Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
NASDAQ · Equity · United States
FER
Ferrovial SE
IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
Ferrovial SE, engages in the development, construction, and operation of highways and airports in the United States, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Last updated
28 Aug 2026
Exchange
NASDAQ · NASDAQ
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Engineering & Construction
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
45,518,657,188
Fair value reference
48.38
Next-week expectancy
Positive · 57.25%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, FER fell 13.56%, moving from 67.94 to 58.73. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 4 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -19.11 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.97 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.25% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
58.73
12-Week Change
-13.56%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.25%
Signal Weeks
4 of 12
Weekly Trend
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read · 2026-08-28
Price is testing the lower adaptive boundary
Lower-envelope pressure is established. The important distinction is whether price repairs back inside the envelope or continues lower with confirming evidence.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The downside is in price discovery while established market memory remains above.
Above65.87Established market memory sits 12.2% above the latest close.
BelowOpen discoveryNo established acceptance shelf is visible in this direction inside the three-year range.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above69.25
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet65.87
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below62.49
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
65.87
12.2%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
45.60
-22.4%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
34.01
-42.1%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Below accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Higher
30-week trendThe latest close is 12.0% below the trend line.Price below
Fair-value positionMarket price is 21.4% above the current fair-value reference.Above
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Downside breakdown
Downside price discovery
Price is below established value and searching for a lower area of durable acceptance.
More open below
The downside is in price discovery while established market memory remains above.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 65.87 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
0 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationFresh downside break with weak close
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context · Orderly and confirmed
Current structureFresh downside break
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 61.14 · Resistance 64.44
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-6.53%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 4% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityOrderly and confirmed
Recent swings and the longer trend relationship agree with comparatively steady follow-through.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is orderly and confirmed.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history67% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-20.3%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+111.7%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical3.3× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
7 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
14 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
28 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
33 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow the trend range
52-week position
30.0%
Low to high
Accepted price
65.84
Latest versus accepted: -10.80%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.19% per week
Range pressure
12/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Contracting
0.68× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support52.43
From price
-10.7%
Evidence
43/100
Touches
4
Support55.07
From price
-6.2%
Evidence
26/100
Touches
2
Resistance61.15
From price
4.1%
Evidence
60/100
Touches
3
Resistance65.84
From price
12.1%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
4
Resistance67.51
From price
14.9%
Evidence
83/100
Touches
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow the trend range
Price is at 30.0% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.19% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 12/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level55.07
Support is 6.2% from the latest close with 26/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.37 · Weakening
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 8 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathSoft · Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
19 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
20 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
27 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
29 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship · 12 completed weeks
Price weakness is confirmed by Market Dynamics
Price changed -9.8% and Market Dynamics changed -0.08 over the latest 4 completed weeks. Both readings currently point to weaker completed-week conditions.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-12Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
34% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 19% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 52% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation · Progressing
Activated
2026-04-24
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. FER is 34% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 34%
Distribution to Accumulation · 18 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 8%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 19%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 52%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 · Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 · What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks2%
26 weeks8%
52 weeks19%
Accumulation zone
39.72 / deep 34.94
Current close
58.73
Distribution zone
68.38 / deep 73.16
Source-zone dwell
2 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -0.97Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change -0.47Change in underlying supportTrend position -12%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 1.07×Recent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution · Confirmed distribution
2024-11-29–2026-02-13 · 64 completed weeks · price move +78.7%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% · confirmed source exit100% · confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2024-11-29–2026-02-13 · journey 64w · source dwell 5w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+78.7%
Time to confirm
64w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 64 completed weeks. Price moved +78.7% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure remains established, but is cooling
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+21.40% · Positive · Cooling
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsRapid adjustment
The latest completed move was unusually large relative to the recent record.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
The latest completed move was unusually large relative to the recent record.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 44% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 56% of completed observations.
State persistence151 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 63 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 81% of the time; the typical move was +4.8%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
1 week ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
7 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
12 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
16 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
20 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
25 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlSellers firmly in control
Price is below the core VWAP, which is falling. 58% of recent weighted activity has been accepted below it.
21/100 pressure
ControlSellers firmly in control
Pressure 21/100 and -17.5 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack0 of 7 below price
5 references converge near 66.08: 52-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP.
Acceptance58% below
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 · contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Seller control, but extended
Seller control, but extended
The VWAP structure is weak, but price is stretched far enough below the core level for snap-back risk to matter.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
5 references converge near 66.08: 52-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation63.75
A completed close above Swing high with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area63.75
Swing high at 63.75, 8.6% above the latest close.
Weakening level66.08
A completed loss of the core VWAP with pressure below 40 would strengthen seller control.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing high63.75
+8.55% from close
Latest earnings VWAP63.81
+8.64% from close
52-week VWAP65.60
+11.69% from close
13-week VWAP65.61
+11.71% from close
26-week VWAP66.08
+12.51% from close
High-activity anchor66.45
+13.15% from close
Year VWAP66.64
+13.47% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 4%Above price 97%
4%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · QQQWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -58.9 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 80/100
Sector · IndustrialsWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -20.6 points.
Control is contested · 41/100
Industry · Engineering & ConstructionBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -2.8 points.
Sellers firmly in control · 24/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim67% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
+2.58%
Median 13w
+1.43%
Typical best
+8.39%
Typical worst
-3.15%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss11% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
+6.35%
Median 13w
+8.52%
Typical best
+11.14%
Typical worst
-0.53%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states4 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
100%
Median 4w
+10.76%
Positive after 13w
100%
Median 13w
+12.47%
Best / worst 13w
+17.1% / +10.1%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.31 · Fragile
Current stateFragile · 0.31
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
2 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price weakness
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.31 · Fragile
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Historical context is still developing
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a responsible outcome summary.
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
58.73
12-Week Change
-13.56%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.25%
Signal Weeks
4 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-19.11
Market Dynamics
-0.97
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, FER fell 13.56%, moving from 67.94 to 58.73. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 4 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -19.11 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.97 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.25% based on similar historical setup states.
Industry Peers
United States equities in Engineering & Construction
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