | 700.83 GBP | 1.20 | 11.29 | 857.9K | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 782.50 GBP | -5.4% | 692.78 GBP | 700.23 GBP | 1.30 | 8.77 | 672.9K | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 827.50 GBP | -2.8% | 689.95 GBP | 699.62 GBP | 1.37 | 13.09 | 1.7M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 851.50 GBP | 1.5% | 684.71 GBP | 698.92 GBP | 1.24 | 16.46 | 183.5K | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 839.00 GBP | 2.8% | 679.35 GBP | 697.83 GBP | 1.14 | 14.84 | 114.8K | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 816.00 GBP | 0.2% | 676.54 GBP | 696.53 GBP | 1.03 | 12.30 | 143.2K | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 814.00 GBP | 4.6% | 674.53 GBP | 695.52 GBP | 0.95 | 10.32 | 133.3K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 778.00 GBP | 8.5% | 672.16 GBP | 694.45 GBP | 0.86 | 5.57 | 191.9K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 717.00 GBP | -3.8% | 670.64 GBP | 693.90 GBP | 0.82 | -1.93 | 837.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 745.00 GBP | 2.1% | 671.52 GBP | 693.86 GBP | 0.81 | 2.65 | 199.3K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 730.00 GBP | 1.7% | 670.22 GBP | 693.64 GBP | 0.72 | 1.10 | 140.6K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 718.00 GBP | 2.8% | 669.22 GBP | 693.14 GBP | 0.62 | -2.76 | 128.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.