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Weekly closes ยท USD
Market context
Stage
1 ยท Stage 1C ยท Breakout watch, as of 18 Sep 2026
Sentiment
50 ยท As of 24 Sep 2026
RS
-4.23
Dynamics
0.94
Fair value gap
-6.9%
Week range
55.20โ57.14
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
EDU
New Oriental Education & Technology
Consumer DefensiveEducation & Training Services
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. provides private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Last updated
18 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Education & Training Services
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
8,694,059,130
Fair value reference
59.76
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 56.71%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, EDU rose 18.31%, moving from 47.03 to 55.64. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 1 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -4.23 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.94 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.71% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
55.64
12-Week Change
18.31%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.71%
Signal Weeks
1 of 12
Reversal Map Indicator
Select a chart tab to switch views.
Weekly Trend
All chart layers are hidden. Open Chart options to select a layer or choose Reset.
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Support is stabilising
PSI is stabilising, but the direction is not yet clear. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
57/100
3 completed weeks
Recent support
+15
Limited
Readings pointing the same way
50%
Little clear activity
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together54/100
Broad move building ยท more together
Ticker and market
Ticker support is not relying on the whole market
PSI is positive while the wider market is not moving as one.
PSI
+14.0
Market togetherness
54/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Current contextTicker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
The two readings are mixed
Neither reading gives a clear direction.
Current reading
+0.94
Four-week change
-0.12
Sharemaestro ยท EDU ยท Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
โ Broke a prior high / lowโ Closed back across the levelโฒ / โผ Reversal confirmedโ โ Confirmation levelโ Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Price is holding around the adaptive centre
The envelope places current price in context without treating a single band touch as a signal. Direction, persistence and the evidence checks below determine the quality of the read.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
Established acceptance shelves are comparably close on both sides.
Above58.75Established market memory sits 5.6% above the latest close.
Below51.84Established market memory sits 6.8% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above69.69
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet46.08
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below43.20
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
58.75
5.6%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
51.84
-6.8%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
46.08
-17.2%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Higher
30-week trendThe latest close is 6.3% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 6.9% below the current fair-value reference.Below
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Supply column falling
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Earnings ahead
Accepted value migrating higher
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves higher.
Two-sided structure
Established acceptance shelves are comparably close on both sides.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 46.08 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
0 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Full context ยท Developing
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipAbove trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 44.40 ยท Resistance 57.09
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-0.32%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedLower part of the range
The close finished at 23% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityDeveloping
The path is readable, but the completed evidence is not yet consistently aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is developing.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history25% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-70.6%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+463.6%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.1ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
4 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
16 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
21 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
33 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
46 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
57.1%
Low to high
Accepted price
46.16
Latest versus accepted: 20.53%
Fitted direction
Sideways
-0.05% per week
Range pressure
64/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.03ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support46.16
From price
-17.0%
Evidence
96/100
Touches
4
Support51.06
From price
-8.2%
Evidence
77/100
Touches
3
Support54.44
From price
-2.2%
Evidence
45/100
Touches
2
Current pivot55.65
From price
0.0%
Evidence
54/100
Touches
1
Resistance57.51
From price
3.4%
Evidence
36/100
Touches
1
Resistance60.23
From price
8.3%
Evidence
54/100
Touches
3
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 57.1% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving -0.05% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 64/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level57.51
Resistance is 3.4% from the latest close with 36/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
The visible Smart Money evidence is aligned and its completed-week momentum path is improving.
Momentum 0.61 ยท Improving
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 1 completed week; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathConstructive ยท Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
127 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
129 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
130 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
131 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
132 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Market Dynamics is improving ahead of price
Price is +18.3% across this view and is in the lower part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is 0.94 after a -0.12 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. Support is improving before price has provided the same confirmation.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-03Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
17% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 16% chance of confirming distribution within 52 completed weeks and a 70% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Accumulation to distribution ยท Progressing
Activated
2026-07-31
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. EDU is 17% across its current move from accumulation toward distribution. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 17%
Accumulation to Distribution ยท 7 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 6%
Confirm the current distribution zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 16%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 70%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks2%
26 weeks6%
52 weeks16%
Accumulation zone
49.62 / deep 43.66
Current close
55.64
Distribution zone
85.38 / deep 91.34
Source-zone dwell
6 completed weeks
Market Dynamics 0.94Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 2.71Change in underlying supportTrend position 6%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 1.04รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyDistribution to Accumulation ยท Confirmed accumulation
2024-03-29โ2025-01-31 ยท 45 completed weeks ยท price move -43.3%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 0 reached distribution and 1 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2024-03-29โ2025-01-31 ยท journey 45w ยท source dwell 6w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
-43.3%
Time to confirm
45w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 45 completed weeks. Price moved -43.3% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Current stateEarnings ahead
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 12 updates.
Spread
Closing
Persistence
12 quarters
Confirmation
Awaiting refresh
Repricing pressure
High โ earnings-led
Market move-1.8%
Three-year change
Earnings move127.2%
Three-year change
Repricing spread129.0 pts
closing
Current valuation16.2ร
Price relative to earnings power
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 12 updates.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Persistent earnings lead
Earnings power has led market price across several updates.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
Business confirmation is not yet aligned to the latest earnings update.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Signal robustness
Does the relationship persist across time horizons?
Shows whether the same earnings or price lead remains visible from shorter starting points.
Market acceptance
How price responded to each earnings update
Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 4 had a meaningful positive price response.
Professional contextPeer rarity, comparable outcomes and state history
Comparable historical outcomes
There are not yet enough comparable point-in-time observations for a responsible outcome summary.
State transitions
Highlights when the dominant relationship between earnings power and market price changed.
Broadly aligned
Earnings ahead
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readNegative pressure remains established and holding steady
Price is holding a weak market-perception position. The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
-6.89% ยท Negative ยท Holding steady
Market positionNegative
Price is holding a weak market-perception position.
Pressure directionHolding steady
The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is holding steady with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is limited record.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 49% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 51% of completed observations.
State persistence2 completed weeks
The current negative state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyLimited record
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a dependable historical summary.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
11 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
21 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
24 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
28 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
29 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
33 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyer control developing
Price is above the core VWAP, which is rising. 63% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
73/100 pressure
ControlBuyer control developing
Pressure 73/100 and +4.7 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack5 of 7 below price
6 references converge near 54.60: Year VWAP, Latest earnings VWAP, High-activity anchor, 52-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP.
Acceptance63% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Buyer control developing
Buyer control developing
The current position, VWAP direction and completed acceptance evidence broadly agree.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
6 references converge near 54.60: Year VWAP, Latest earnings VWAP, High-activity anchor, 52-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation56.65
A completed close above Latest earnings VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area54.74
Year VWAP at 54.74, 1.6% below the latest close.
Weakening level54.74
A completed close below Year VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Year VWAP54.74
-1.62% from close
Latest earnings VWAP56.65
+1.82% from close
High-activity anchor54.58
-1.91% from close
52-week VWAP54.35
-2.31% from close
13-week VWAP54.14
-2.70% from close
Swing high57.29
+2.96% from close
26-week VWAP53.14
-4.49% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 57%Above price 43%
48%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -8.1 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Sector ยท Consumer DefensiveStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +55.3 points.
Sellers firmly in control ยท 18/100
Industry ยท Education & Training ServicesStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +50.8 points.
Sellers firmly in control ยท 23/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim25% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
-9.19%
Median 13w
-9.57%
Typical best
+7.34%
Typical worst
-18.40%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss80% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
-8.68%
Median 13w
-12.79%
Typical best
+4.10%
Typical worst
-15.22%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states21 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
43%
Median 4w
-0.69%
Positive after 13w
33%
Median 13w
-2.24%
Best / worst 13w
+16.6% / -29.3%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is rebuilding from a mixed position
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.49 ยท Mixed
Current stateMixed ยท 0.49
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
2 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.49 ยท Mixed
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 19 comparable completed observations, 89.5% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +14.4%.
Comparable observations
19
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
89.5%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+14.4%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+35.9 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
55.64
12-Week Change
18.31%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.71%
Signal Weeks
1 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-4.23
Market Dynamics
0.94
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, EDU rose 18.31%, moving from 47.03 to 55.64. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 1 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -4.23 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.94 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.71% based on similar historical setup states.
Industry Peers
United States equities in Education & Training Services
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