Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
XXI
Twenty One Capital, Inc.
Financial ServicesShell Companies
Twenty One Capital, Inc. offers Bitcoin-native corporate treasury and financial services. The company is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Last updated
4 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Shell Companies
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
3,295,501,296
Fair value reference
6.95
Next-week expectancy
Negative ยท 41.13%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-04, XXI rose 10.51%, moving from 5.52 to 6.10. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Market Dynamics is -0.20 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.13% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
4 Sep 2026
Latest Close
6.10
12-Week Change
10.51%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.13%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Chart Terminal
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Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-04
Price is advancing above the adaptive centre
The envelope places current price in context without treating a single band touch as a signal. Direction, persistence and the evidence checks below determine the quality of the read.
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics is providing mixed context
Price or underlying support is near its middle ground. The next useful evidence is a clearer move that both APE and Market Dynamics confirm.
Current reading
-0.20
Four-week change
+0.50
Current path
Strengthening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathMixed59% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineCautiousBelow and falling
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsMixed-0.20 ยท +0.50 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
ParticipationMixed0.99ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Above the adaptive centre
The latest close sits at 59% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 3 completed weeks.
Envelope width
Envelope width is typical
Current width ranks at the 55th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Weak confirmation
38% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (6.13), upper boundary (7.51) and lower boundary (4.03).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with indecisive week
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Established history ยท Unstable
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 5.62 ยท Resistance 6.29
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+1.50%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterIndecisive week
The open and close finished close together, showing limited control by either side.
Where the week closedUpper part of the range
The close finished at 63% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history25% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-47.0%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+42.9%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.3ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
1 week ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
6 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
15.8%
Low to high
Accepted price
6.15
Latest versus accepted: -0.87%
Fitted direction
Falling
-2.35% per week
Range pressure
56/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.92ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support4.15
From price
-32.0%
Evidence
61/100
Touches
2
Support5.62
From price
-8.0%
Evidence
88/100
Touches
4
Current pivot6.15
From price
0.9%
Evidence
87/100
Touches
3
Resistance6.92
From price
13.5%
Evidence
72/100
Touches
2
Resistance7.42
From price
21.6%
Evidence
68/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 15.8% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -2.35% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 56/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level5.62
Support is 8.0% from the latest close with 88/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.11 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 39 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathWeak ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
Broader agreement between price, trend and the completed-week support state would strengthen the case.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
37 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
38 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 11 completed weeks
Price is running ahead of Market Dynamics
Price is +14.7% across this view and is in the upper part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is -0.20 after a +0.50 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move has less underlying support than its location suggests.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-26Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
Weekly journey score not available
The weekly journey model has not been scored for this ticker yet.
The weekly journey model has not been scored for this ticker yet.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readWeak pressure is repairing, but remains negative
Price is holding a weak market-perception position. Weak pressure is receding across the recent completed path.
-12.29% ยท Negative ยท Recovering
Market positionNegative
Price is holding a weak market-perception position.
Pressure directionRecovering
Weak pressure is receding across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Negative pressure is receding, which keeps a repair path open.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is recovering with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 37% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 63% of completed observations.
State persistence16 completed weeks
The current negative state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 7 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 71% of the time; the typical move was +12.0%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
2 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
6 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
8 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
10 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
15 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
18 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is below the core VWAP, which is falling. 89% of recent weighted activity has been accepted below it.
44/100 pressure
ControlControl is contested
Pressure 44/100 and +26.9 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack3 of 6 below price
3 references converge near 6.41: High-activity anchor, 26-week VWAP, Year VWAP.
Acceptance89% below
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Weak VWAP test
Weak VWAP test
Price is close to the core VWAP, but the completed control evidence still favours sellers.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
3 references converge near 6.41: High-activity anchor, 26-week VWAP, Year VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation6.30
A completed close above High-activity anchor with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area6.30
High-activity anchor at 6.30, 3.2% above the latest close.
Weakening level5.51
A completed close below Latest earnings VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
High-activity anchor6.30
+3.25% from close
26-week VWAP6.31
+3.44% from close
Year VWAP6.61
+8.32% from close
Latest earnings VWAP5.51
-9.60% from close
Swing low5.33
-12.62% from close
13-week VWAP5.29
-13.22% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 31%Above price 69%
25%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -39.2 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 83/100
Sector ยท Financial ServicesWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -36.8 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Industry ยท Shell CompaniesWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -14.7 points.
Control is contested ยท 59/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaimDeveloping evidence
There are not yet enough completed events in the visible history.
Weekly lossDeveloping evidence
There are not yet enough completed events in the visible history.
Comparable control states0 matched weeks
The visible history does not contain enough closely comparable completed states.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.03 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.03
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionHolding steady
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
11 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.03 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 14 comparable completed observations, 35.7% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -9.9%.
Comparable observations
14
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
35.7%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-9.9%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+8.4 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
4 Sep 2026
Latest Close
6.10
12-Week Change
10.51%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.13%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Below
Market Dynamics
-0.20
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-04, XXI rose 10.51%, moving from 5.52 to 6.10. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Market Dynamics is -0.20 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.13% based on similar historical setup states.
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