HLT NYSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

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Latest close 317.6 USD
-0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -5.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 39/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 317.6 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.9% latest completed week
4W Return -5.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 57-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 63.19% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 14 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.3%. Indicator stack 100/18 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 63.19% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 39/100 conviction; expected move 2.7%. News sentiment 53/100 20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -5.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7112-week average 0.79

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1414 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 14 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.3% over four weeks, 0.5% over 12 weeks, and 21.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 57 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.9%
4W-5.3%
12W0.5%
26W1.1%
52W21.3%
Active trend streak57 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.82Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-219.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.37Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-324.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength14/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
45.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
27.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
23.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
30.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-0.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-11.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

HLT shows bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.73, expected move of 2.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction39/100
Expected move2.7%
Put/call volume0.73
Pressure20
Speculation42
Volatility38
Trend agreement68
Open options detail
Insider activity19 / 1

19 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

7 positive · 10 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move2.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.1%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-5.1%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-0.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape54/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis65/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.71; 14 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 63.19%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 63.19% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors29/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 13 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options61/100

HLT shows bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.73, expected move of 2.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 2.7% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

Hawaii could see its first hurricane landfall since 1992 Insiders19 / 1

19 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026317.6 USD-0.9%318.7 USD242.9 USD-0.82-5.379.7MOn
31 Jul 2026320.5 USD-1.4%318.1 USD241.9 USD-0.60-1.1712.8MOn
24 Jul 2026325.0 USD1.1%317.2 USD240.8 USD-0.251.338.0MOn
17 Jul 2026321.3 USD-4.2%316.2 USD239.7 USD0.22-0.3614.1MOn
10 Jul 2026335.5 USD-0.8%315.2 USD238.6 USD0.682.396.6MOn
3 Jul 2026338.1 USD1.6%313.3 USD237.4 USD0.934.598.1MOn
26 Jun 2026332.9 USD-4.6%311.1 USD236.2 USD1.015.2523.3MOn
19 Jun 2026348.8 USD0.8%309.5 USD234.9 USD0.807.787.3MOn
12 Jun 2026345.9 USD0.8%307.0 USD233.6 USD0.388.106.8MOn
5 Jun 2026343.1 USD4.7%304.5 USD232.3 USD0.038.087.9MOn
29 May 2026327.7 USD2.0%302.1 USD231.0 USD-0.220.818.5MOn
22 May 2026321.1 USD1.6%299.8 USD229.8 USD-0.160.255.5MOn
15 May 2026316.0 USD-0.2%298.0 USD228.6 USD0.06-0.457.9MOn
8 May 2026316.6 USD-0.6%296.1 USD227.5 USD0.31-0.077.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context