- The trend backdrop is active with a 55-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
8591
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
ORIX Corporation · Financial Services · Financial Conglomerates
Latest close
6,336 JPY
-1.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -2.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 60/100.
Setup score
72
out of 100
Latest Close
6,336 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
9.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.1%.
Indicator stack
100/59
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 60.41%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
60/100
11 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -2.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9712-week average 0.95
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.1% over four weeks, 9.8% over 12 weeks, and 78.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 55 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak55 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-21.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change9.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment60/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 11 relevant articles.
4 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Financial Services
4-week rank90 / 100
Group average4.5%
Trend breadth80.0%
Trend80.0%active weekly trend signals
MD87.0%positive activity pressure
RS74.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Financial Conglomerates
4-week rank5 / 5
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape76/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis87/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.97; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.41%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.41% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment60/100Weighted news tone is positive across 11 relevant articles.
Is ORIX (TSE:8591) Undervalued After Its Dividend Reset And New Earnings Guidance? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 6,336 JPY | -1.2% | 5,514 JPY | 3,578 JPY | 0.62 | 10.25 | 17.6M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6,410 JPY | -1.9% | 5,457 JPY | 3,552 JPY | 0.80 | 13.99 | 19.9M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6,535 JPY | 5.4% | 5,393 JPY | 3,527 JPY | 0.76 | 16.22 | 12.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6,203 JPY | -4.1% | 5,326 JPY | 3,500 JPY | 0.72 | 11.67 | 14.7M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6,469 JPY | 2.2% | 5,266 JPY | 3,475 JPY | 0.79 | 9.35 | 13.9M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6,331 JPY | 3.1% | 5,197 JPY | 3,449 JPY | 0.71 | 5.51 | 2.4M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6,140 JPY | -2.9% | 5,126 JPY | 3,423 JPY | 0.69 | 3.14 | 2.7M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6,325 JPY | 3.8% | 5,061 JPY | 3,399 JPY | 0.87 | 3.72 | 6.4M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6,092 JPY | -0.3% | 4,985 JPY | 3,373 JPY | 0.89 | 8.10 | 4.7M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6,113 JPY | -2.0% | 4,914 JPY | 3,349 JPY | 0.90 | 7.87 | 4.1M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 6,237 JPY | 0.1% | 4,837 JPY | 3,324 JPY | 0.65 | 10.83 | 25.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 6,230 JPY | 7.9% | 4,752 JPY | 3,298 JPY | 0.33 | 16.36 | 20.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 5,772 JPY | 9.4% | 4,669 JPY | 3,271 JPY | -0.16 | 11.76 | 26.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5,277 JPY | 1.3% | 4,598 JPY | 3,248 JPY | -0.47 | 0.47 | 9.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.