ROCK ยท saved analysis through 24 Sep 2026

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Ticker Options Intelligence

ROCK options intelligence

Gibraltar Industries Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 45 Market data through 24 Sep 2026 Checked 25 Sep 2026 09:28 ยท complete available chain

The reading ยท 2026-09-24

Put activity leads

Use with limits

Options balance does not yet confirm the saved weekly stock trend. Stock context: 2026-09-18.

What changed?

Compare with the previous saved completed session.

Compared with 23 Sep 2026.
Options balance
-76.9 pointsBearish โ†’ Bearish
Stock reference
-1.3%Between the two saved price references
Priced move
Not comparedExpiry changed or usable pricing is missing.

Price references

Unavailable through 2026-10-16

Near-money quotes are missing, one-sided or too widely spread to publish a reliable range.

This describes the size of a priced move, not its direction or a guaranteed trading range.
Call concentration
50.00
Put concentration
45.00
Concentrations are reference levels, not proven support or resistance.

What to watch

Supports this reading

  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.

Would weaken it

  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
Completed-session reading ยท 2026-09-24
  • Near-money quotes are missing, one-sided or too widely spread to publish a reliable range.
  • Activity totals cannot identify buyers, sellers or newly opened positions.
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move -

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.06

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -10.1%

RS -22.9

Expected move -
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.06
Reference IV 0.36
Max pain 45.00
Underlying 39.70
Nearest expiry 16 Oct 2026
Contracts 94

The outcome record

What followed the dated readings?

Stock-price direction through expiry, using the first available weekly close on or just after expiry. These are not option-trade returns.

Recorded in advance

New readings are saved before their outcomes. A calculation change starts a separate record.

0 / 0

Non-overlapping directional readings followed through.

0 waiting for an outcome ยท 2 excluded by data or timing checks.

Too few independent outcomes to establish an edge.

Earlier saved readings

2 / 2

Non-overlapping directional readings followed through. 8 overlapping readings left out.

Always-up baseline: 50% ยท Always-down: 50%.

95% interval: 34โ€“100%.

This is a retrospective audit of saved versions, separate from the record collected in advance.

How to read this

The baselines use the same stocks and observation windows. They ask whether a simple up or down call did as well.

Removing overlapping windows reduces repeated counting. It does not make market observations fully independent.

The interval shows sampling uncertainty. Costs, execution and option selection are not tested here.

Priced Move

The priced move through expiry

Size, not direction

Near-money quotes are missing, one-sided or too widely spread to publish a reliable range.

Score Construction

Evidence behind the reading

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 / 100
100

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation4 / 100
4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 / 100
0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility25 / 100
25

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Evidence alignment45/100A research score, not a probability

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 50.00; the largest put concentration is 45.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
25.00-37.0%
0
0
30.00-24.4%
0
0
35.00-11.8%
0
0
40.000.8%
1
9
45.0013.4%
0
0
50.0025.9%
2
0
55.0038.5%
0
0
60.0051.1%
0
0
65.0063.7%
0
0
70.0076.3%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Negative gamma proxy

Reported Greeks ยท 96% coverage

Put-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the call-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile-$30,055Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak55.00+$308
Negative peak45.00-$17,117
Nearest balance49.97Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
20.00-49.6%
-$4
22.50-43.3%
-$6
25.00-37.0%
-$39
30.00-24.4%
-$50
35.00-11.8%
-$2,450
40.000.8%
-$11,030
45.0013.4%
-$17,117
50.0025.9%
+$112
55.0038.5%
+$308
60.0051.1%
+$212
70.0076.3%
+$7
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.84ร— front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.36 16 Oct 22d
0.55 20 Nov 57d
0.44 19 Feb 148d
0.43 21 May 239d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

35
40
45
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

19 matured ยท 10 directional

Across 10 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 80% of the time.

All saved readings ยท may overlap80%
Moves contained by pricing58%
Average absolute expiry move8.9%
17 Sep Volatility ยท 50 -10.1% through expiry 4.2% priced ยท v2.0
15 Sep Mixed ยท 33 -10.1% through expiry 4.0% priced ยท v2.0
14 Sep Bearish ยท 51 -10.1% through expiry 5.6% priced ยท v2.0
10 Sep Bearish ยท 41 -12.2% through expiry 6.4% priced ยท v2.0
8 Sep Bullish ยท 45 -12.2% through expiry 10.0% priced ยท v2.0
4 Sep Bearish ยท 51 -12.2% through expiry 12.0% priced ยท v2.0
1 Sep Bearish ยท 61 -8.3% through expiry 11.3% priced ยท v2.0
28 Aug Bearish ยท 56 -8.3% through expiry 11.7% priced ยท v2.0
21 Aug Bearish ยท 57 -10.7% through expiry 11.0% priced ยท v2.0
14 Aug Volatility ยท 58 -2.9% through expiry 10.4% priced ยท v2.0
13 Aug Bearish ยท 56 -7.5% through expiry 5.6% priced ยท v2.0
12 Aug Bullish ยท 32 -7.5% through expiry 5.6% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Limited

D49/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes39%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
24 Sep 2026
Calculation
v3.0
Contracts
94 / 94
  • Usable two-sided bid/ask quotes are available for 39% of retained contracts.
  • Near-money quotes are missing, one-sided or too widely spread to publish a reliable range.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

94/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are both cautionary.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $12,198 of estimated gross traded notional, puts ยท 46-90 days ยท atm, and a bearish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-100
1W price-10.1%
Call premium0%
Put premium100%
Notional split C 0% / P 100% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.06 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts ยท 46-90 days ยท ATM
Puts ยท 46-90 days ยท ATM puts cluster with 39 contracts traded, $11,992 estimated gross traded notional, and 98% of visible notional.
$11,992
Puts ยท 46-90 days ยท OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $205 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$205

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bearish pressure under fair value

Put pressure is building after the stock has already moved below fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

60

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 24 completed sessions

Volume rank67th
Volume/OI rank88th
IV rank25th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close41.49
1W-10.1%
RS-22.9
Fair value-32.1%
Options pressure-100
Speculation4
Volatility25
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move - history building
30d avg - ยท 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 22/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 22/60 sessions -
IV 0.36 near normal
30d avg 0.47 ยท 11 sessions 36th
90d avg - ยท 24/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 24/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - ยท 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 16/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 16/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.06 elevated
30d avg 0.01 ยท 11 sessions 100th
90d avg - ยท 24/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 24/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:11 Volatility
Pressure -100
Move 13.1%
29 Jul 23:03 Volatility
Pressure -100
Move 12.0%
31 Jul 03:44 Bullish
Pressure 88
Move 12.0%
2 Aug 09:35 Volatility
Pressure -100
Move 12.0%
2 Aug 18:29 Volatility
Pressure -100
Move 12.0%
2 Aug 19:21 Volatility
Pressure -100
Move 14.5%
4 Aug 10:43 Volatility
Pressure -100
Move 14.5%
5 Aug 11:13 Volatility
Pressure -52
Move 14.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike25.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike30.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike40.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 9
Strike50.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 2
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike55.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.36
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.55
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts26
Avg IV0.44
Put-call-
Expiry21 May 2027
Contracts20
Avg IV0.43
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.24
Skew0.02
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.69
Put IV0.48
Skew-0.20
19 Feb 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.46
Put IV0.48
Skew0.02
21 May 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV0.47
Skew-0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractROCK261120P00040000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike40.00
Volume39
OI137
IV0.48
ContractROCK261120P00035000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike35.00
Volume2
OI38
IV0.48
ContractROCK261120P00045000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI291
IV0.56
ContractROCK261120C00055000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI52
IV0.32
ContractROCK261120C00060000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike60.00
Volume-
OI51
IV0.40
ContractROCK261120C00045000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI44
IV0.69
ContractROCK261120C00050000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike50.00
Volume-
OI27
IV0.23
ContractROCK261120P00025000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI15
IV0.46

Evidence context