Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
NYSE · Equity · United States
KNSL
Kinsale Capital Group Inc
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & Casualty
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc., a specialty insurance company, offers property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
NYSE · NYSE
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
9,009,095,094
Fair value reference
415.53
Next-week expectancy
Positive · 58.07%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, KNSL rose 25.29%, moving from 306.12 to 383.55. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -7.71 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.10 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.07% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
383.55
12-Week Change
25.29%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.07%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Auction Intelligence
Sharemaestro market acceptance
Auction Intelligence
Where the market has accepted value, how that value is moving, and which price pathways remain structurally open.
Current auction stateLower prices rejected
Price tested below accepted value but returned to the established auction range.
Price location
Within accepted value
Accepted value
Lower
Persistence
9 weeks
Auction runway
More room below
Accepted value324.98–459.91
Principal three-year auction range
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Above387.05Established market memory sits 0.9% above the latest close.
Below349.27Established market memory sits 8.9% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above459.91
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet387.05
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below324.98
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
387.05
0.9%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
349.27
-8.9%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
451.81
17.8%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
468.00
22.0%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Lower
30-week trendThe latest close is 10.6% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 7.7% below the current fair-value reference.Below
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Upside breakout
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Earnings ahead
Lower prices rejected
Price tested below accepted value but returned to the established auction range.
More room below
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 387.05 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
0 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationFresh upside break with constructive close
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure. Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Full context · Mixed confirmation
Current structureFresh upside break
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
Trend relationshipAbove trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 368.12 · Resistance 381.41
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityLight participation
The latest weekly move occurred on comparatively light participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+1.15%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedUpper part of the range
The close finished at 76% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above trend; participation is light participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history68% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-26.7%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+349.4%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.4× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
8 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
15 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
44 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove the trend range
52-week position
48.9%
Low to high
Accepted price
385.37
Latest versus accepted: -0.47%
Fitted direction
Falling
-0.76% per week
Range pressure
82/100
Upper pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.04× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support294.05
From price
-23.3%
Evidence
73/100
Touches
4
Support306.83
From price
-20.0%
Evidence
64/100
Touches
1
Support365.34
From price
-4.8%
Evidence
45/100
Touches
1
Current pivot382.57
From price
-0.3%
Evidence
98/100
Touches
4
Resistance394.19
From price
2.8%
Evidence
74/100
Touches
2
Resistance469.52
From price
22.4%
Evidence
86/100
Touches
3
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove the trend range
Price is at 48.9% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -0.76% per week.
Range pressureUpper pressure
The current pressure reading is 82/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level365.34
Support is 4.8% from the latest close with 45/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
The visible Smart Money evidence is aligned and its completed-week momentum path is improving.
Momentum 0.24 · Improving
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 55 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathSoft · Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
88 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
91 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
124 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
131 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 · contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Buyer control, but extended
Buyer control, but extended
The VWAP structure is constructive, but price is stretched far enough above the core level to reduce early-entry quality.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
5 references converge near 356.21: 52-week VWAP, Latest earnings VWAP, Swing low, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
ConfirmationPressure above 60
Pressure holding above 60 while the VWAP stack rises would strengthen the existing buyer-control evidence.
Decision area368.63
52-week VWAP at 368.63, 3.9% below the latest close.
Weakening level368.63
A completed close below 52-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
52-week VWAP368.63
-3.89% from close
Latest earnings VWAP361.23
-5.82% from close
Swing low357.25
-6.86% from close
High-activity anchor346.95
-9.54% from close
Year VWAP346.95
-9.54% from close
26-week VWAP336.29
-12.32% from close
13-week VWAP336.12
-12.36% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 67%Above price 33%
27%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · SPYBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -7.8 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 82/100
Sector · Financial ServicesBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -5.7 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 80/100
Industry · Insurance - Property & CasualtyWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -10.5 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 85/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim33% favourable
Events
6
Median 4w
+2.85%
Median 13w
-3.34%
Typical best
+3.48%
Typical worst
-9.68%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss29% favourable
Events
7
Median 4w
+3.18%
Median 13w
+3.77%
Typical best
+14.29%
Typical worst
-2.76%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states36 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
36%
Median 4w
-4.58%
Positive after 13w
28%
Median 13w
-3.57%
Best / worst 13w
+13.6% / -26.6%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is fragile, but repair has begun
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.39 · Fragile
Current stateFragile · 0.39
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
5 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.39 · Fragile
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 28 comparable completed observations, 50.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +0.4%.
Comparable observations
28
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
50.0%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+0.4%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-9.1 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
383.55
12-Week Change
25.29%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.07%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-7.71
Market Dynamics
1.10
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, KNSL rose 25.29%, moving from 306.12 to 383.55. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -7.71 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.10 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.07% based on similar historical setup states.
Industry Peers
United States equities in Insurance - Property & Casualty
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