- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
JDW
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
J D Wetherspoon plc · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
814.0 GBP
4.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 11.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
64
out of 100
Latest Close
814.0 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
11.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
37.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
23.1%
12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 11.5%.
Indicator stack
16/78
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
49/100
28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 11.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6412-week average 0.27
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 11.5% over four weeks, 37.3% over 12 weeks, and 10.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change64.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change839.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Jan 2025
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 26%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value83/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth13/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 17.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 7.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 3.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -13.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -78.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 4.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
0 positive · 26 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.0%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-14.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+4.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank24 / 100
Group average5.3%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD74.0%positive activity pressure
RS43.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Restaurants
4-week rank2 / 17
Group average4.5%
Trend breadth70.6%
Trend70.6%active weekly trend signals
MD76.5%positive activity pressure
RS70.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis41/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.64; 1 reversal markers Factors40/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 14; Small Cap Core rank 24 SVQF36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 166.0 of 260 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
UK Midcap Stocks in Focus: Mitchells & Butlers and JD Wetherspoon Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 814.0 GBP | 4.6% | 674.5 GBP | 695.5 GBP | 1.25 | 10.32 | 1.2M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 778.0 GBP | 8.5% | 672.2 GBP | 694.4 GBP | 1.14 | 5.57 | 1.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 717.0 GBP | -3.8% | 670.6 GBP | 693.9 GBP | 1.03 | -1.93 | 2.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 745.0 GBP | 2.1% | 671.5 GBP | 693.9 GBP | 0.94 | 2.65 | 1.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 730.0 GBP | 1.7% | 670.2 GBP | 693.6 GBP | 0.76 | 1.10 | 575.7K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 718.0 GBP | 2.8% | 669.2 GBP | 693.1 GBP | 0.62 | -2.76 | 128.2K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 698.5 GBP | 6.5% | 668.2 GBP | 692.8 GBP | 0.30 | -4.41 | 138.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 656.0 GBP | -5.0% | 665.9 GBP | 692.6 GBP | 0.01 | -9.40 | 623.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 690.5 GBP | 10.0% | 665.2 GBP | 692.8 GBP | -0.27 | -6.07 | 311.6K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 627.5 GBP | -1.3% | 663.1 GBP | 693.0 GBP | -0.52 | -14.18 | 345.3K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 635.5 GBP | 4.8% | 663.7 GBP | 693.6 GBP | -0.48 | -13.97 | 1.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 606.5 GBP | 2.3% | 664.5 GBP | 694.1 GBP | -0.66 | -18.82 | 748.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 593.0 GBP | -1.2% | 665.1 GBP | 695.0 GBP | -0.74 | -19.06 | 1.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 600.0 GBP | 2.7% | 666.0 GBP | 696.0 GBP | -0.80 | -18.99 | 2.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.