TXRH NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Texas Roadhouse Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

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Latest close 193.3 USD
-1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a -1.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 193.3 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.9% latest completed week
4W Return -1.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 22.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 26.9% 14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.7%. Indicator stack 29/65 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.76% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 49/100 conviction; expected move 6.1%. News sentiment 58/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a -1.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5312-week average 0.24

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.53Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.7% over four weeks, 22.6% over 12 weeks, and 4.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.9%
4W-1.7%
12W22.6%
26W2.3%
52W4.5%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.78Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change350.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength15/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum30/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework31/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
14.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
17.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-4.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
3.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

TXRH shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.34, expected move of 6.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction49/100
Expected move6.1%
Put/call volume0.34
Pressure57
Speculation43
Volatility66
Trend agreement34
Open options detail
Insider activity3 / 12

3 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

27 positive · 29 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.1%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-6.3%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-1.9%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape53/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis39/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.53; 7 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.76%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.76% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 29; Small Cap Core rank 84 SVQF31/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 500.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options56/100

TXRH shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.34, expected move of 6.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 6.1% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk Insiders3 / 12

3 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026193.3 USD-1.9%177.0 USD159.0 USD0.782.193.8MOn
17 Jul 2026197.0 USD4.0%176.2 USD158.4 USD1.012.194.3MOn
10 Jul 2026189.5 USD-2.5%175.5 USD157.8 USD0.99-6.074.5MOn
3 Jul 2026194.3 USD-1.2%174.7 USD157.3 USD0.81-2.453.9MOn
26 Jun 2026196.6 USD10.6%173.7 USD156.8 USD0.68-0.877.9MOff
19 Jun 2026177.8 USD5.9%172.9 USD156.2 USD0.38-14.765.9MOff
12 Jun 2026167.9 USD-1.5%172.7 USD155.7 USD0.26-18.034.7MOff
5 Jun 2026170.5 USD-5.2%172.6 USD155.3 USD0.33-15.466.3MOff
29 May 2026179.8 USD1.7%172.4 USD154.9 USD0.33-15.524.4MOff
22 May 2026176.8 USD-0.2%171.8 USD154.4 USD0.03-15.265.6MOff
15 May 2026177.2 USD0.3%171.7 USD153.9 USD-0.33-14.717.2MOff
8 May 2026176.6 USD12.1%171.6 USD153.5 USD-0.60-15.908.1MOff
1 May 2026157.6 USD-0.9%171.1 USD153.0 USD-0.87-21.426.1MOff
24 Apr 2026159.1 USD-3.2%171.3 USD152.6 USD-0.89-20.034.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.