Hold and wait for confirmation
The evidence is balanced enough to avoid a defensive call, but not aligned enough for aggressive positioning.
Defensive51/100Position
Personal Services
For the week ending 18 September 2026, Personal Services advanced 0.47% with 44 advancing, 26 declining, and 7 unchanged constituents.
Industry positioning postureHold and wait for confirmation
The evidence is balanced enough to avoid a defensive call, but not aligned enough for aggressive positioning.
Industry evidence score51/100Wait
Index value1079.03
Weekly return0.47%
Measured equities77
Sibling rank2 of 23
156 completed weeks
Personal Services trend architecture
Price, Activity Lines, Trend Line and current Fair Value, with the recognized architecture behind each completed week.
ArchitectureUnresolved
Index vs Trend-2.3%
13-week persistence1.9%
Advancing participation57%
Index Value
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Constructive Transition Defensive
Positioning and relative evidence
Is Personal Services earning a place in the portfolio?
Technical evidence determines the posture. Sentiment remains a separate confirmation layer.
Five-pillar evidence
51Quality of the positioning case
Trend
40
Breadth
41
Persistence
42
Relative
73
Risk quality
88
Parent-relative performance
Composite rank 2 of 23Returns versus Consumer Cyclical
1 week0.5%0.9 pts
4 weeks-1.0%1.0 pts
13 weeks1.9%2.9 pts
26 weeks-4.1%-3.9 pts
52 weeks-5.0%1.6 pts
Relative leadership path
ImprovingPersonal Services versus Consumer Cyclical
Evidence ledger
Confirmation and conflict
+Relative performance is improving within its parent hierarchy.
!Index trend architecture has not delivered a durable upward expansion.
!Breadth remains too narrow or inconsistent for a high-conviction position.
!Constituent persistence remains divided or predominantly negative.
!Stage 4 declining constituents exceed Stage 2 advancing constituents by 38 percentage points.
Decision boundaries
What would change the posture?
1A completed weekly reclaim of 1,103.92, the higher of Trend Line and Fair Value, would improve the structural case.
2Breadth holding above 55% for several completed weeks would show that repair is spreading.
3Positive 13 and 26-week relative performance would confirm that capital is rotating into the group.
Trend state and durability
Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes
The industry index path is tested against the securities beneath it.
Index architecture
10 weeksUnresolved
The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.
Trend gateDownFan width0.61%Accepted above fan33%Accepted below fan33%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence
75% agreementNegative regime, shorter trend repairing
The long trend remains negative, but shorter-horizon repair is now visible.
13-week
1.9%
26-week
-4.1%
39-week
-4.1%
52-week
-5.0%
Regime age10 weeks52-week flips352-week boundary1135.45
Constituent trend persistence
95% coverageHow broadly durable is the move?
40%positive
Coherent positive16%
Coherent negative26%
Horizon agreement78%
Weakening positives4
Repairing negatives18
73 constituents measured as of 18 Sep 2026.
Custom stage map
96% coverageWhere covered constituents sit in the cycle
57%Stage 4
Stage 1 Basing16%12
Stage 2 Advancing19%14
Stage 3 Distribution8%6
Stage 4 Declining57%42
Re-acceleration0Transition watch16Fair Value repairs7
Stage coverage is shown explicitly and is not substituted for full-universe persistence coverage.
Geographic diffusion
Where Personal Services strength is developing
Country returns, participation and Trend position show whether the global result is widely shared or locally concentrated.
Countries measured517 represented in the full universe
Positive countries3 / 5Latest weekly return above zero
Above Trend Line40%2 country indexes
Return dispersion2.59 ptsCross-country opportunity and divergence
Asia Pacific2.05%
3 countries · 50 equities · 65% of measured coverage
Latin America-0.89%
1 countries · 3 equities · 4% of measured coverage
North America-3.71%
1 countries · 10 equities · 13% of measured coverage
Country evidence map
Minimum 3 constituentsReturn, breadth and trend condition
🇭🇰HK10
3.76%
40% up · above Trend
🇦🇺AU4
1.99%
50% up · below Trend
🇯🇵JP36
1.58%
83% up · above Trend
🇧🇷BR3
-0.89%
33% up · below Trend
🇺🇸US10
-3.71%
20% up · below Trend
12 thin country slices are excluded from comparative conclusions. Their securities remain in the global index.
Country leadership
Strongest confirmed tapes
🇭🇰Hong Kong10 equities3.76%
🇦🇺Australia4 equities1.99%
🇯🇵Japan36 equities1.58%
🇧🇷Brazil3 equities-0.89%
🇺🇸United States10 equities-3.71%
Country pressure
Weakest current tapes
🇺🇸United States10 equities-3.71%
🇧🇷Brazil3 equities-0.89%
🇯🇵Japan36 equities1.58%
🇦🇺Australia4 equities1.99%
🇭🇰Hong Kong10 equities3.76%
Sibling industry comparison
Where Personal Services sits inside Consumer Cyclical
Relative strength, acceleration and participation separate durable leadership from a one-week move.
Composite rank2 / 23
Leading6
Lagging8
Above Trend2 / 23
Return dispersion0.86 pts
Competitive-set rotation
Bubble size shows constituentsIs this industry gaining or surrendering leadership?
Improving
Leading
Lagging
Weakening
13-week relative strength4-week acceleration
Footwear & Accessories37Personal Services63Auto Parts45Residential Construction41Home Improvement Retail47Luxury Goods77Specialty Retail61Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances47Internet Retail56Leisure41Packaging & Containers63Auto Manufacturers15Apparel Manufacturing35Textile Manufacturing50Gambling38Department Stores49Lodging46Restaurants33Apparel Retail24Auto & Truck Dealerships34Resorts & Casinos0Travel Services9Recreational Vehicles17
Sibling ranking
Momentum with confirmation
1
Luxury GoodsLeading · 39% participation
772Personal ServicesLeading · 57% participation
633Packaging & ContainersLeading · 44% participation
634Specialty RetailLeading · 47% participation
615Internet RetailWeakening · 46% participation
566Textile ManufacturingLeading · 44% participation
507Department StoresLeading · 35% participation
498Home Improvement RetailWeakening · 52% participation
479Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesImproving · 41% participation
4710LodgingImproving · 32% participation
4611Auto PartsImproving · 50% participation
4512Residential ConstructionWeakening · 48% participation
4113LeisureWeakening · 42% participation
4114GamblingLagging · 35% participation
3815Footwear & AccessoriesImproving · 41% participation
3716Apparel ManufacturingLagging · 35% participation
3517Auto & Truck DealershipsLagging · 36% participation
3418RestaurantsWeakening · 32% participation
3319Apparel RetailLagging · 40% participation
2420Recreational VehiclesLagging · 30% participation
1721Auto ManufacturersLagging · 41% participation
1522Travel ServicesLagging · 34% participation
923Resorts & CasinosLagging · 26% participation
0Market internals and risk
Participation, momentum and payoff shape
The headline index is tested against participation, volatility, drawdown and the distribution of security returns.
Advancing participation57.1%12.6 points versus recent baseline
13-week positive weeks46%Index-level hit rate
Annualised volatility8.1%52-week index return volatility
Current drawdown-8.4%From the 52-week index high
156-week max drawdown-10.6%Peak-to-trough index decline
Breadth impulse
Range -100 to +100Net advancing participation
Trend momentum
Positive or negative slopeTrend Line rate of change
Security return distribution
77 equitiesWhat the headline return conceals
Average loser-5.07%
Average winner+3.87%
Median equity0.34%The middle security, less sensitive to extreme movers
Interquartile range-1.11% to 1.81%The central half of the universe
Security dispersion8.78 ptsCross-sectional opportunity and stock-selection risk
News and price confirmation
Does company news confirm the Personal Services tape?
Qualified sentiment coverage for this industry is still building.
Security leadership
The equities driving the result
Weekly leaders and laggards reveal whether the index move is broad, concentrated or vulnerable to reversal.
Leadership
Strongest weekly contributors
Pressure
Weakest weekly contributors
Latest week
Full global industry tape
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