- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
STZ
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Constellation Brands Inc Class A · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers
Latest close
130.2 USD
-2.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a -11.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 65d.
Setup score
25
out of 100
Latest Close
130.2 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-2.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-11.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-14.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
25.0%
13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -11.0%.
Indicator stack
14/21
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bearish
41/100 conviction; expected move 0.4%.
News sentiment
52/100
26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
65d
Next report is scheduled for 05 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a -11.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.33
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -11.0% over four weeks, -14.8% over 12 weeks, and -23.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.12Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-106.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.33Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-96.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 May 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 97%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength80/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework80/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 10.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 52.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 32.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 39.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 11.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -10.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -14.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
STZ shows bearish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.55, expected move of 0.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction41/100
Expected move0.4%
Put/call volume1.55
Insider activity15 / 5
15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
5 positive · 18 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings65dNext report is scheduled for 05 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move0.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-9.1%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week-2.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank96 / 100
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD57.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Beverages - Brewers
4-week rank8 / 9
Group average-5.1%
Trend breadth44.4%
Trend44.4%active weekly trend signals
MD44.4%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape26/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis17/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Factors67/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 15 SVQF80/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 200.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options55/100STZ shows bearish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.55, expected move of 0.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 0.4% Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
Constellation Brands (STZ) Down 3.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound? Insiders15 / 515 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings65dNext report is scheduled for 05 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 130.2 USD | -2.0% | 148.1 USD | 194.1 USD | -1.12 | -17.33 | 8.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 132.9 USD | -0.9% | 148.3 USD | 194.9 USD | -0.75 | -16.82 | 10.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 134.1 USD | -2.5% | 148.4 USD | 195.7 USD | -0.63 | -18.02 | 12.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 137.5 USD | -6.0% | 148.7 USD | 196.4 USD | -0.44 | -15.50 | 14.5M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 146.3 USD | 3.6% | 148.8 USD | 197.0 USD | -0.54 | -8.81 | 12.5M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 141.2 USD | -4.9% | 148.4 USD | 197.6 USD | -0.77 | -14.53 | 9.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 148.5 USD | 5.4% | 148.1 USD | 198.1 USD | -0.60 | -9.88 | 11.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 140.9 USD | 1.5% | 147.4 USD | 198.7 USD | -0.79 | -14.53 | 10.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 138.8 USD | -7.1% | 146.9 USD | 199.2 USD | -0.70 | -18.55 | 10.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 149.5 USD | 5.0% | 146.6 USD | 199.8 USD | -0.51 | -11.87 | 10.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 142.3 USD | -4.0% | 146.2 USD | 200.2 USD | -0.52 | -16.15 | 10.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 148.2 USD | -3.0% | 146.0 USD | 200.7 USD | -0.20 | -13.47 | 8.1M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 152.8 USD | -1.4% | 145.7 USD | 201.2 USD | 0.22 | -9.65 | 8.8M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 154.9 USD | -3.9% | 145.3 USD | 201.5 USD | 0.30 | -8.38 | 7.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.