- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
C1MG34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
8.37 BRL
-12.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.8%, after a -7.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.
Setup score
33
out of 100
Latest Close
8.37 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-12.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
7.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.20% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-12.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.0%.
Indicator stack
0/68
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.20%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.8%, after a -7.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 7.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.10
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.0% over four weeks, 1.1% over 12 weeks, and -26.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change21.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
5 positive · 9 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-12.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-12.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.9% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank80 / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.0%
Trend23.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Restaurants
4-week rank5 / 7
Group average-4.7%
Trend breadth14.3%
Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals
MD85.7%positive activity pressure
RS14.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis22/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.20%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.20% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. Announces Substantial Issuer Bid Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 8.37 BRL | -12.8% | 8.91 BRL | 12.67 BRL | 0.93 | -15.97 | 136.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 9.60 BRL | 17.6% | 8.99 BRL | 12.68 BRL | 0.95 | -7.67 | 26.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 8.16 BRL | -7.2% | 9.01 BRL | 12.67 BRL | 0.89 | -20.64 | 25.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 8.79 BRL | -2.3% | 9.08 BRL | 12.68 BRL | 0.96 | -15.71 | 532 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 9.00 BRL | -1.9% | 9.14 BRL | 12.69 BRL | 0.77 | -17.34 | 47 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 9.17 BRL | 6.1% | 9.17 BRL | 12.69 BRL | 0.49 | -15.70 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 8.64 BRL | 8.0% | 9.16 BRL | 12.70 BRL | 0.07 | -21.50 | 312 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 8.00 BRL | -1.8% | 9.18 BRL | 12.71 BRL | -0.27 | -26.61 | 14 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 8.15 BRL | 7.2% | 9.20 BRL | 12.71 BRL | -0.43 | -27.62 | 543 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 7.60 BRL | -7.5% | 9.21 BRL | 12.71 BRL | -0.58 | -32.72 | 44.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 8.22 BRL | 0.0% | 9.22 BRL | 12.72 BRL | -0.61 | -30.49 | 322 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 8.22 BRL | -0.7% | 9.23 BRL | 12.72 BRL | -0.57 | -32.54 | 1.5K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 8.28 BRL | 4.8% | 9.33 BRL | 12.72 BRL | -0.61 | -33.53 | 2.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 7.90 BRL | -6.8% | 9.43 BRL | 12.72 BRL | -0.57 | -39.91 | 65.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.