RLI NYSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

RLI Corp · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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Latest close 64.23 USD
4.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 5.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 67d.

Setup score 52 out of 100
Latest Close 64.23 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 4.9% latest completed week
4W Return 5.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 31.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 3.8% 2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.9%. Indicator stack 9/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 46/100 conviction; expected move 4.7%. News sentiment 60/100 46 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 67d Next report is scheduled for 19 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 5.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5412-week average 0.21

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.54Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.9% over four weeks, 31.9% over 12 weeks, and 4.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.9%
4W5.9%
12W31.9%
26W8.9%
52W4.8%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.12Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change23.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change84.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength73/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Value73/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Quality70/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Momentum30/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Growth87/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
47.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
28.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
26.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
22.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
35.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-15.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
7.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

RLI shows bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 4.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction46/100
Expected move4.7%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure88
Speculation16
Volatility34
Trend agreement7
Open options detail
Insider activity20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

23 positive · 21 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings67dNext report is scheduled for 19 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.6%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis35/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.54; No reversal markers Factors62/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 70; Small Cap Core rank 35 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

RLI shows bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 4.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 4.7% Sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

RLI (NYSE:RLI) Rating Increased to Hold at Wall Street Zen Insiders20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings67d

Next report is scheduled for 19 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202664.23 USD4.9%56.13 USD63.20 USD1.12-0.903.9MOn
31 Jul 202661.24 USD-1.1%55.91 USD63.16 USD1.12-2.525.7MOn
24 Jul 202661.92 USD0.6%55.86 USD63.15 USD1.15-0.735.4MOff
17 Jul 202661.57 USD1.5%55.85 USD63.13 USD1.10-2.213.7MOff
10 Jul 202660.65 USD-3.0%55.89 USD63.13 USD0.91-5.623.8MOff
3 Jul 202662.52 USD8.6%55.92 USD63.11 USD0.76-1.935.0MOff
26 Jun 202657.56 USD8.4%55.83 USD63.10 USD0.37-8.224.2MOff
19 Jun 202653.09 USD-2.3%55.87 USD63.11 USD-0.15-17.894.3MOff
12 Jun 202654.35 USD3.8%56.08 USD63.14 USD-0.42-15.955.4MOff
5 Jun 202652.38 USD4.7%56.21 USD63.16 USD-0.76-19.265.6MOff
29 May 202650.04 USD-0.6%56.38 USD63.19 USD-1.00-25.563.4MOff
22 May 202650.37 USD3.4%56.53 USD63.23 USD-0.95-24.894.6MOff
15 May 202648.70 USD3.6%56.74 USD63.26 USD-0.91-27.566.7MOff
8 May 202647.00 USD-4.8%56.95 USD63.30 USD-0.76-30.704.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context