The latest close is below the activity area established before the last four weeks. 3 of those four closes were below that area. Recent volume balance is positive; the estimated activity centre is lower. The four-week price move and estimated closing pressure point in different directions.
52 weeks2025-10-03 to 2026-09-25Weekly volume estimate
The relationship beneath price · 2026-09-25
Price–pressure disagreement
These diagnostics use fixed windows through the latest completed week. Chart period controls below change the activity study separately.
Four-week price move-5.0%-10.2% over thirteen weeks
Latest relative volume0.40×0.61× recent four-week median
Closing pressure14.2%Volume-weighted position within weekly ranges
Up-week volume share35.8%63.0% in declining weeks · last 13 weeks
Price and pressure through time
Compare four-week returns with four-week closing pressure. Opposite signs reveal disagreement; agreement alone is not predictive.
View weekly evidence values
Week
4-week return
Pressure
Relative volume
2025-11-21
-17.3%
-56.5%
0.76×
2025-11-28
-11.7%
-51.2%
0.23×
2025-12-05
-0.9%
-22.5%
0.65×
2025-12-12
3.2%
-2.2%
0.67×
2025-12-19
12.2%
32.7%
0.36×
2025-12-26
11.8%
31.9%
0.33×
2026-01-02
17.5%
65.6%
1.79×
2026-01-09
10.5%
64.6%
1.44×
2026-01-16
24.4%
50.1%
3.33×
2026-01-23
24.9%
49.2%
2.28×
2026-01-30
11.1%
11.4%
3.47×
2026-02-06
21.3%
28.6%
2.78×
2026-02-13
15.7%
50.6%
4.72×
2026-02-20
9.5%
49.8%
0.27×
2026-02-27
22.7%
80.1%
4.21×
2026-03-06
9.5%
38.6%
4.40×
2026-03-13
-2.4%
-2.0%
3.16×
2026-03-20
-14.2%
-28.1%
6.16×
2026-03-27
-23.3%
-41.3%
2.42×
2026-04-03
-19.1%
-39.8%
1.19×
2026-04-10
-12.4%
-39.1%
0.92×
2026-04-17
-1.1%
-2.1%
0.60×
2026-04-24
-0.4%
-27.1%
0.52×
2026-05-01
-2.6%
-24.2%
0.33×
2026-05-08
-6.4%
-22.2%
0.39×
2026-05-15
-9.3%
-53.3%
1.11×
2026-05-22
-9.8%
-50.4%
0.71×
2026-05-29
-9.8%
-15.4%
1.18×
2026-06-05
-4.7%
-13.1%
0.08×
2026-06-12
6.7%
20.8%
0.14×
2026-06-19
0.8%
-14.6%
1.16×
2026-06-26
-3.9%
-32.2%
0.37×
2026-07-03
-11.5%
-38.9%
0.02×
2026-07-10
-14.1%
-41.5%
0.03×
2026-07-17
-11.7%
14.0%
0.16×
2026-07-24
-0.9%
-75.3%
0.25×
2026-07-31
3.7%
-70.9%
0.01×
2026-08-07
1.4%
-82.6%
0.03×
2026-08-14
5.5%
-90.0%
0.02×
2026-08-21
-2.3%
5.0%
0.12×
2026-08-28
-6.3%
-33.4%
0.37×
2026-09-04
3.1%
48.3%
0.88×
2026-09-11
-4.9%
35.4%
0.21×
2026-09-18
-6.8%
-3.7%
1.56×
2026-09-25
-5.0%
14.2%
0.40×
Does support survive a longer view?
Advancing-week volume share against price return and closing pressure.
A high advancing-volume share alongside weak closing pressure can mean price rose between closes but finished low within its weekly ranges. The two measures answer different questions.
Effort and result
20% price efficiency
Four-week net price movement as a share of the total close-to-close path. Lower readings indicate more back-and-forth movement, regardless of volume.
Latest close: 93% of the way from the weekly low to high.
Volume-weighted return tilt
0.51 percentage points
The volume-weighted average weekly return minus the ordinary average over thirteen weeks. Positive means more volume coincided with stronger returns; negative means volume leaned toward weaker returns.
An association within this listing, not measured capital flow.
Constructive confirmation
13.2 / 100
Price direction0.0 / 30
Closing pressure4.3 / 30
Up-week volume9.0 / 25
Volume confirmation0.0 / 15
Fixed weights favour supported advances. A low score can still contain useful bearish or reversal research.
Test the volume contribution
Did heavier trading change what followed?
Compare high-volume and ordinary-volume weeks with the same price direction.
High volume is at least 1.5× its preceding 26-week median; ordinary volume is 0.75–1.25×. Returns start at that week’s close. Each group uses non-overlapping completed outcomes.
Starting observation
After
High-volume examples
Median return
Ordinary examples
Median return
Difference
Advancing weeks
4 weeks
6
—
2
—
Limited sample
Advancing weeks
13 weeks
2
—
2
—
Limited sample
Declining weeks
4 weeks
5
—
5
—
Limited sample
Declining weeks
13 weeks
2
—
3
—
Limited sample
At least eight completed examples in both groups are required. Groups may overlap each other, and differ in volatility, trend and market conditions; their difference is not a causal volume effect or a statistical claim of edge. Up to six years of available history; price returns exclude dividends, costs and execution. Fixed definitions have not been validated out of sample.
Inspect the dated observations
Advancing weeks · 4 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2022-11-11
2022-12-09
6.6%
High volume
2022-12-09
2023-01-06
-4.6%
High volume
2023-01-06
2023-02-03
-1.1%
High volume
2025-03-21
2025-04-18
-8.0%
High volume
2026-01-02
2026-01-30
11.1%
High volume
2026-02-06
2026-03-06
9.5%
Ordinary volume
2022-11-25
2022-12-23
-2.1%
Ordinary volume
2026-04-10
2026-05-08
-6.4%
Advancing weeks · 13 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2022-11-11
2023-02-10
1.6%
High volume
2026-01-02
2026-04-03
3.8%
Ordinary volume
2022-11-25
2023-02-24
-4.2%
Ordinary volume
2026-04-10
2026-07-10
-19.2%
Declining weeks · 4 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2022-09-30
2022-10-28
-3.4%
High volume
2022-12-23
2023-01-20
-1.1%
High volume
2023-01-20
2023-02-17
-0.5%
High volume
2026-01-30
2026-02-27
22.7%
High volume
2026-03-06
2026-04-03
-19.1%
Ordinary volume
2022-10-21
2022-11-18
5.0%
Ordinary volume
2025-11-21
2025-12-19
12.2%
Ordinary volume
2026-04-03
2026-05-01
-2.6%
Ordinary volume
2026-05-15
2026-06-12
6.7%
Ordinary volume
2026-06-19
2026-07-17
-11.7%
Declining weeks · 13 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2022-09-30
2022-12-30
3.4%
High volume
2026-01-30
2026-05-01
-8.9%
Ordinary volume
2022-10-21
2023-01-20
2.2%
Ordinary volume
2025-11-21
2026-02-20
58.1%
Ordinary volume
2026-04-03
2026-07-03
-17.9%
Price, activity and volume balance
Where volume is concentrated
2026-09-25Close 1.98
Weekly priceEstimated volume at priceMost active priceEarlier activity areaEstimated volume balance
Move over the chart, tap a week, or use the arrow keys to inspect it. The profile estimates where volume sits within weekly price ranges. The lower chart accumulates volume weighted by where each week closed in its range; its starting point changes with the selected period. This is not trade-based CVD.
Most active price2.67
Earlier activity area2.16 – 2.96
Recent volume balance14.2%
Recent weekly volume0.49×
View chart values
Completed weekly observations
Week ending
Close
Volume
2025-10-03
2.12
1348000
2025-10-10
2.57
12326120
2025-10-17
2.43
6396000
2025-10-24
2.39
2216000
2025-10-31
2.31
2104000
2025-11-07
2.17
1592100
2025-11-14
2.14
902000
2025-11-21
1.97
1652000
2025-11-28
2.04
500000
2025-12-05
2.15
1402000
2025-12-12
2.20
1444000
2025-12-19
2.21
778660
2025-12-26
2.28
712000
2026-01-02
2.52
3828000
2026-01-09
2.43
3114000
2026-01-16
2.75
7246000
2026-01-23
2.85
4948000
2026-01-30
2.80
7730840
2026-02-06
2.95
7310000
2026-02-13
3.19
12656000
2026-02-20
3.12
732000
2026-02-27
3.44
9378000
2026-03-06
3.23
9806000
2026-03-13
3.11
7050000
2026-03-20
2.68
13746000
2026-03-27
2.64
6490000
2026-04-03
2.62
4132002
2026-04-10
2.72
3676000
2026-04-17
2.65
2248000
2026-04-24
2.63
1764000
2026-05-01
2.55
1106000
2026-05-08
2.55
1313040
2026-05-15
2.40
3778000
2026-05-22
2.37
2630000
2026-05-29
2.30
4414000
2026-06-05
2.43
296000
2026-06-12
2.56
540000
2026-06-19
2.39
4410000
2026-06-26
2.21
1454000
2026-07-03
2.15
94000
2026-07-10
2.20
132000
2026-07-17
2.11
616000
2026-07-24
2.19
928000
2026-07-31
2.23
42000
2026-08-07
2.23
78000
2026-08-14
2.22
37040
2026-08-21
2.14
198000
2026-08-28
2.09
602000
2026-09-04
2.30
1220000
2026-09-11
2.12
260000
2026-09-18
2.00
1816000
2026-09-25
1.98
462000
Earlier and recent activity
What has changed?
The recent comparison uses the last four completed weeks.
Activity centre
Lower
The recent centre moved -23.63% against the earlier part of this period.
Price and volume
Disagreement
Price changed -5.02% over four weeks. Volume balance is +14.2% on a scale from −100% to +100%.
Volume and price movement
Recent volume is below its earlier norm
Recent median weekly volume is 0.49× the earlier median. This describes price response, not the identity of buyers or sellers.
Recent closes
3 of 4 closes below
Price was below the earlier area before these four weeks. The earlier boundaries stay fixed for this comparison.
Activity over time
Darker cells show more estimated volume at that price. Use the chart to see where activity has moved. For longer periods, a column combines several weeks.
Volume and price movement
Each dot is a week. Compare weekly volume with the move from open to close.
What to check next
Holding outside the area
Further closes below the earlier area would show that price is staying outside it. Compare them with the direction of recent volume balance.
Returning inside
A close back inside the earlier area would weaken the move outside it. Check whether the return lasts more than one week.
Price and volume disagreeing
Price and recent volume balance currently disagree. Check whether they move in the same direction in later weeks.
Same stock · Earlier observations
Previous examples
Descriptive history, not a forecast.
Comparisons use the same period length, position relative to the earlier activity area and direction of recent volume balance. Outcomes do not overlap for each following period. At least five examples are needed to show a matched median. The median is the middle result; the all-period median includes earlier periods regardless of their volume reading.
Subsequent price changes
After
Examples
Median change
Sample
4 weeks
0
—
Too few examples
13 weeks
0
—
Too few examples
Returns are close-to-close price changes. Interim lows show the lowest price reached during the period. Dividends, fees and trade execution are not included. The available history contains up to six years of weekly observations.
Compare with other studies
These studies describe different parts of the same market. Check each observation date.
The selected period sets the profile and volume balance starting point. “Start from a date” uses the first available week on or after that date. At least 13 consecutive weeks are required.
Compare earlier activity
The earlier activity area contains most of the estimated volume before the last four weeks. The activity centre is the average estimated price, weighted by volume. Compare subsequent closes with its boundaries, then read the volume balance alongside the price move.
Check the data
Volume is reported for the whole week. The distribution within the range and the direction of pressure are estimates. They cannot identify individual trades, investor holdings or institutional buying.
Reports use saved weekly data and refresh when those records change. Missing or invalid weeks restrict the available periods. 16 invalid records were excluded from the available history.
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