- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.43% based on similar historical setup states.
ACEL
NYSE
Week ended 18 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Accel Entertainment Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling
Latest close
11.27 USD
-2.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -6.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 28/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 44d.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
11.27 USD
18 Sep 2026
1W Return
-2.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-15.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
55.8%
29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.6%.
Indicator stack
31/23
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.43%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Mixed
28/100 conviction; expected move 11.4%.
News sentiment
50/100
15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
44d
Next report is scheduled for 03 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -6.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4112-week average 0.73
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.6% over four weeks, -15.3% over 12 weeks, and 1.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-131.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-116.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 94%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality86/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Momentum30/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Growth81/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework84/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 16.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 31.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 8.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 1.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 13.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 8.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 61.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -56.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 4.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
ACEL shows mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 11.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction28/100
Expected move11.4%
Put/call volume
Insider activity10 / 10
10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
3 positive · 9 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings44dNext report is scheduled for 03 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
17 Jul
14 Aug
18 Sep
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.5%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-6.4%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-2.8%Week of 18 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-9.6%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD47.0%positive activity pressure
RS16.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Gambling
4-week rank5 / 11
Group average-7.3%
Trend breadth18.2%
Trend18.2%active weekly trend signals
MD27.3%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape42/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis43/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.41; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.43%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.43% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors73/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 11; Small Cap Core rank 15 SVQF84/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 168.0 of 1017 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options45/100ACEL shows mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 11.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 11.4% Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
Have Insiders Sold Accel Entertainment Shares Recently? Insiders10 / 1010 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings44dNext report is scheduled for 03 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow1 items1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 11.27 USD | -2.8% | 11.95 USD | 11.13 USD | -0.93 | -9.41 | 1.7M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 11.60 USD | -2.4% | 11.95 USD | 11.13 USD | -0.76 | -7.07 | 1.1M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 11.88 USD | 0.1% | 11.93 USD | 11.13 USD | -0.49 | -5.76 | 1.3M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 11.87 USD | -1.6% | 11.91 USD | 11.12 USD | -0.38 | -6.01 | 1.2M | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 12.06 USD | -2.9% | 11.89 USD | 11.12 USD | -0.40 | -4.35 | 1.7M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 12.42 USD | 2.1% | 11.86 USD | 11.12 USD | -0.44 | -3.12 | 1.5M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 12.16 USD | 1.2% | 11.83 USD | 11.11 USD | -0.41 | -5.17 | 1.8M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 12.02 USD | -0.1% | 11.81 USD | 11.10 USD | -0.13 | -3.17 | 1.1M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 12.03 USD | -1.0% | 11.79 USD | 11.10 USD | 0.31 | -2.50 | 1.4M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 12.15 USD | -2.8% | 11.78 USD | 11.10 USD | 0.87 | -2.55 | 1.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 12.50 USD | -2.1% | 11.75 USD | 11.09 USD | 1.20 | -1.66 | 1.4M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 12.77 USD | -4.0% | 11.71 USD | 11.08 USD | 1.38 | 1.47 | 1.0M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 13.30 USD | 2.6% | 11.63 USD | 11.07 USD | 1.26 | 7.67 | 2.5M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 12.96 USD | -1.8% | 11.53 USD | 11.05 USD | 0.88 | 2.27 | 1.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.