- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
RIG
NYSE
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Transocean Ltd · Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling
Latest close
5.51 USD
6.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.6%, after a -2.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 22/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 21d.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
5.51 USD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
6.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
7.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.96% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.8%.
Indicator stack
38/72
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.96%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Mixed
22/100 conviction; expected move 3.8%.
News sentiment
59/100
51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
21d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.6%, after a -2.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3812-week average 0.33
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.8% over four weeks, 7.2% over 12 weeks, and 78.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change221.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.48Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1623.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 89%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework58/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 8.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 74.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 22.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 22.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 8.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 136.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
RIG shows mixed options pressure with a 22/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.86, expected move of 3.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction22/100
Expected move3.8%
Put/call volume0.86
Insider activity14 / 5
14 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment59/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 51 relevant articles.
9 positive · 40 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings21dNext report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.9%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-12.1%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+6.6%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Energy
4-week rank45 / 100
Group average-2.9%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD64.0%positive activity pressure
RS55.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Oil & Gas Drilling
4-week rank3 / 10
Group average-6.8%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD70.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis33/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.38; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.96%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.96% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors89/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 64; Small Cap Core rank 23 SVQF58/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 450.0 of 1061 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options28/100No clear directional balance. Options do not give a clear directional confirmation of the stock trend.
2026-10-13 · Checks passed · Priced move ±3.8% Sentiment59/100Weighted news tone is positive across 51 relevant articles.
Transocean Ltd. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Date Insiders14 / 514 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings21dNext report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 5.51 USD | 6.6% | 5.87 USD | 4.74 USD | 0.21 | -6.48 | 141.6M | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 5.17 USD | -3.9% | 5.90 USD | 4.75 USD | 0.20 | -10.71 | 205.4M | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 5.38 USD | -4.6% | 5.92 USD | 4.77 USD | 0.24 | -6.90 | 217.2M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 5.64 USD | -0.5% | 5.96 USD | 4.79 USD | 0.06 | -0.62 | 252.6M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 5.67 USD | -3.1% | 5.99 USD | 4.80 USD | -0.17 | 0.43 | 170.1M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 5.85 USD | 0.9% | 6.02 USD | 4.82 USD | -0.20 | 3.45 | 202.2M | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 5.80 USD | -2.0% | 6.00 USD | 4.83 USD | -0.55 | 3.44 | 169.7M | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 5.92 USD | 2.8% | 5.97 USD | 4.85 USD | -0.59 | 6.87 | 192.8M | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 5.76 USD | 9.5% | 5.94 USD | 4.86 USD | -0.66 | 3.38 | 269.0M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.26 USD | -1.1% | 5.89 USD | 4.88 USD | -0.92 | -4.74 | 172.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.32 USD | -0.6% | 5.85 USD | 4.90 USD | -0.92 | 0.24 | 274.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.35 USD | 4.1% | 5.82 USD | 4.92 USD | -1.06 | 2.62 | 205.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.14 USD | -1.2% | 5.77 USD | 4.94 USD | -1.17 | -1.32 | 186.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.20 USD | 2.8% | 5.73 USD | 4.96 USD | -1.20 | -0.98 | 180.0M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.