Use left and right arrow keys to read weekly closes. Home and End go to the first and last week.
Weekly closes ยท JPY
Market context
Stage
3 ยท Stage 3A ยท Churning, as of 18 Sep 2026
Sentiment
50 ยท As of 17 Sep 2026
RS
19.30
Dynamics
1.06
Fair value gap
+24.1%
Week range
406.00โ679.00
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
JPX ยท Equity ยท Japan
3787
Techno Mathematical Co., Ltd.
TechnologySoftware - Application
Techno Mathematical Co., Ltd. develops software and hardware IPs in Japan. It develops and licenses image, audio, and voice-related software IPs for various types of digital devices; develops and licenses hardware IPs as design data mainly from silicon chips. The company develops video devices, FPGA design kits, and codec chips. It serves electronic device, entertainment, service, media, security, medical, construction, telecommunications, machines, automobile, agriculture, forestry, fisheries, and transportation industries. Techno Mathematical Co., โฆ
Last updated
18 Sep 2026
Exchange
Tokyo Stock Exchange ยท JPX
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Application
Currency
JPY
Market capitalisation
845,304,634
Fair value reference
544.58
Next-week expectancy
Negative ยท 26.66%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, 3787 rose 121.64%, moving from 305.00 to 676.00. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 19.30 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.06 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 26.66% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
676.00
12-Week Change
121.64%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 26.66%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Reversal Map Indicator
Select a chart tab to switch views.
Weekly Trend
All chart layers are hidden. Open Chart options to select a layer or choose Reset.
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Price rise supported
Price is rising with positive support behind it. The green bars show whether this support is holding or fading.
PSI score
91/100
1 completed week
Recent support
-10
Limited
Readings pointing the same way
100%
Activity supports price
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together47/100
Broad move building ยท more together
Ticker and market
Ticker support is not relying on the whole market
PSI is positive while the wider market is not moving as one.
PSI
+83.0
Market togetherness
47/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Current contextTicker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
Both readings are positive
PSI and Market Dynamics point in the same positive direction.
Current reading
+1.06
Four-week change
+1.06
Sharemaestro ยท 3787 ยท Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
โ Broke a prior high / lowโ Closed back across the levelโฒ / โผ Reversal confirmedโ โ Confirmation levelโ Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Price is walking above the adaptive envelope
The completed weekly close is above the upper boundary. Persistence and confirmation now matter more than the first break itself.
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics supports the upper-envelope position
Underlying support is positive while price is on the upper side of APE. Persistence in both readings would strengthen the completed-week trend evidence.
Current reading
+1.06
Four-week change
+1.06
Current path
Strengthening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathSupportive119% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineMixedNot fully aligned
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsSupportive+1.06 ยท +1.06 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthSupportive+19.3 ยท +66.6 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationSupportive75.97ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Above the upper envelope
The latest close sits at 119% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 1 completed week.
Envelope width
Envelope width is expanded
Current width ranks at the 93th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Broad confirmation
90% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (396.40), upper boundary (610.60) and lower boundary (273.91).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationFresh upside break with constructive close
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure. Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Full context ยท Mixed confirmation
Current structureFresh upside break
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
Trend relationshipAbove trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 548.00 ยท Resistance 400.00
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+107.36%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 99% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history39% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-49.1%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+157.0%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical49.6ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
Latest week
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
4 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
15 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
24 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
28 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove the trend range
52-week position
78.3%
Low to high
Accepted price
584.14
Latest versus accepted: 15.73%
Fitted direction
Falling
-2.43% per week
Range pressure
95/100
Upper pressure
Range condition
Expanding
2.33ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support560.00
From price
-17.2%
Evidence
91/100
Touches
7
Support595.00
From price
-12.0%
Evidence
97/100
Touches
7
Support638.04
From price
-5.6%
Evidence
77/100
Touches
3
Current pivot680.00
From price
0.6%
Evidence
32/100
Touches
1
Resistance725.63
From price
7.3%
Evidence
41/100
Touches
1
Resistance773.50
From price
14.4%
Evidence
32/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove the trend range
Price is at 78.3% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -2.43% per week.
Range pressureUpper pressure
The current pressure reading is 95/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level725.62
Resistance is 7.3% from the latest close with 41/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSupport is under active pressure
The current Smart Money structure carries a recent reversal warning, so confirmation matters more than momentum alone.
Momentum 0.17 ยท Improving
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 25 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathWeak ยท Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsHigh
A reversal risk marker appeared this week; the current advance has less room for error.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
A reversal risk marker appeared this week; the current advance has less room for error.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
Latest week
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
156 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
157 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
166 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
167 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price and Market Dynamics are confirming each other
Price changed +111.2% and Market Dynamics changed +1.06 over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move currently has improving support beneath it.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-03Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
Entered distribution; awaiting confirmation
Price has spent 1 completed week inside the current distribution zone. Two light-zone closes or one dark-zone close confirms the transition.
Current journey
Accumulation to distribution ยท Target-zone entry
Activated
2026-08-28
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. 3787's move from accumulation toward distribution has reached the distribution area for 1 completed week. That is meaningful progress, although the new state still needs confirmation. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Target-zone dwell 1 week
Accumulation to Distribution ยท 3 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 95%
Confirm the current distribution zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 95%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 3%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks95%
26 weeks95%
52 weeks95%
Accumulation zone
323.52 / deep 268.86
Current close
676.00
Distribution zone
651.48 / deep 706.14
Source-zone dwell
21 completed weeks
Market Dynamics 1.06Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 2.60Change in underlying supportTrend position 68%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 1.13รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyDistribution to Accumulation ยท Confirmed accumulation
2026-03-06โ2026-06-05 ยท 14 completed weeks ยท price move -59.5%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 0 reached distribution and 1 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2026-03-06โ2026-06-05 ยท journey 14w ยท source dwell 2w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
-59.5%
Time to confirm
14w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 14 completed weeks. Price moved -59.5% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure is historically strong and strengthening
Positive pressure is elevated relative to the completed history. Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
+24.13% ยท Historically strong ยท Strengthening
Market positionHistorically strong
Positive pressure is elevated relative to the completed history.
Pressure directionStrengthening
Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityMixed
Recent pressure is moving unevenly and needs further confirmation.
Risks and warningsRapid adjustment
The latest completed move was unusually large relative to the recent record.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Continued positive pressure with an orderly completed path would strengthen confirmation.
What could weaken it
The latest completed move was unusually large relative to the recent record.
What to watch next
The latest path is strengthening with mixed trend quality. Comparable history is soft follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 1% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 100% of completed observations.
State persistence1 completed week
The current historically strong state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historySoft follow-through
Across 31 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 3% of the time; the typical move was -7.9%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
Latest week
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
5 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
11 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
24 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
25 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
26 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyers firmly in control
Price is above the core VWAP, which is rising. 78% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
87/100 pressure
ControlBuyers firmly in control
Pressure 87/100 and +60.9 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack6 of 6 below price
5 references converge near 521.47: 52-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Swing high, Year VWAP, 13-week VWAP.
Acceptance78% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+2.0% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +23.7 pts.
Stretch4.4 normal ranges above
Price is +50.8% from the core VWAP.
Persistence1 completed week
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Control transfer beginning
Control transfer beginning
Price has completed its first move back above the core VWAP; acceptance and the next retest now matter.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
5 references converge near 521.47: 52-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Swing high, Year VWAP, 13-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
ConfirmationPressure above 60
Pressure holding above 60 while the VWAP stack rises would strengthen the existing buyer-control evidence.
Decision area543.63
52-week VWAP at 543.63, 19.6% below the latest close.
Weakening level543.63
A completed close below 52-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
52-week VWAP543.63
-19.58% from close
High-activity anchor541.97
-19.83% from close
Swing high523.76
-22.52% from close
Year VWAP500.61
-25.95% from close
13-week VWAP497.37
-26.42% from close
26-week VWAP448.31
-33.68% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 98%Above price 2%
36%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท ^N225Broadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +7.0 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 80/100
Sector ยท TechnologyBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +4.9 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 82/100
Industry ยท Software - ApplicationBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +9.2 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 78/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim0% favourable
Events
6
Median 4w
-7.48%
Median 13w
-11.58%
Typical best
+2.25%
Typical worst
-14.63%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss71% favourable
Events
7
Median 4w
-3.44%
Median 13w
-5.17%
Typical best
+2.62%
Typical worst
-8.03%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states1 matched weeks
The visible history does not contain enough closely comparable completed states.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak, with an early improvement
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.15 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.15
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
18 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.15 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 38 comparable completed observations, 52.6% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +0.9%.
Comparable observations
38
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
52.6%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+0.9%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+13.4 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
676.00
12-Week Change
121.64%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 26.66%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
19.30
Market Dynamics
1.06
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, 3787 rose 121.64%, moving from 305.00 to 676.00. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 19.30 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.06 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 26.66% based on similar historical setup states.
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