NYSEEquity · Weekly research terminal

BBAR Earnings Growth vs Stock Price

BBVA Banco Frances SA ADR

US Financial Services Banks - Regional

Latest week
21 Aug 2026
Chart Console
Weekly close
14.05 USD
Daily Perspective
Fair value
12.79 USD
Market Exposure
Next-week expectancy
Positive 57.53%
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Weekly Chart Pack Completed weekly market data · Independent research

NYSE · Equity · United States

BBAR

BBVA Banco Frances SA ADR

Financial Services Banks - Regional

Banco BBVA Argentina SA offers various banking products and services to individuals and companies in Argentina. The company is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
NYSE · NYSE
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Banks - Regional
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
3,014,533,635
Fair value reference
12.79
Next-week expectancy
Positive · 57.53%
Executive chart read

Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, BBAR fell 19.34%, moving from 17.42 to 14.05. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 7 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -17.54 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.23 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.53% based on similar historical setup states.

Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
14.05
12-Week Change
-19.34%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.53%
Signal Weeks
7 of 12

Earnings and Price Index

Earnings and Price Index

A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.

Current state Fundamental fracture

Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 10 updates.

Spread
Stable
Persistence
10 quarters
Confirmation
Broad support
Repricing pressure
Extreme — price-led
Market move 216.5% Three-year change
Earnings move -45.5% Three-year change
Repricing spread -262.0 pts stable
Current valuation 17.8× Price relative to earnings power
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 10 updates.
Market price Earnings power Repricing spread Earnings update
Fundamental fracture

Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree.

Supporting evidence

Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness

The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.

What drove the move?

Earnings and relative valuation contributions

Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.

What supports the earnings picture?

Business confirmation

3 of 4 available business-quality checks are supportive.

Earnings Revenue

Historical business-data update dates are estimated where an exact public date is unavailable.

  • Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
  • Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Supportive
  • Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Mixed
  • Share countA stable or falling share count makes per-share progress more durable.Supportive
Signal robustness

Does the relationship persist across time horizons?

Shows whether the same earnings or price lead remains visible from shorter starting points.

Market acceptance

How price responded to each earnings update

Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response.

Professional context Peer rarity, comparable outcomes and state history
Peer groupBanks - Regional31 comparable companies
Repricing rarity70peer percentile
Spread position30peer percentile
Quality position55peer percentile

Comparable historical outcomes

There are not yet enough comparable point-in-time observations for a responsible outcome summary.

State transitions

Highlights when the dominant relationship between earnings power and market price changed.

  1. Broadly aligned
  2. Shared contraction
  3. Fundamental fracture
  4. Expectations ahead
  5. Fundamental fracture

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LYGPrice-led-31.7 pts
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Chart Summary

Key Points

Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
14.05
12-Week Change
-19.34%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.53%
Signal Weeks
7 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-17.54
Market Dynamics
-0.23

Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, BBAR fell 19.34%, moving from 17.42 to 14.05. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 7 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -17.54 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.23 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.53% based on similar historical setup states.

Industry Peers

United States equities in Banks - Regional

Stock Exchange Week Open High Low Close Change
BAFN Bayfirst Financial Corp NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 6.34 7.75 6.10 7.31 15.30%
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp Louisiana NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 24.46 28.00 24.08 26.82 9.69%
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 8.32 9.25 8.26 8.77 5.41%
CIB Grupo Cibest S.A. NYSE 21 Aug 2026 96.82 102.58 95.78 101.43 4.76%
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp Inc NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 45.47 48.00 45.44 47.31 4.05%
BCH Banco De Chile NYSE 21 Aug 2026 40.65 42.48 40.35 42.20 3.81%
BBDO Banco Bradesco S/A ADR NYSE 21 Aug 2026 3.05 3.16 2.94 3.14 2.95%
FINW Finwise Bancorp NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 13.60 14.39 13.38 14.00 2.94%
AVAL Grupo Aval NYSE 21 Aug 2026 5.32 5.58 5.27 5.46 2.63%
INTR Inter & Co. Inc. Class A Common Shares NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 5.26 5.54 5.08 5.39 2.57%
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 5.46 5.66 5.45 5.60 2.56%
AUBN Auburn National Bancorporation Inc NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 26.26 26.92 26.12 26.92 2.51%
OVLY Oak Valley Bancorp NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 33.80 35.28 33.58 34.59 2.34%
BSAC Banco Santander Chile NYSE 21 Aug 2026 34.37 35.49 34.08 35.16 2.30%
UBCP United Bancorp Inc NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 15.87 16.20 15.28 16.20 2.08%
BYFC Broadway Financial Corporation NASDAQ 21 Aug 2026 11.70 11.92 11.55 11.91 1.79%

Next-week expectancy

Next-week expectancy is a short-term historical read. It compares the latest completed-week setup with broadly similar past setups and asks whether the following week tended to close higher or lower.

It is not a trend call, a price target, or a guarantee. A positive read can appear while price is below trend or activity pressure is weak, because it is measuring short-term follow-through odds for the current setup state.

Use it as one context layer beside Trend Line, Relative Strength, Market Dynamics, Fair Value, and the visible price structure.

Understanding the evidence

Smart Money

Smart Money is Sharemaestro’s proprietary completed-week view of whether the support beneath price is constructive, weakening, rebuilding or carrying increased reversal risk.

How to read the chart

Start with the current reading and trend quality. Then use the momentum path, coloured trend line, cycle ribbon and event markers to see whether the evidence agrees or conflicts.

What the markers mean

Positive markers identify completed-week accumulation or Smart Money events. Warning markers identify a loss of demand support, reversal risk or reversal danger. A marker records a change in evidence; it does not predict the next price.

What it is not

Smart Money is not a forecast, price target, transaction feed or standalone buy or sell instruction. It is most useful when its direction and trend quality agree with the visible price structure.

Understanding market perception

Price Cycle

Price Cycle is Sharemaestro’s proprietary completed-week view of how strongly price is pressing above or below its established market position.

How to read it

Start with market position, then read direction and trend quality. Positive pressure can strengthen or cool; negative pressure can deteriorate or begin repairing. Persistence shows whether the current state is established or newly developing.

Full-height dotted guides mark completed crossovers through balance: green for a move into positive pressure and red for a move into negative pressure. The coloured area between them shows the resulting market-perception zone.

How to use the historical context

Historical position shows how unusual the latest reading is for this market. Comparable observations summarise what followed similar completed states, but they are descriptive evidence rather than a forecast.

What a Price Action signal means

A Price Action signal marks a completed confirmation event from a weak market-perception position. It records a change in evidence, not a forecast or instruction.

What it is not

Price Cycle is not an order-flow feed, valuation target, prediction or standalone instruction to buy or sell. It describes completed price pressure and should be considered with the broader Sharemaestro research view.

Understanding the completed weekly tape

Price Action

Price Action explains how a market is behaving against its own completed price history. It brings the weekly candle, trend relationship, structural levels and participation into one clear view.

How to read the chart

Each candle shows a completed week's open, high, low and close. The trend reference provides longer context. Support and resistance mark completed structural areas below and above price, while the lower panel shows whether participation confirmed or contradicted the move.

What the annotations mean

Annotations identify selected completed events such as a trend reclaim, trend loss, high-participation reversal or published Price Action signal. Their arrows point to the exact completed week involved.

New and recently listed markets

When history is limited, the page still explains the current candle and visible structure, while clearly marking longer-term evidence and comparisons as developing. It does not manufacture certainty from an incomplete record.

What it is not

Price Action is not a forecast, price target, live order book or standalone instruction to buy or sell. It is a structured interpretation of completed weekly evidence.

Understanding the chart

What Market Dynamics shows

Market Dynamics shows whether the support beneath a completed price move is strengthening or weakening. Green bars are supportive, red bars are cautious, and the height of each bar shows how forceful the finished reading is.

Read price and the bars together

When price and Market Dynamics strengthen together, the move has broader confirmation. When price rises while Market Dynamics fades, the move is losing support and risk can be building near the upper zone. When price remains weak while Market Dynamics begins to improve, an opportunity may be forming near the lower zone before price has fully responded.

Zones and event markers

The upper and lower zones highlight completed periods where price and underlying support deserve closer attention. Early positioning signals mark improving support near the lower part of the chart. Reversal risk and reversal danger markers highlight increasing disagreement near the upper part. They are observations to investigate, not automatic instructions.

Use the explainer when needed

Turn on Explainer above the chart to label the published event markers. The labels point to the exact completed week and remain off by default so the full chart stays uncluttered.

What it does not show

Market Dynamics is not a forecast, price target or standalone buy or sell signal. Divergence can persist, so the reading should be considered with price structure, trend and the wider research view.

Understanding the evidence

SMI

SMI is Sharemaestro’s proprietary completed-week indicator of underlying market quality. It shows whether the conditions beneath a price move are strong, weak, strengthening or weakening.

How to read it

Read the current level together with its direction, persistence and relationship to price. Agreement with price provides stronger confirmation. Disagreement identifies an area that deserves closer attention.

What it is not

SMI is not a forecast, price target or standalone buy or sell signal. It updates from completed weekly evidence and should be considered alongside the broader Sharemaestro research view.

Earnings and Price Index

This index reveals whether earnings power or market price is leading across the last three years, whether their separation is widening or closing, and how long that relationship has persisted.

A sustained earnings lead can identify business improvement that price has not fully recognised. A sustained price lead can show that expectations are advancing faster than delivered earnings.

Business confirmation and market-acceptance context help distinguish a durable relationship from a temporary accounting or valuation distortion. It is research context, not a price target or recommendation.

Auction Intelligence

Auction Intelligence shows where the market has repeatedly accepted price across the latest three years, whether that accepted value is migrating, and where price is moving through comparatively established or open structure.

The acceptance centre is the strongest market-memory reference. The accepted-value range contains the principal area of established trading, while low-acceptance corridors identify prices where the market historically spent less activity.

The profile is an estimate from completed weekly market history. It is not transaction-level volume-at-price, a live order book, a promise of available liquidity, or a price forecast.

Current VWAP signals

What it is

A summary of the latest completed-week control reading, the relationship between price and VWAP pressure, and the concentration of current VWAP references.

What it shows

The first visual shows pressure over time. The second compares recent price direction with pressure direction. The third plots the current volume-weighted levels around the latest close.

Why it matters

Agreement supports the current reading. Divergence can show that price is moving without the same change in volume-weighted control. A tight group of levels can create a clearer decision area.

Confirmation and failure levels

What it is

A map of the nearest completed-week levels that would strengthen, test or weaken the current VWAP reading.

What it shows

The current close sits between the nearest support and resistance references. When no price resistance is established, sustained pressure above 60 provides the confirmation test instead.

Why it matters

A completed close and continued acceptance carry more weight than an intraday touch. These are research levels, not automatic entry, exit or stop prices.

Volume-weighted price levels

What it is

The current 13-, 26- and 52-week VWAPs together with the calendar, high-activity, swing and latest earnings anchors when available.

What it shows

Each marker shows a completed-week reference and its distance from the latest close. Closely grouped markers identify concentration; separated markers show a wider structure.

Why it matters

Several rising references below price provide broader support than one isolated level. Several references above price can create layered resistance.

Estimated activity position

What it is

An estimate of where reported activity occurred relative to the latest price across the last 52 completed weeks.

What it shows

The bar divides weighted activity above and below price. The ring shows the share concentrated close to the latest price.

Why it matters

Activity below price may provide a larger cushion; activity above price may represent overhead supply. High near-price congestion can make control less decisive.

This is not transaction-level volume-at-price or holder cost-basis data.

VWAP control comparison

What it is

A completed-week comparison between the ticker's VWAP pressure and its benchmark, sector and industry references.

What it shows

Each small chart plots the ticker and reference over the latest 26 weeks. The final readings show the size and direction of the current gap.

Why it matters

A ticker strengthening while its reference weakens has different relative control from one merely following its group. Sector and industry readings appear only with at least ten aligned constituents.

Historical VWAP outcomes

What it is

A summary of returns after this ticker's earlier completed VWAP reclaims, VWAP losses and states similar to the current one.

What it shows

The range marks typical or observed 13-week outcomes, the centre line marks zero, and the point marks the median. Favourable rates and sample sizes are shown beside the chart.

Why it matters

It shows how this ticker behaved after comparable completed evidence. Small samples and wide ranges reduce confidence. The results describe history and are not a forecast.

Understanding volume-weighted control

VWAP Control

VWAP Control shows where the completed weekly market sits against its important volume-weighted price references, whether those references are rising or falling, and whether trading has been accepted above or below them.

How to read it

Start with current control, then inspect the VWAP stack, acceptance and direction. Several rising VWAPs below price support buyer control. Several falling VWAPs above price support seller control. A first reclaim or loss marks a possible transfer; later acceptance and a successful test provide stronger evidence.

Pressure, stretch and positioning

Pressure combines the finished position, direction, persistence and acceptance readings into a 0–100 research scale. Stretch compares price with its normal completed range around the core VWAP. Positioning pressure estimates where recent weighted activity occurred relative to price; it does not identify individual holders.

Historical outcomes

Event studies describe what followed earlier completed reclaims, losses and comparable control states for this ticker. Small samples are shown plainly and no historical result is treated as a forecast.

What it is not

This is not an intraday execution VWAP, live order-flow feed, transaction-level cost basis, price target or standalone instruction to buy or sell. It uses completed weekly OHLCV history and updates with the weekly chart data.

Evidence context