Counter-trend rallies may occur, but primary structure and persistence do not yet support adding risk.
43
technical evidence
out of 100
out of 100
Solar
For the week ending 09 October 2026, Solar declined 3.86% with 0 advancing, 3 declining, and 0 unchanged constituents.
- Index level
- 4,324.89 Index points · base 1,000
- Weekly return
- -3.86%
- Measured companies
- 3 3 in the index universe
- Weekly breadth
- 0 up / 3 down 0 unchanged
- Weekly peer rank
- 6 of 6
Universe country-listed · Equity onlyPrice basis Adjusted weekly closeConstruction Capped equal-weight returns · Weekly rebuild
Explore Technology →
156 completed weeks
Solar price and trend
Current architecture
Deceleration
12 completed weeks in this state
Trend acceptance
-3.9%
Index versus Trend Line
Persistence
75%
Positive regime, shorter trend weakening
Participation
0%
0 advancing, 3 declining
Index Value
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Constructive Transition Defensive
Weekly index closes and the Trend Line. Dashed grey shows the latest Fair Value reference; it is not a historical forecast. Enable the other overlays for more detail.
Investor positioning lens
Is the evidence ready for capital?
A rules-based technical classification using trend, breadth, persistence, relative strength and path quality.
Evidence balance
Reduce
Five-pillar map
Trend
65
Breadth
19
Persistence
42
Relative
15
Risk quality
79
What supports the view
- The index remains above a constructive Trend gate.
What restrains conviction
- Breadth remains too narrow or inconsistent for a high-conviction position.
- Constituent persistence remains divided or predominantly negative.
- The group is not yet delivering dependable relative outperformance.
- Activity Line energy is decelerating despite the positive Trend gate.
This is a weekly research classification, not personal investment advice. Sentiment is reported as an independent confirmation layer and does not alter the technical score.
Trend state and durability
Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes
The index path is tested against the underlying security-level trend evidence.
The positive Trend gate remains, but fan energy or fast-line momentum is cooling.
State age12 weeks
Trend gateUp
Fan width3.91%
Fast versus slow change-3.09 pts
Above 0%
Below 67%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence
75% agreement
Positive regime, shorter trend weakening
The long trend remains positive, but the 13-week horizon has turned against it.
13-week
-15.9%
26-week
15.3%
39-week
10.3%
52-week
10.0%
Constituent trend persistence
100% coverage
Is the index move broadly durable?
33%positive
Coherent positive33%
Coherent negative33%
Average horizon agreement92%
Positive horizon share42%
Weakening positives0
Repairing negatives0
3 constituents measured as of 2 Oct 2026. Median trend age is 22 weeks.
Custom stage map
Where constituents sit in the cycle
Stage Analysis coverage is still building.
Capital rotation
Performance relative to Technology
Relative index
13-week relative trend
Starting level
The relative index starts at 100. Above 100 means this group has outperformed Technology since the first plotted date; below 100 means it has lagged. A rising line can show relative improvement even when both markets are falling.
Relative index147.3
13-week trend160.4
4-week trend change-3.76%
Weekly peer rank6 of 6
1 week
-4.1 pts
relative
4 weeks
-5.8 pts
relative
13 weeks
-19.7 pts
relative
26 weeks
0.9 pts
relative
52 weeks
3.9 pts
relative
Market internals
Participation, dispersion and path risk
Equal-weight index evidence with constituent-level breadth and dispersion.
Breadth
Narrow
Participation quality
0%
advanced
- Advancing
- 0
- Declining
- 3
- Unchanged
- 0
Risk and persistence
52-week lens
Path quality
Annualised weekly volatility24.5%
Drawdown from 52-week high-15.9%
Positive weeks, last 1346%
Current directional run2 weeks
Turnover versus 13-week norm306%
Breadth impulse-41.7 pts
Cross-section
3 measured
Return distribution
0Below −5%0%
3−5% to −1%100%
0−1% to +1%0%
0+1% to +5%0%
0Above +5%0%
Weekly returns across measured companies. Bars are scaled to the largest group; percentages show each group’s share.
Q1 -4.2%
Median -3.9%
Q3 -3.5%
Average winner%
Average loser-3.9%
Dispersion0.5 pts
Top-five upside sharen/a
Top-five capital share100%
Capital data coverage100%
Dispersion describes how far constituent outcomes are spreading apart. Capital concentration is contextual only; the index itself is equal weighted.
Momentum cycle
30-week price change
Index price change over 30 weeks, or the available history if shorter. Green above zero; red below.
Breadth cycle
Net participation
Advancers less decliners as a percentage of measured constituents.
Within the same sector
Where are returns broadly supported?
Compare the weekly result with the share of companies advancing.
↑ Companies advancing · 50% marks half of measured companies
−3.9%Weekly index return · zero at centre+3.9%
Compare return with participationHover or focus a marker for the full reading. Select it to open the report.
Markers show weekly return rank. Hover or focus for the name. Fine lines connect separated markers to their actual positions. Up, down and unchanged companies all count in participation.
| Rank / Industry | Weekly return | Advancing share | Up / down | Companies | Week ending |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Software - InfrastructureTechnology | 3.42% | 86% | 6 / 1 | 7 | 9 Oct 2026 |
| 2Software - ApplicationTechnology | 2.22% | 67% | 4 / 2 | 6 | 9 Oct 2026 |
| 3Information Technology ServicesTechnology | -0.41% | 25% | 2 / 4 | 8 | 9 Oct 2026 |
| 4Computer HardwareTechnology | -1.80% | 33% | 1 / 2 | 3 | 9 Oct 2026 |
| 5Electronic ComponentsTechnology | -3.38% | 0% | 0 / 3 | 3 | 9 Oct 2026 |
| 6SolarTechnology | -3.86% | 0% | 0 / 3 | 3 | 9 Oct 2026 |
Italy · Weekly return relationships
Which markets move together?
Compare sectors and industries within Italy over the same 52-week window. Strong positive relationships can mean that apparently different holdings share the same risk.
Closest: Industrials and Healthcare (0.72; 52 weeks).
11 indexes · 55 qualifying pairsClosest: Banks - Regional and Building Materials (0.68; 52 weeks).
35 indexes · 595 qualifying pairs−1 · Opposite0 · No linear link+1 · Together
Read the market at the top against the market at the left. The diagonal compares each index with itself. Up to 10 indexes are shown, ordered by constituent coverage. Select a cell to inspect a pair, or use the selectors for other markets.
Closest to the reference
Pearson correlation of weekly percentage returns through 9 Oct 2026: +1 means moving together, 0 little linear relationship, −1 moving in opposite directions. Requires 39 matching observations for the 52-week comparison and 10 for the recent 13 weeks. Missing weeks are excluded, not filled with zero. Constant series have no defined correlation. These are local-currency, capped equal-weight indexes; sectors and their component industries overlap. A lower correlation does not establish a hedge.
Sector correlations compare broad business groups. Industry correlations reveal closer links within and across sectors. The selectors retain all qualified groups; the matrix shows the ten largest by company coverage.
News and narrative
Does company news confirm the market tape?
Sentiment evidence is still developing
Qualified company-level news coverage is not yet broad enough to influence the group view.
0 qualified records across 3 measured constituents.Leadership tape
Leaders, laggards and contribution shape
Latest completed week, ranked on uncapped constituent returns.
Constituent ledger
Industry constituents
All 3 measured constituents, ranked by latest weekly return.
Rank
Ticker
Company
Exchange
Market cap
Close
Index contribution
Return
The index uses capped equal-weight weekly constituent returns. The ledger shows uncapped security returns so outliers remain visible for research.