Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
JPX · Equity · Japan
2204
Nakamuraya Co., Ltd.
Consumer DefensivePackaged Foods
Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells various Japanese sweets and Western sweets, bread, and other food products in Japan. It also offers baked sweets, rice cracker, yokan, Chinese steamed bun, curry, canned food, Chinese and western food, and frozen products. In addition, the company operates restaurants; and engages in the real estate leasing business. It sells its products through stores, as well as through its Website. Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. was founded in …
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Tokyo Stock Exchange · JPX
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Packaged Foods
Currency
JPY
Market capitalisation
17,629,556,736
Fair value reference
3,056.53
Next-week expectancy
Undecided · 53.34%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, 2204 rose 3.91%, moving from 3,070.00 to 3,190.00. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 6 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -14.36 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.77 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 53.34% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
3,190.00
12-Week Change
3.91%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 53.34%
Signal Weeks
6 of 12
+
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Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with negative but contained
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context · Orderly and confirmed
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 3,022.96 · Resistance 3,210.00
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-1.54%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterNegative but contained
Price declined, although selling did not fully control the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedLower part of the range
The close finished at 33% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityOrderly and confirmed
Recent swings and the longer trend relationship agree with comparatively steady follow-through.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is orderly and confirmed.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history38% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-17.1%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+14.4%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical2.0× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
Latest week
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
6 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
13 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
28 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
41 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
52.9%
Low to high
Accepted price
3061.62
Latest versus accepted: 4.19%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.14% per week
Range pressure
44/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Expanding
1.35× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support3037.53
From price
-4.8%
Evidence
94/100
Touches
11
Support3075.63
From price
-3.6%
Evidence
92/100
Touches
5
Support3168.22
From price
-0.7%
Evidence
29/100
Touches
1
Resistance3212.14
From price
0.7%
Evidence
61/100
Touches
2
Resistance3350.00
From price
5.0%
Evidence
34/100
Touches
1
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 52.9% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.14% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 44/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level3,212.14
Resistance is 0.7% from the latest close with 61/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
The visible Smart Money evidence is aligned and its completed-week momentum path is improving.
Momentum 0.59 · Improving
Trend qualityStrong alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 6 completed weeks; visible confirmation is strong alignment.
Momentum pathConstructive · Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWatch
The latest reversal warning was 6 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
The latest reversal warning was 6 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
6 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
7 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
17 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
26 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
73 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure is historically strong, but cooling
Positive pressure is elevated relative to the completed history. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+4.37% · Historically strong · Cooling
Market positionHistorically strong
Positive pressure is elevated relative to the completed history.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 13% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 87% of completed observations.
State persistence11 completed weeks
The current historically strong state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 44 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 43% of the time; the typical move was -0.1%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
Latest week
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
6 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
17 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
27 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
28 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
29 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is below the core VWAP, which is rising. 54% of recent weighted activity has been accepted below it.
50/100 pressure
ControlControl is contested
Pressure 50/100 and -10.3 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack1 of 6 below price
6 references converge near 3,208.79: 13-week VWAP, Year VWAP, Swing low, 52-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor.
Acceptance54% below
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+0.2% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +0.4 pts.
Stretch0.6 normal ranges below
Price is -1.5% from the core VWAP.
Persistence1 completed week
Price has remained below the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks · Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 · contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Control transfer weakening
Control transfer weakening
Price has completed its first move below the core VWAP; recovery or further acceptance below will decide the next state.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
6 references converge near 3,208.79: 13-week VWAP, Year VWAP, Swing low, 52-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation3,198.05
A completed close above 13-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area3,198.05
13-week VWAP at 3,198.05, 0.3% above the latest close.
Weakening level3,154.02
A completed close below 52-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
13-week VWAP3198.05
+0.25% from close
Year VWAP3202.81
+0.40% from close
Swing low3216.38
+0.83% from close
52-week VWAP3154.02
-1.13% from close
26-week VWAP3239.37
+1.55% from close
High-activity anchor3242.10
+1.63% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 51%Above price 49%
25%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · ^N225Weaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -31.9 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 82/100
Sector · Consumer DefensiveWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -22.9 points.
Buyer control developing · 73/100
Industry · Packaged FoodsWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -25.4 points.
Buyer control developing · 75/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim38% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
-0.08%
Median 13w
-1.05%
Typical best
+3.59%
Typical worst
-2.88%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss33% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
+1.09%
Median 13w
+1.81%
Typical best
+2.86%
Typical worst
-1.44%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states33 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
24%
Median 4w
-0.63%
Positive after 13w
49%
Median 13w
+0.00%
Best / worst 13w
+9.8% / -3.8%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is rebuilding from a mixed position
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.50 · Mixed
Current stateMixed · 0.50
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
3 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.50 · Mixed
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 22 comparable completed observations, 27.3% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -1.8%.
Comparable observations
22
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
27.3%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-1.8%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-19.4 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
3,190.00
12-Week Change
3.91%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 53.34%
Signal Weeks
6 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-14.36
Market Dynamics
0.77
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, 2204 rose 3.91%, moving from 3,070.00 to 3,190.00. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 6 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -14.36 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.77 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 53.34% based on similar historical setup states.
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