- The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
FRAS
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Frasers Group Plc · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
808.5 GBP
-0.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a 8.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
808.5 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
19.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
53.8%
28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.52% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.2%.
Indicator stack
64/70
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.52%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
48/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a 8.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8312-week average 0.48
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.2% over four weeks, 19.2% over 12 weeks, and 19.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change489.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Oct 2025
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 62%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength97/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum85/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Growth3/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework70/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 11.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 9.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 46.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 10.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 10.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 9.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -7.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -23.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 28.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment48/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
4 positive · 10 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-10.3%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-0.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank39 / 100
Group average5.3%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD74.0%positive activity pressure
RS43.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Specialty Retail
4-week rank10 / 16
Group average9.5%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD81.2%positive activity pressure
RS43.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape60/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis78/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.83; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.52%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.52% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors90/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 74 SVQF70/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 78.5 of 260 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment48/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
Harvey Nichols plunges to £49m loss as it races to strike rescue deal Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 808.5 GBP | -0.2% | 709.0 GBP | 746.5 GBP | 1.05 | 5.44 | 550.4K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 810.5 GBP | 5.9% | 704.4 GBP | 746.6 GBP | 0.94 | 6.00 | 570.3K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 765.0 GBP | 4.8% | 699.7 GBP | 746.5 GBP | 0.83 | 1.28 | 947.0K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 730.0 GBP | -2.3% | 696.8 GBP | 746.5 GBP | 0.79 | -2.28 | 909.3K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 747.5 GBP | -1.3% | 693.4 GBP | 746.4 GBP | 0.91 | 0.92 | 799.4K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 757.0 GBP | 3.8% | 691.1 GBP | 746.1 GBP | 0.97 | 0.32 | 289.2K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 729.5 GBP | 2.7% | 691.5 GBP | 745.7 GBP | 0.97 | -1.93 | 185.6K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 710.5 GBP | -10.3% | 691.0 GBP | 745.4 GBP | 1.23 | -3.38 | 1.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 792.0 GBP | 6.2% | 690.8 GBP | 745.3 GBP | 1.27 | 6.27 | 388.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 745.5 GBP | -3.4% | 687.6 GBP | 744.7 GBP | 0.95 | 0.84 | 167.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 771.5 GBP | 6.3% | 687.1 GBP | 744.4 GBP | 0.74 | 3.62 | 1.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 726.0 GBP | 7.0% | 686.7 GBP | 743.7 GBP | 0.08 | -3.17 | 837.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 678.5 GBP | -2.0% | 685.7 GBP | 744.0 GBP | -0.42 | -7.42 | 700.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 692.0 GBP | 6.1% | 686.3 GBP | 744.6 GBP | -0.36 | -6.28 | 589.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.