The latest close is inside the activity area established before the last four weeks. 4 of those four closes were inside that area. Recent volume balance is negative; the estimated activity centre is higher. The four-week price move and estimated closing pressure point in different directions.
52 weeks2025-10-10 to 2026-10-02Weekly volume estimate
The relationship beneath price · 2026-10-02
Price–pressure disagreement
These diagnostics use fixed windows through the latest completed week. Chart period controls below change the activity study separately.
Four-week price move3.5%-9.1% over thirteen weeks
Latest relative volume2.71×2.05× recent four-week median
Closing pressure-19.9%Volume-weighted position within weekly ranges
Up-week volume share40.3%59.7% in declining weeks · last 13 weeks
At least twice normal volume
Price and pressure through time
Compare four-week returns with four-week closing pressure. Opposite signs reveal disagreement; agreement alone is not predictive.
View weekly evidence values
Week
4-week return
Pressure
Relative volume
2025-10-10
22.6%
-7.6%
1.60×
2025-10-17
3.3%
-47.6%
1.96×
2025-10-24
23.5%
-39.4%
2.11×
2025-10-31
-5.4%
-63.9%
0.85×
2025-11-07
-22.6%
-70.8%
1.61×
2025-11-14
-34.0%
-72.8%
1.39×
2025-11-21
-48.6%
-85.3%
1.17×
2025-11-28
-35.4%
-47.4%
1.41×
2025-12-05
-21.8%
-16.7%
1.10×
2025-12-12
-10.0%
-13.6%
1.26×
2025-12-19
-0.2%
-4.5%
0.57×
2025-12-26
-17.4%
-44.5%
0.56×
2026-01-02
-17.7%
-19.9%
1.08×
2026-01-09
-8.5%
13.7%
1.18×
2026-01-16
11.5%
44.0%
1.15×
2026-01-23
6.8%
37.3%
1.31×
2026-01-30
-3.6%
-0.4%
0.84×
2026-02-06
-24.0%
-10.4%
2.15×
2026-02-13
-35.3%
-43.3%
1.44×
2026-02-20
-24.0%
-30.9%
0.72×
2026-02-27
-3.7%
-14.5%
0.65×
2026-03-06
4.1%
-40.4%
1.23×
2026-03-13
38.5%
11.1%
0.98×
2026-03-20
12.8%
-17.8%
1.08×
2026-03-27
-12.7%
-45.8%
1.22×
2026-04-03
-4.3%
-34.1%
0.60×
2026-04-10
-5.3%
-47.9%
0.74×
2026-04-17
32.6%
30.1%
2.74×
2026-04-24
43.4%
33.5%
1.91×
2026-05-01
54.0%
55.0%
1.22×
2026-05-08
28.8%
47.2%
1.63×
2026-05-15
5.3%
12.4%
1.15×
2026-05-22
23.9%
61.2%
2.44×
2026-05-29
16.9%
30.5%
1.92×
2026-06-05
0.6%
16.9%
0.65×
2026-06-12
15.9%
24.4%
0.36×
2026-06-19
2.3%
-34.7%
0.05×
2026-06-26
3.2%
-34.0%
0.14×
2026-07-03
4.2%
52.1%
0.17×
2026-07-10
-8.4%
49.5%
0.14×
2026-07-17
-24.8%
-14.5%
0.34×
2026-07-24
-11.5%
-31.7%
0.22×
2026-07-31
-10.4%
-60.0%
0.05×
2026-08-07
-21.8%
-63.1%
0.12×
2026-08-14
-15.4%
-56.3%
0.46×
2026-08-21
-13.5%
-88.9%
1.19×
2026-08-28
-4.6%
-90.9%
0.47×
2026-09-04
10.7%
-49.9%
0.93×
2026-09-11
34.6%
4.2%
1.39×
2026-09-18
15.9%
63.4%
1.14×
2026-09-25
13.9%
2.3%
3.41×
2026-10-02
3.5%
-19.9%
2.71×
Does support survive a longer view?
Advancing-week volume share against price return and closing pressure.
A high advancing-volume share alongside weak closing pressure can mean price rose between closes but finished low within its weekly ranges. The two measures answer different questions.
Effort and result
15% price efficiency
Four-week net price movement as a share of the total close-to-close path. Lower readings indicate more back-and-forth movement, regardless of volume.
Latest close: 25% of the way from the weekly low to high.
Volume-weighted return tilt
0.86 percentage points
The volume-weighted average weekly return minus the ordinary average over thirteen weeks. Positive means more volume coincided with stronger returns; negative means volume leaned toward weaker returns.
An association within this listing, not measured capital flow.
Constructive confirmation
25.1 / 100
Price direction15.0 / 30
Closing pressure0.0 / 30
Up-week volume10.1 / 25
Volume confirmation0.0 / 15
Fixed weights favour supported advances. A low score can still contain useful bearish or reversal research.
Test the volume contribution
Did heavier trading change what followed?
Compare high-volume and ordinary-volume weeks with the same price direction.
High volume is at least 1.5× its preceding 26-week median; ordinary volume is 0.75–1.25×. Returns start at that week’s close. Each group uses non-overlapping completed outcomes.
Starting observation
After
High-volume examples
Median return
Ordinary examples
Median return
Difference
Advancing weeks
4 weeks
4
—
6
—
Limited sample
Advancing weeks
13 weeks
2
—
3
—
Limited sample
Declining weeks
4 weeks
3
—
4
—
Limited sample
Declining weeks
13 weeks
2
—
2
—
Limited sample
At least eight completed examples in both groups are required. Groups may overlap each other, and differ in volatility, trend and market conditions; their difference is not a causal volume effect or a statistical claim of edge. Up to six years of available history; price returns exclude dividends, costs and execution. Fixed definitions have not been validated out of sample.
Inspect the dated observations
Advancing weeks · 4 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2025-09-12
2025-10-10
22.6%
High volume
2025-10-10
2025-11-07
-22.6%
High volume
2026-04-17
2026-05-15
5.3%
High volume
2026-05-22
2026-06-19
2.3%
Ordinary volume
2025-09-19
2025-10-17
3.3%
Ordinary volume
2025-12-05
2026-01-02
-17.7%
Ordinary volume
2026-01-02
2026-01-30
-3.6%
Ordinary volume
2026-03-13
2026-04-10
-5.3%
Ordinary volume
2026-05-01
2026-05-29
16.9%
Ordinary volume
2026-08-21
2026-09-18
15.9%
Advancing weeks · 13 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2025-09-12
2025-12-12
-29.2%
High volume
2026-04-17
2026-07-17
-8.0%
Ordinary volume
2025-09-19
2025-12-19
-45.1%
Ordinary volume
2026-01-02
2026-04-03
-19.7%
Ordinary volume
2026-05-01
2026-07-31
-3.9%
Declining weeks · 4 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2025-10-17
2025-11-14
-34.0%
High volume
2026-02-06
2026-03-06
4.1%
High volume
2026-04-24
2026-05-22
23.9%
Ordinary volume
2025-08-29
2025-09-26
3.4%
Ordinary volume
2025-10-31
2025-11-28
-35.4%
Ordinary volume
2026-01-30
2026-02-27
-3.7%
Ordinary volume
2026-03-06
2026-04-03
-4.3%
Declining weeks · 13 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2025-10-17
2026-01-16
-40.8%
High volume
2026-02-06
2026-05-08
56.9%
Ordinary volume
2025-08-29
2025-11-28
-24.3%
Ordinary volume
2026-01-30
2026-05-01
28.3%
Price, activity and volume balance
Where volume is concentrated
2026-10-02Close 10.10
Weekly priceEstimated volume at priceMost active priceEarlier activity areaEstimated volume balance
Move over the chart, tap a week, or use the arrow keys to inspect it. The profile estimates where volume sits within weekly price ranges. The lower chart accumulates volume weighted by where each week closed in its range; its starting point changes with the selected period. This is not trade-based CVD.
Most active price9.94
Earlier activity area6.34 – 11.14
Recent volume balance-19.9%
Recent weekly volume1.57×
View chart values
Completed weekly observations
Week ending
Close
Volume
2025-10-10
16.82
53784
2025-10-17
16.37
65762
2025-10-24
16.96
75913
2025-10-31
15.55
32730
2025-11-07
13.01
62082
2025-11-14
10.80
54877
2025-11-21
8.71
46418
2025-11-28
10.05
55620
2025-12-05
10.18
43364
2025-12-12
9.71
53701
2025-12-19
8.70
24606
2025-12-26
8.30
24070
2026-01-02
8.37
46532
2026-01-09
8.89
52897
2026-01-16
9.69
53216
2026-01-23
8.87
60876
2026-01-30
8.08
41581
2026-02-06
6.76
99723
2026-02-13
6.27
71564
2026-02-20
6.74
38241
2026-02-27
7.78
32557
2026-03-06
7.03
61083
2026-03-13
8.69
52016
2026-03-20
7.60
56651
2026-03-27
6.79
64757
2026-04-03
6.73
31978
2026-04-10
8.23
39736
2026-04-17
10.08
145432
2026-04-24
9.73
101137
2026-05-01
10.36
64816
2026-05-08
10.60
87013
2026-05-15
10.62
61691
2026-05-22
12.05
130294
2026-05-29
12.10
104861
2026-06-05
10.67
35990
2026-06-12
12.31
19933
2026-06-19
12.33
2629
2026-06-26
12.50
7526
2026-07-03
11.11
9384
2026-07-10
11.27
7596
2026-07-17
9.27
18940
2026-07-24
11.06
12214
2026-07-31
9.96
2437
2026-08-07
8.82
5314
2026-08-14
7.84
18092
2026-08-21
9.56
44167
2026-08-28
9.49
17898
2026-09-04
9.76
35196
2026-09-11
10.56
49566
2026-09-18
11.08
40571
2026-09-25
10.81
121345
2026-10-02
10.10
96463
Earlier and recent activity
What has changed?
The recent comparison uses the last four completed weeks.
Activity centre
Higher
The recent centre moved +4.78% against the earlier part of this period.
Price and volume
Disagreement
Price changed +3.47% over four weeks. Volume balance is -19.9% on a scale from −100% to +100%.
Volume and price movement
More volume, clear price movement
Recent median weekly volume is 1.57× the earlier median. This describes price response, not the identity of buyers or sellers.
Recent closes
4 of 4 closes inside
Price was inside the earlier area before these four weeks. The earlier boundaries stay fixed for this comparison.
Activity over time
Darker cells show more estimated volume at that price. Use the chart to see where activity has moved. For longer periods, a column combines several weeks.
Volume and price movement
Each dot is a week. Compare weekly volume with the move from open to close.
What to check next
Holding outside the area
Watch which boundary price moves beyond and whether later closes remain outside it.
Returning inside
Price is currently inside the earlier area. Repeated closes here would show that activity remains in the same price range.
Price and volume disagreeing
Price and recent volume balance currently disagree. Check whether they move in the same direction in later weeks.
Same stock · Earlier observations
Previous examples
Descriptive history, not a forecast.
Comparisons use the same period length, position relative to the earlier activity area and direction of recent volume balance. Outcomes do not overlap for each following period. At least five examples are needed to show a matched median. The median is the middle result; the all-period median includes earlier periods regardless of their volume reading.
Subsequent price changes
After
Examples
Median change
Sample
4 weeks
3
—
Too few examples
13 weeks
1
—
Too few examples
Returns are close-to-close price changes. Interim lows show the lowest price reached during the period. Dividends, fees and trade execution are not included. The available history contains up to six years of weekly observations.
Compare with other studies
These studies describe different parts of the same market. Check each observation date.
The selected period sets the profile and volume balance starting point. “Start from a date” uses the first available week on or after that date. At least 13 consecutive weeks are required.
Compare earlier activity
The earlier activity area contains most of the estimated volume before the last four weeks. The activity centre is the average estimated price, weighted by volume. Compare subsequent closes with its boundaries, then read the volume balance alongside the price move.
Check the data
Volume is reported for the whole week. The distribution within the range and the direction of pressure are estimates. They cannot identify individual trades, investor holdings or institutional buying.
Reports use saved weekly data and refresh when those records change. Missing or invalid weeks restrict the available periods.
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