Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
GER ยท Equity ยท Germany
HBC1
HSBC Holdings plc
Financial ServicesBanks - Diversified
HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong, UK, Corporate and Institutional Banking, and International Wealth and Premier Banking. The Hong Kong segment is involved in the retail banking and wealth and commercial banking of HSBC Hong Kong and Hang Seng Bank. The UK segment engages in UK retail banking and wealth, as well as first direct and โฆ
Last updated
2 Oct 2026
Exchange
XETRA ยท GER
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Banks - Diversified
Currency
EUR
Market capitalisation
305,831,593,906
Fair value reference
10.25
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 68.06%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-10-02, HBC1 fell 2.62%, moving from 17.44 to 16.99. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 11.76 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.09 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 68.06% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
2 Oct 2026
Latest Close
16.99
12-Week Change
-2.62%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 68.06%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Chart views
Completed weekly prices ยท Select a view to explore the evidence.
Weekly Trend
All chart layers are hidden. Open Chart options to select a layer or choose Reset.
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Move across either panel to inspect a week
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
Price above, support below. Both panels follow the same completed weeks. Use the controls to show or hide trend segments and support averages.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-10-02
Price is ahead of support
Price has risen faster than the supporting PSI reading. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
47/1001 completed week
Recent support
+21Building
Readings pointing the same way
50%Activity is weighing on price
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together29/100
Moving together ยท little change
Ticker and market
The ticker reading is mixed
PSI has no clear direction. The wider market adds context, but does not change that mixed reading.
PSI
-7.0
Market togetherness
29/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Current contextTicker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
The two readings are mixed
Neither reading gives a clear direction.
Current reading
-0.09
Four-week change
-1.16
Sharemaestro ยท HBC1 ยท Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
โ Broke a prior high / lowโ Closed back across the levelโฒ / โผ Reversal confirmedโ โ Confirmation levelโ Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-3.56%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedLower part of the range
The close finished at 22% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history91% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-7.8%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+691.5%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.6ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
9 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
27 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow the trend range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
52-week position
79.5%
Low to high
Accepted price
10.85
Latest versus accepted: 56.61%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.80% per week
Range pressure
41/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.24ร normal range
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Structural price levels, distance from close and supporting evidence
Reference
Price
From close
Evidence
Touches
Support
9.92
-41.6%
85/100
4
Support
10.74
-36.8%
100/100
5
Support
16.71
-1.6%
23/100
1
Resistance
18.57
9.3%
39/100
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow the trend range
Price is at 79.5% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.80% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 41/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level18.56
Resistance is 9.3% from the latest close with 39/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.83 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityStrong alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 148 completed weeks; visible confirmation is strong alignment.
Momentum pathStrong ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWatch
The latest reversal warning was 8 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
The latest reversal warning was 8 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
8 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
9 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
10 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
11 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
12 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price is running ahead of Market Dynamics
Price is -2.6% across this view and is in the upper part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is -0.09 after a -1.16 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move has less underlying support than its location suggests.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-17Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
At distribution for 27 completed weeks
The distribution reading is confirmed. A downward exit starts the reverse journey toward accumulation.
Current journey
No active journey
Activated
Not active
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. HBC1 is currently in the distribution area, but a new transition does not begin until price leaves a confirmed zone. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Accumulation 7.30Distribution 16.69
A dark-zone close or two consecutive light-zone closes confirms residence. A completed close moving out of confirmed accumulation starts a journey toward distribution; an exit from confirmed distribution starts the reverse journey. Time in each zone is retained before the next transition begins.
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2024-09-27โ2026-07-10 ยท 94 completed weeks ยท price move +133.2%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2024-09-27โ2026-07-10 ยท journey 94w ยท source dwell 50w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+133.2%
Time to confirm
94w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 94 completed weeks. Price moved +133.2% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure is historically strong, but cooling
Positive pressure is elevated relative to the completed history. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+65.71% ยท Historically strong ยท Cooling
Market positionHistorically strong
Positive pressure is elevated relative to the completed history.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsCooling from elevated strength
Pressure remains positive, but an historically elevated reading has started to fade.
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
Pressure remains positive, but an historically elevated reading has started to fade.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 12% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 88% of completed observations.
State persistence261 completed weeks
The current historically strong state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 108 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 69% of the time; the typical move was +3.7%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
3 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
6 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
21 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
27 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
30 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
33 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Read who has control, whether that control is strengthening, and which price levels would change the picture.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Price and its referencesThe navy line is price. Compare it with the VWAP lines to see whether it is holding above or below areas of volume-weighted trading.
Control over timeGreen, blue and rose backgrounds mark buyer control, contested conditions and seller control. Circles mark completed changes in control.
Strength of controlThe lower panel follows pressure through the same weeks. Higher readings favour buyers; lower readings favour sellers. This is a strength reading, not a probability.
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Pressure through time ยท green above 60: buyer control ยท blue between 40 and 60: contested ยท rose below 40: seller control.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is below the core VWAP, which is rising. 82% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
Pressure 60/100 and -27.7 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack3 of 6 below price
2 references converge near 17.69: Swing high, 13-week VWAP.
Acceptance82% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+3.4% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +10.8 pts.
Stretch0.3 normal ranges below
Price is -1.0% from the core VWAP.
Persistence1 completed week
Price has remained below the core VWAP.
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
01 ยท Control trajectoryControl transfer weakening
Price has completed its first move below the core VWAP; recovery or further acceptance below will decide the next state.
02 ยท Price and pressurePrice and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
03 ยท Reference concentrationVWAP cluster present
2 references converge near 17.69: Swing high, 13-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation17.16
A completed close above 26-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area17.16
26-week VWAP at 17.16, 1.0% above the latest close.
Weakening level15.91
A completed close below Year VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
View exact VWAP reference values
VWAP references relative to the latest close
Reference
Price
From close
26-week VWAP
17.16
+0.99%
Swing high
17.67
+4.03%
13-week VWAP
17.70
+4.17%
Year VWAP
15.91
-6.36%
High-activity anchor
13.80
-18.79%
52-week VWAP
13.63
-19.76%
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 77%Above price 24%
5%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท ^GDAXIWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -11.3 points.
Buyer control developing ยท 71/100
Sector ยท Financial ServicesStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +10.5 points.
Control is contested ยท 49/100
Industry ยท Banks - DiversifiedBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -8.5 points.
Buyer control developing ยท 68/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim100% favourable
Events
2
Median 4w
+4.25%
Median 13w
+13.25%
Typical best
+13.25%
Typical worst
+0.69%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss0% favourable
Events
2
Median 4w
+8.68%
Median 13w
+15.10%
Typical best
+16.39%
Typical worst
-2.15%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states0 matched weeks
The visible history does not contain enough closely comparable completed states.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.90 ยท Strong
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains strong, but its path has softened
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.90 ยท Strong
Current stateStrong ยท 0.90
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
17 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 70 comparable completed observations, 74.3% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +6.5%.
Comparable observations
70Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
74.3%After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+6.5%Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+2.9 ptsDifference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
2 Oct 2026
Latest Close
16.99
12-Week Change
-2.62%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 68.06%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
11.76
Market Dynamics
-0.09
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-10-02, HBC1 fell 2.62%, moving from 17.44 to 16.99. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 11.76 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.09 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 68.06% based on similar historical setup states.
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