DOM LSE Week ended 02 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Domino's Pizza Group plc ยท Consumer Cyclical ยท Restaurants

Latest close 213.40 GBP
2.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 1.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 72 out of 100
Latest Close 213.40 GBP 2 Oct 2026
1W Return 2.0% latest completed week
4W Return 1.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 46.2% 24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 24-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 ยท Price action

Where price isโ€”and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 1.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 ยท Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.40

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 ยท Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistentโ€”and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.2% over four weeks, 15.0% over 12 weeks, and 8.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 24 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.0%
4W1.2%
12W15.0%
26W23.3%
52W8.4%
Active trend streak24 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.54Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change7.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change112.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 ยท Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying forโ€”and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Oct 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 65%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength96/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Value84/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality87/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Momentum83/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
17.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-34.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-6.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
8.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 ยท Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

1 positive ยท 7 neutral ยท 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 ยท Catalysts and risk

What can move the sharesโ€”and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-3.4%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+2.0%Week of 2 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 ยท Sector and peer context

Is this stock leadingโ€”or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 ยท Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
2 Oct 2026213.40 GBP2.0%192.90 GBP265.94 GBP1.5411.005.3MOn
25 Sep 2026209.20 GBP1.2%191.90 GBP266.91 GBP1.516.404.2MOn
18 Sep 2026206.80 GBP0.0%191.62 GBP267.98 GBP1.505.345.4MOn
11 Sep 2026206.80 GBP-1.9%191.46 GBP269.10 GBP1.505.225.6MOn
4 Sep 2026210.80 GBP-0.8%191.30 GBP270.30 GBP1.445.173.1MOn
28 Aug 2026212.40 GBP3.2%190.64 GBP271.46 GBP1.305.673.0MOn
21 Aug 2026205.80 GBP4.1%189.62 GBP272.61 GBP1.032.291.2MOn
14 Aug 2026197.60 GBP-2.0%188.91 GBP273.77 GBP0.67-1.512.5MOn
7 Aug 2026201.60 GBP2.0%188.39 GBP274.99 GBP0.36-1.251.1MOn
31 Jul 2026197.68 GBP3.7%187.65 GBP276.26 GBP0.11-3.29932.3KOn
24 Jul 2026190.71 GBP1.3%186.83 GBP277.57 GBP0.13-6.40722.1KOn
17 Jul 2026188.26 GBP1.5%186.19 GBP278.57 GBP0.28-7.30844.6KOn
10 Jul 2026185.51 GBP-1.0%185.65 GBP279.45 GBP0.44-8.62864.5KOn
3 Jul 2026187.40 GBP1.8%185.13 GBP280.23 GBP0.64-10.16261.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context