RIG NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Transocean Ltd · Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

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Latest close 5.35 USD
4.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 4.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 41 out of 100
Latest Close 5.35 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.1% latest completed week
4W Return 4.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -21.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 78.8% 41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.63% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.7%. Indicator stack 43/32 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.63% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 45/100 conviction; expected move 8.6%. News sentiment 54/100 65 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 4.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4112-week average 0.72

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.7% over four weeks, -21.8% over 12 weeks, and 78.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.1%
4W4.7%
12W-21.8%
26W10.8%
52W78.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change8.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value84/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum92/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Growth73/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
84.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-52.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
23.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-12.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
12.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
23.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-7.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-7.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

RIG shows volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.30, expected move of 8.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction45/100
Expected move8.6%
Put/call volume0.30
Pressure58
Speculation40
Volatility90
Trend agreement10
Open options detail
Insider activity14 / 5

14 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

22 positive · 38 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.3%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-12.1%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+4.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.6% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape41/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis45/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.41; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.63%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.63% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors71/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 84; Small Cap Core rank 34 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

RIG shows volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.30, expected move of 8.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 8.6% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

Transocean (NYSE:RIG) Shares Rise as Merger Spread Reaches 2.4% Insiders14 / 5

14 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20265.35 USD4.1%5.82 USD4.92 USD-1.062.62205.1MOff
17 Jul 20265.14 USD-1.2%5.77 USD4.94 USD-1.17-1.32186.4MOff
10 Jul 20265.20 USD2.8%5.73 USD4.96 USD-1.19-0.98180.0MOff
3 Jul 20265.06 USD-1.0%5.70 USD4.98 USD-1.19-1.72184.6MOff
26 Jun 20265.11 USD-3.8%5.68 USD4.99 USD-1.152.06177.3MOff
19 Jun 20265.31 USD-12.1%5.65 USD5.01 USD-1.114.34155.7MOn
12 Jun 20266.04 USD1.5%5.61 USD5.01 USD-0.8820.52111.1MOn
5 Jun 20265.95 USD-3.9%5.54 USD5.01 USD-0.6620.27151.9MOn
29 May 20266.19 USD-9.1%5.47 USD5.01 USD-0.5123.19129.0MOn
22 May 20266.81 USD-3.3%5.39 USD5.02 USD-0.2539.07194.4MOn
15 May 20267.04 USD10.0%5.30 USD5.01 USD-0.2747.09142.8MOn
8 May 20266.40 USD-6.4%5.17 USD5.00 USD-0.2736.05210.8MOn
1 May 20266.84 USD11.9%5.06 USD5.00 USD-0.0350.65226.3MOn
24 Apr 20266.11 USD2.9%4.95 USD5.00 USD0.1938.05137.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.