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Weekly closes ยท USD
Market context
Stage
2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance, as of 18 Sep 2026
Sentiment
54 ยท As of 25 Sep 2026
RS
-5.06
Dynamics
-0.02
Fair value gap
+41.6%
Week range
191.18โ197.67
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
RTX
RTX Corporation
IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
Raytheon Technologies Corporation is an American multinational aerospace and defense conglomerate headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts. It is one of the largest aerospace, intelligence services providers, and defense manufacturers in the world by revenue and market capitalization. Raytheon Technologies (RTX) researches, develops, and manufactures advanced technology products in the aerospace and defense industry, including aircraft engines, avionics, aerostructures, cybersecurity, guided missiles, air defense systems, satellites, and drones.
Last updated
18 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
267,947,796,609
Fair value reference
137.05
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 62.20%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, RTX fell 2.63%, moving from 199.25 to 194.00. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 6 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -5.06 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.02 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.20% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
194.00
12-Week Change
-2.63%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.20%
Signal Weeks
6 of 12
Reversal Map Indicator
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Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Support is stabilising
PSI is stabilising, but the direction is not yet clear. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
48/100
5 completed weeks
Recent support
+13
Limited
Readings pointing the same way
75%
Little clear activity
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together54/100
Broad move building ยท more together
Ticker and market
The ticker reading is mixed
PSI has no clear direction. The wider market adds context, but does not change that mixed reading.
PSI
-3.0
Market togetherness
54/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Current contextTicker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
The two readings are mixed
Neither reading gives a clear direction.
Current reading
-0.02
Four-week change
-1.07
Sharemaestro ยท RTX ยท Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
โ Broke a prior high / lowโ Closed back across the levelโฒ / โผ Reversal confirmedโ โ Confirmation levelโ Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Price is below the adaptive centre
The completed weekly close is on the lower side of the envelope. A centre recovery and improving confirmation would be the first signs of repair.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Above197.79Established market memory sits 1.9% above the latest close.
Below116.97Established market memory sits 39.7% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above155.70
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet86.67
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below64.78
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
197.79
2.0%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
164.12
-15.4%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
147.28
-24.1%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
137.18
-29.3%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
116.97
-39.7%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
106.87
-44.9%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Above accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Higher
30-week trendThe latest close is 0.6% below the trend line.Price below
Fair-value positionMarket price is 41.6% above the current fair-value reference.Above
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Supply column falling
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Expectations ahead
Higher value accepted
The recent auction has built a higher acceptance centre and price is currently above established three-year value.
More room below
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 86.67 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
1 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with negative but contained
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is below its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is rising.
Full context ยท Developing
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipBelow trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 148.69 ยท Resistance 194.17
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-1.86%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterNegative but contained
Price declined, although selling did not fully control the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedMiddle of the range
The close finished at 43% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityDeveloping
The path is readable, but the completed evidence is not yet consistently aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is developing.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history85% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-13.0%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+447.3%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.9ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
Latest week
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
6 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
11 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
18 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
32 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
55.3%
Low to high
Accepted price
195.84
Latest versus accepted: -0.94%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.37% per week
Range pressure
37/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Contracting
0.62ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support155.07
From price
-20.1%
Evidence
77/100
Touches
3
Support191.65
From price
-1.2%
Evidence
80/100
Touches
3
Resistance195.84
From price
1.0%
Evidence
87/100
Touches
3
Resistance203.09
From price
4.7%
Evidence
71/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 55.3% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.37% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 37/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level191.65
Support is 1.2% from the latest close with 80/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
The visible Smart Money evidence is aligned and its completed-week momentum path is improving.
Momentum 0.80 ยท Improving
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 6 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathStrong ยท Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWarning
A demand warning appeared 2 completed weeks ago; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
A demand warning appeared 2 completed weeks ago; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
2 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
3 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
4 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
5 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
6 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price is running ahead of Market Dynamics
Price is -2.6% across this view and is in the upper part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is -0.02 after a -1.07 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move has less underlying support than its location suggests.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-03Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
7% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 5% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 87% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation ยท Leaving source zone
Activated
2026-09-04
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. RTX is 7% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 7%
Distribution to Accumulation ยท 2 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 2%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 5%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 87%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks1%
26 weeks2%
52 weeks5%
Accumulation zone
87.10 / deep 67.98
Current close
194.00
Distribution zone
201.80 / deep 220.92
Source-zone dwell
9 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -0.02Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 0.57Change in underlying supportTrend position -1%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.93รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2024-03-15โ2026-03-13 ยท 105 completed weeks ยท price move +128.7%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2024-03-15โ2026-03-13 ยท journey 105w ยท source dwell 5w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+128.7%
Time to confirm
105w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 105 completed weeks. Price moved +128.7% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Current stateExpectations ahead
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 11 updates.
Spread
Stable
Persistence
11 quarters
Confirmation
Broad support
Repricing pressure
Extreme โ price-led
Market move185.3%
Three-year change
Earnings move38.7%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-146.6 pts
stable
Current valuation28.0ร
Price relative to earnings power
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 11 updates.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Expectations stretched
Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
6 of 6 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Supportive
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Supportive
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Control is contested
Control is contested
The current position, VWAP direction and completed acceptance evidence broadly agree.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
4 references converge near 192.70: High-activity anchor, Year VWAP, 26-week VWAP, 52-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation194.35
A completed close above High-activity anchor with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area194.35
High-activity anchor at 194.35, 0.2% above the latest close.
Weakening level192.68
A completed close below 26-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
High-activity anchor194.35
+0.18% from close
Year VWAP194.95
+0.49% from close
26-week VWAP192.68
-0.68% from close
52-week VWAP188.84
-2.66% from close
13-week VWAP204.91
+5.62% from close
Swing high205.13
+5.74% from close
Latest earnings VWAP209.89
+8.19% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 53%Above price 47%
32%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -28.1 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Sector ยท IndustrialsStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +28.2 points.
Seller control developing ยท 25/100
Industry ยท Aerospace & DefenseStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +38.5 points.
Sellers firmly in control ยท 15/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim100% favourable
Events
2
Median 4w
+0.70%
Median 13w
+11.03%
Typical best
+12.73%
Typical worst
-2.45%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss0% favourable
Events
3
Median 4w
+10.86%
Median 13w
+22.21%
Typical best
+22.21%
Typical worst
-0.66%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states3 matched weeks
The visible history does not contain enough closely comparable completed states.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains constructive
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.72 ยท Constructive
Current stateConstructive ยท 0.72
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionHolding steady
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
6 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price strength
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.72 ยท Constructive
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 56 comparable completed observations, 73.2% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +9.4%.
Comparable observations
56
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
73.2%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+9.4%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+4.7 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
194.00
12-Week Change
-2.63%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.20%
Signal Weeks
6 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-5.06
Market Dynamics
-0.02
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, RTX fell 2.63%, moving from 199.25 to 194.00. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 6 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -5.06 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.02 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.20% based on similar historical setup states.
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