Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corp
EnergyOil & Gas Integrated
Exxon Mobil Corporation, stylized as ExxonMobil, is an American multinational oil and gas corporation headquartered in Irving, Texas. It is the largest direct descendant of John D. Rockefeller's Standard Oil, and was formed on November 30, 1999 by the merger of Exxon (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New Jersey) and Mobil (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New York). ExxonMobil's primary brands are Exxon, Mobil, Esso, and ExxonMobil Chemical. ExxonMobil is โฆ
Last updated
28 Aug 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas Integrated
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
674,559,169,587
Fair value reference
115.21
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 57.75%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, XOM rose 6.60%, moving from 147.01 to 156.71. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 2 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 4.34 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.19 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.75% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
156.71
12-Week Change
6.60%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.75%
Signal Weeks
2 of 12
Weekly Trend
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-08-28
Support is stabilising
PSI is stabilising, but the direction is not yet clear. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
54/100
3 completed weeks
Recent support
+14
Limited
Readings pointing the same way
50%
Activity is weighing on price
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together33/100
Moving together ยท more together
Ticker and market
The ticker reading is mixed
PSI has no clear direction. The wider market adds context, but does not change that mixed reading.
PSI
+8.0
Market togetherness
33/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Current contextTicker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
The two readings are mixed
Neither reading gives a clear direction.
Current reading
+0.19
Four-week change
+0.76
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-08-28
Price is pressing the upper adaptive boundary
Price is in the upper part of its current envelope. A rising centre and supportive evidence would strengthen the move; re-entry would flag cooling pressure.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
AboveOpen discoveryNo established acceptance shelf is visible in this direction inside the three-year range.
Below148.95Established market memory sits 5.0% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above117.19
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet109.02
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below93.59
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
148.95
-5.0%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
109.02
-30.4%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
94.50
-39.7%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Above accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Higher
30-week trendThe latest close is 4.0% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 36.0% above the current fair-value reference.Above
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Supply column falling
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Fundamental fracture
Higher value accepted
The recent auction has built a higher acceptance centre and price is currently above established three-year value.
More open above
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 109.02 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
2 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context ยท Orderly and confirmed
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 106.35 ยท Resistance 157.70
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-5.09%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 14% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityOrderly and confirmed
Recent swings and the longer trend relationship agree with comparatively steady follow-through.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is orderly and confirmed.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history91% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-7.8%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+532.0%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical2.1ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
1 week ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
6 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
10 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
33 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove accepted value
52-week position
73.2%
Low to high
Accepted price
109.19
Latest versus accepted: 43.52%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.65% per week
Range pressure
52/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.93ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support105.05
From price
-33.0%
Evidence
90/100
Touches
8
Support109.19
From price
-30.3%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
4
Support154.85
From price
-1.2%
Evidence
39/100
Touches
1
Resistance163.68
From price
4.5%
Evidence
29/100
Touches
1
Resistance175.27
From price
11.8%
Evidence
22/100
Touches
1
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove accepted value
Price is at 73.2% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.65% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 52/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level163.68
Resistance is 4.5% from the latest close with 29/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSupport is under active pressure
The current Smart Money structure carries a recent reversal warning, so confirmation matters more than momentum alone.
Momentum 0.44 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityMixed
The current trend state has persisted for 10 completed weeks; visible confirmation is mixed.
Momentum pathBalanced ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsElevated
A reversal danger marker appeared this week; confirmation needs close attention.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
A reversal danger marker appeared this week; confirmation needs close attention.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
Latest week
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
1 week ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
21 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
22 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price and Market Dynamics are confirming each other
Price changed +1.5% and Market Dynamics changed +0.76 over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move currently has improving support beneath it.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-12Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
4% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 5% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 86% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation ยท Leaving source zone
Activated
2026-08-28
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. XOM is 4% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 4%
Distribution to Accumulation ยท 0 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 2%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 5%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 86%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks1%
26 weeks2%
52 weeks5%
Accumulation zone
100.10 / deep 90.28
Current close
156.71
Distribution zone
159.01 / deep 168.83
Source-zone dwell
2 completed weeks
Market Dynamics 0.19Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 0.97Change in underlying supportTrend position 4%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.85รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2025-06-06โ2026-03-27 ยท 43 completed weeks ยท price move +68.1%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2025-06-06โ2026-03-27 ยท journey 43w ยท source dwell 2w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+68.1%
Time to confirm
43w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 43 completed weeks. Price moved +68.1% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Current stateFundamental fracture
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 12 updates.
Spread
Stable
Persistence
12 quarters
Confirmation
Broad support
Repricing pressure
High โ price-led
Market move48.6%
Three-year change
Earnings move-34.5%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-83.1 pts
stable
Current valuation18.9ร
Price relative to earnings power
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 12 updates.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Fundamental fracture
Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
4 of 5 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Supportive
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Supportive
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
Share countA stable or falling share count makes per-share progress more durable.Mixed
Signal robustness
Does the relationship persist across time horizons?
Shows whether the same earnings or price lead remains visible from shorter starting points.
Market acceptance
How price responded to each earnings update
Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 0 had a meaningful positive price response.
Professional contextPeer rarity, comparable outcomes and state history
Peer groupOil & Gas Integrated13 comparable companies
Repricing rarity83peer percentile
Spread position17peer percentile
Quality position83peer percentile
Comparable historical outcomes
There are not yet enough comparable point-in-time observations for a responsible outcome summary.
State transitions
Highlights when the dominant relationship between earnings power and market price changed.
Broadly aligned
Fundamental fracture
Related repricing signals
EQNRPrice-led-64.6 pts
ECPrice-led-83.7 pts
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure is established and holding steady
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
+36.02% ยท Positive ยท Holding steady
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionHolding steady
The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
Trend qualityRange-bound
Recent pressure has moved without establishing durable directional progress.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Continued positive pressure with an orderly completed path would strengthen confirmation.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is holding steady with range-bound trend quality. Comparable history is limited record.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 35% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 65% of completed observations.
State persistence54 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyLimited record
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a dependable historical summary.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
2 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
5 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
11 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
13 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
15 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
18 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyer control developing
Price is above the core VWAP, which is rising. 58% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
74/100 pressure
ControlBuyer control developing
Pressure 74/100 and -1.4 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack6 of 7 below price
5 references converge near 150.05: 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Swing low, 13-week VWAP, Year VWAP.
Acceptance58% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Constructive VWAP test
Constructive VWAP test
Price is testing the core VWAP while the broader control reading remains constructive.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
5 references converge near 150.05: 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Swing low, 13-week VWAP, Year VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation157.47
A completed close above Latest earnings VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area157.47
Latest earnings VWAP at 157.47, 0.5% above the latest close.
Weakening level151.98
A completed close below 26-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Latest earnings VWAP157.47
+0.48% from close
26-week VWAP151.98
-3.02% from close
High-activity anchor151.95
-3.04% from close
Swing low149.75
-4.44% from close
13-week VWAP148.51
-5.24% from close
Year VWAP148.05
-5.53% from close
52-week VWAP138.26
-11.77% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 84%Above price 16%
23%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -8.2 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 83/100
Sector ยท EnergyBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -2.2 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 77/100
Industry ยท Oil & Gas IntegratedStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +39.6 points.
Seller control developing ยท 35/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim67% favourable
Events
6
Median 4w
+1.56%
Median 13w
+0.59%
Typical best
+5.06%
Typical worst
-6.07%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss33% favourable
Events
6
Median 4w
+2.51%
Median 13w
+3.38%
Typical best
+10.28%
Typical worst
-1.24%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states59 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
51%
Median 4w
+0.23%
Positive after 13w
63%
Median 13w
+1.57%
Best / worst 13w
+44.5% / -13.1%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is rebuilding from a mixed position
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.46 ยท Mixed
Current stateMixed ยท 0.46
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
2 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.46 ยท Mixed
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 18 comparable completed observations, 66.7% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +5.8%.
Comparable observations
18
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
66.7%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+5.8%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-1.9 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
156.71
12-Week Change
6.60%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.75%
Signal Weeks
2 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
4.34
Market Dynamics
0.19
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, XOM rose 6.60%, moving from 147.01 to 156.71. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 2 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 4.34 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.19 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.75% based on similar historical setup states.
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