GFS NASDAQ Week ended 09 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Globalfoundries Inc · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 48.24 USD
-3.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.8%, after a 3.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 22d.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 48.24 USD 9 Oct 2026
1W Return -3.8% latest completed week
4W Return 3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -16.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.0%. Indicator stack 30/38 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 40/100 conviction; expected move 6.8%. News sentiment 55/100 70 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 22d Next report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.8%, after a 3.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct 9 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2012-week average 0.44

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.0% over four weeks, -16.1% over 12 weeks, and 46.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.8%
4W3.0%
12W-16.1%
26W-1.4%
52W46.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.81Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change27.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-18.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Oct 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 95%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength43/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality67/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework14/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
37.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
27.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
11.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-18.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

GFS shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.16, expected move of 6.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction40/100
Expected move6.8%
Put/call volume0.16
Pressure74
Speculation14
Volatility63
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 70 relevant articles.

15 positive · 48 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings22dNext report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-47.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.6%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-16.7%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-3.8%Week of 9 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses10
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape31/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis16/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.20; No reversal markers Factors51/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 22 SVQF14/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 635.5 of 741 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options42/100

Call activity leads. Options balance does not yet confirm the saved weekly stock trend.

2026-10-09 · Use with limits · Priced move ±6.8% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 70 relevant articles.

The Bull Case For GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS) Could Change Following Its FDX Fusion Physical AI Bet - Learn Why Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings22d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow4 items

1 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
9 Oct 202648.24 USD-3.8%59.35 USD46.74 USD-0.81-16.0926.3MOff
2 Oct 202650.17 USD2.4%59.13 USD46.79 USD-0.96-12.3513.7MOff
25 Sep 202649.00 USD2.7%59.02 USD46.83 USD-0.96-13.6521.4MOff
18 Sep 202647.70 USD1.9%58.98 USD46.89 USD-1.02-13.0523.6MOff
11 Sep 202646.83 USD3.8%58.92 USD46.95 USD-1.12-13.6015.5MOff
4 Sep 202645.09 USD1.0%59.00 USD47.02 USD-1.09-17.0417.8MOff
28 Aug 202644.64 USD-6.8%58.92 USD47.11 USD-1.03-17.4720.4MOff
21 Aug 202647.93 USD-12.2%58.84 USD47.17 USD-1.03-10.9517.1MOff
14 Aug 202654.58 USD1.2%58.67 USD47.20 USD-1.02-0.9720.8MOff
7 Aug 202653.93 USD7.9%58.23 USD47.20 USD-0.99-0.6229.6MOff
31 Jul 202649.99 USD-6.6%57.76 USD47.22 USD-0.88-2.7423.3MOff
24 Jul 202653.53 USD-6.9%57.32 USD47.28 USD-0.664.8917.4MOn
17 Jul 202657.48 USD-16.7%56.73 USD47.33 USD-0.2011.0519.3MOn
10 Jul 202668.97 USD-1.2%56.03 USD47.37 USD0.2928.0514.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context