FAS GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Fastenal Company · Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 44.24 EUR
7.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a 8.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 44.24 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 7.5% latest completed week
4W Return 8.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 33.43% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 7.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 8.2%. Indicator stack 54/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 33.43% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 53/100 28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a 8.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4812-week average 0.23

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.48Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.2% over four weeks, 14.4% over 12 weeks, and -19.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.5%
4W8.2%
12W14.4%
26W10.2%
52W-19.7%
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.99Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change56.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.29Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change62.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength8/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Value4/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality89/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth74/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
39.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
26.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
20.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
13.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
31.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
9.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
11.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.

7 positive · 19 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+7.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks3
Modest losses9
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Industrial Distribution
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average8.7%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

KWG · GER9.1%FAS · GER8.2%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis63/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.48; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 33.43%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 33.43% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors29/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 88; Small Cap Core rank 98 SVQF26/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 278.5 of 375 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.

Kentucky Retirement Systems Sells 49,532 Shares of Fastenal Company $FAST Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202644.24 EUR7.5%39.55 EUR50.54 EUR0.99-3.29494On
31 Jul 202641.15 EUR0.7%39.26 EUR50.58 EUR0.85-8.242.6KOn
24 Jul 202640.86 EUR2.0%39.02 EUR50.64 EUR0.77-7.731.5KOn
17 Jul 202640.04 EUR-2.1%38.83 EUR50.71 EUR0.67-9.241.6KOn
10 Jul 202640.89 EUR-3.2%38.68 EUR50.78 EUR0.63-8.84799On
3 Jul 202642.24 EUR2.3%38.49 EUR50.83 EUR0.58-9.052On
26 Jun 202641.27 EUR3.6%38.26 EUR50.89 EUR0.62-7.8126On
19 Jun 202639.85 EUR-1.4%38.03 EUR50.96 EUR0.44-12.670On
12 Jun 202640.44 EUR-2.0%37.84 EUR51.03 EUR0.34-10.850On
5 Jun 202641.26 EUR8.1%37.65 EUR51.09 EUR0.24-10.152.8KOn
29 May 202638.19 EUR0.9%37.43 EUR51.14 EUR0.02-18.5017On
22 May 202637.83 EUR-2.2%38.00 EUR51.20 EUR0.05-19.19250On
15 May 202638.67 EUR0.0%38.57 EUR51.28 EUR0.09-14.880Off
8 May 202638.67 EUR0.0%39.12 EUR51.35 EUR0.28-16.830Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context